Category Archives: Uncategorized

Castellina – Ladera Ranch – Yes, I know it's not Irvine ;)

Castellina is a condo development built by Centex Homes in the gated village of Covenant Hills in Ladera Ranch. Those that can’t stand the sight of some of the homes in Ladera (funky colors, packed housing, unattractive architecture) may be pleasantly surprised with some of the tracts in Covenant Hills. Covenant Hills is the only gated village in Ladera and is also the only village to have custom home sites. It’s positioned to be the nicest part of Ladera and along with custom home sites there are also many luxury tracts here as well. I believe Castellina is the only condo tract in Covenant Hills as the others are all SFR. For more info, check here and here.

The Castellina tract caught my attention back in 2004. At the time, there was a lot of hype around Covenant Hills and Castellina was the most affordable product in the village. Centex had a Priority List and invited those on it to a very nice luncheon at the Dove Canyon Country Club. Models weren’t ready so they had virtual tour videos. Everything about Castellina appealed to me – beautiful Tuscan architecture, spacious and well designed floor plans, outdoor loggias, great upscale location, garages with driveways (although some shared), and even some small private yards.

So, what was the problem? Why am I not living there right now? It’s because there was no way I could justify the absolutely ridiculous HOA fees of $750/month! From what I understood, every home in Covenant Hills had a Ladera HOA of $400/month. On top of that, Castellina had it’s own HOA of $350/month. When I specifically asked what that $350/month got me, I was pretty much lied to and told that it included the pools, blah, blah in Covenant Hills. That’s BS because all of that is covered by the $400 Covenant Hills HOA. I was able to justify the $400/month Covenant Hills HOA fee(after all, Turtle Ridge Summit is about the same and Shady Canyon is even more). But how does an EXTRA $350/month for an attached product with NO additional amenities make ANY sense?

In the end we decided to pass on Castellina (just as we would on an Irvine high rise – hopefully another post for me). Although I kept abreast of the prices for a little while, I soon lost interest. Lately, while researching homes to blog about, I became curious and decided to look into what’s happening with Castellina. Surprise, surprise.. Castellina has it’s fair share of flippage. Out of the 82 homes in the tract, there are 9 Active and Pending on the market today:

  • 18 Salvatore – MLS S465146 – 3bd/2ba – 2179 sq ft – Plan 1 (Villa Antica) Listed 11/02/2006 (32 DOM) at $829,000

    NOW $729,000

  • 25 Tuscany – MLS S444917 – 2bd/2ba – 2075 sq ft – Plan 2 (Villa Casali)Listed 6/11/2006 (172 DOM) at $823,521 by Centex

    NOW Pending at $660,000

  • 1 Tuscany – MLS S444916 – 2bd/2ba – 2339 sq ft – Plan 2X (Villa Casello) Listed 6/11/2006 (176 DOM) at $844,796 by CENTEX

    NOW $685,650 and offering 3% broker co-op

  • 25 Chianti – MLS S463737 – 3bd/2.5ba – 2084 sq ft – Plan 3 (Villa Frosino) Listed 10/23/2006 (25 DOM) at $755,832 by CENTEX

    NOW Pending at $695,832

  • 7 Salvatore – MLS S450335 – 3bd/2.5ba – 2200 sq ft – Plan 3 (Villa Frosino) Listed 7/18/2006 (133 DOM) at $850,876

    NOW Pending at $875,000

  • 21 Tuscany – MLS S439546 – 3bd/3.5ba – 2250 sq ft – Plan 4 (Villa Lucia) Listed 5/9/2006 (209 DOM) at $969,000

    NOW $899,900

    Purchased 3/23/2006 for $889,557

  • 34 Tuscany – MLS S465237 – 3bd/3.5ba – 2246 sq ft – Plan 4 (Villa Lucia) Listed 11/6/2006 (28 DOM) at $955,000

    NOW $919,000

  • 10 Salvatore – MLS S450382 – 3/3.5ba – 2246 sq ft – Plan 4 (Villa Lucia)First Listing at $1,050,000, then reduced to $949,000 and then taken off the market after 175 days. Currently Listed on 7/19/2006 (138 DOM) at $918,900

    NOW $899,890

    Purchased for ~$850,000

    Also available for lease – $3500/month

  • 6 Salvatore – MLS S423559 – 4bd/3ba – 2600 sq ft – Plan 5 (Villa Spada) Listed 1/14/2006 (324 DOM) at $1,100,000

    NOW $949,900

    Purchased 9/26/2005 for $945,000

What I found really exciting was the drastic price reductions from the builder. 1 Tuscany and 25 Tuscany had price reductions of $100,000+ on 11/17/2006!

Here’s what ZipRealty shows for 1 Tuscany right now:

Price Reduced: 09/12/06 — $844,796 to $818,444

Price Reduced: 09/18/06 — $818,444 to $806,455

Price Reduced: 09/25/06 — $806,455 to $796,905

Price Reduced: 11/17/06 — $796,905 to $685,650

Apparently getting rid of the inventory is more important to Centex than upsetting their customers who paid much more for the same product. Can you really blame Centex though? They are hurting as well.

Another item to note is the description for 21 Tuscany (possibly the same building at 25 Tuscany) says “Motivated seller will pay 5 yrs castellini hoa dues”.

Obviously the builder has a lot more negotiating room than an unlucky flipper. I’m tempted to put an offer in to the builder for 1 Tuscany: $599,000 and credit for 10 years of HOA (Covenant Hills+Castellina). My goal would be to get on the Castellina HOA board and cut the HOA down to $150/month. 😉

Paloma Survey

Hi Fellow Bubbleheads,

No, I didn’t disappear into the void, just been busy with, like, life and stuff. Been watching the housing market of course, but mostly via trolling on my fave blogs and not by doing my out and about stuff. Some of my previous out and about visits to open houses and model homes were on my lunch hour…I’m happy to report that my job, which I LOVE LOVE LOVE, has been keeping me pretty busy for the most part so this hasn’t been as feasible. ‘sokay, tho’. When you really enjoy what you do, and like your coworkers, working hard isn’t such a bad thing. (Especially when you make $120k a year!!!)

So I just had to check in to let you know that I got an email from my good friends over at Paloma at Portola Springs today. They wanted me to take an online survey, and if I was one of the first 100 respondents, I’d get a $5 Starbucks gift card.

Well, since I didn’t open up this email til after dinner (7pm), I figured there’d be no way I’d get that gift card. However, I just LOVE giving people my opinion (imagine that?) so I dove into the survey nonetheless.

They wanted to know why I hadn’t bought yet (“priced out” was my pick), how much I liked the different pictured floor plans and pictures, among other things like my annual income and number of adults and kids in my family. What I interpreted from the survey was a suspicion that they’re planning on redesigning their models based on survey feedback (…did you like the furnishings in this picture?)

Uh, guys, your models are just lovely. I told you this already! Listen to mama!

It’s the prices, stupid. Three quarters of a million dollars for a two-bedroom condo that also comes with bitingly high mello roos and HOAs? Come on! I’m too damn smart to do that to myself!

I’ll try to do another out and about really soon, I swear!

Have a great day and BE PATIENT! Springtime is going to bring us a FASCINATING economic story to watch and talk about.

Update 12/01/06: I forgot to mention that I, in fact, was awarded one of the 100 Starbucks gift cards! I was surprised; but then, maybe not so surprised given the crash we are experiencing.

Inventory is backing off highs

Spotting flips has become a little more difficult lately. Many of the flips featured on this blog have been taken off the market. If they come back, we’ll definitely post about them. A few of the featured flips are accepting backup offers so hopefully we’ll find out soon if they sell. In the meanwhile, we’ll keep searching for flips and blogging about them.

Take a look at how fast inventory has been coming off the market:

More Irvine Sales Trends – Home Grown

Anyone here have a Data Quick subscription that you wouldn’t mind sharing with me? 🙂 Until then, I’ll have to rely on what I can find from MLS. I’ve gone through and performed counts of the number of closed sales in Irvine (SFR, condo, and total) for each month since September 1998.

A few notes about the data. The data is from the MLS Alliance database which aggregates listings from the 8 various MLS systems in Southern California. Because of the multiple MLS systems (go figure!), sometimes properties are entered in more than one MLS system and it appears twice in MLS Alliance. But this doesn’t happen too often with listings in Irvine. Also, for the most part, these numbers do not contain new home sales since builders in Irvine do not usually put their homes into MLS.

Yes, I know these charts are fugly as hell. Does anyone have any tips on making better charts?

I’ve also made the raw data available in case anyone is interested:Irvine Sales Trends.xls

I went ahead and used moving averages to smooth out the monthly changes. The actual monthly data is in the XLS file.

Affordable Housing – Irvine Residents' Survey

The City of Irvine is conducting a Residents’ Survey to see what residents think of how the city is doing, the website, fake grass, etc. I believe they did a similar survey last year.

If you’re an Irvine resident, I encourage you to fill out the short survey:

Irvine Residents’ Survey 2006

One of the topics in this survey is about affordable housing in Irvine. Did you know “that the City has set a goal to ensure that approximately 10% of the total housing in the City by the year 2025 is affordable and remains so in perpetuity?”

As I understand it, affordable housing can be one of two things

  • homes that are sold at below market prices
  • apartments that are leased at below market prices

Let’s discuss affordable homes first. Would you like it if you paid $600k for your home and someone purchased the unit next door on the same day and paid only $300k? Believe it or not, scenarios like this have already occurred.

What about affordable apartments? Did you know that Woodbury contains some affordable apartments (here)? I think that any residents of these Woodbury apartments also have access to the Woodbury Commons – an area that Woodbury homeowners shell out mucho $$$/month for maintaining.

There are many things about the City of Irvine that I like but affordable housing is NOT one of them. I believe housing in Irvine is overpriced but I also believe in a free market. I may not make 200+k/year but I don’t have a family of 8 with an income under $25,000 either.

Anyone else feel this way?