Middle Class HELOC Abuse

Country House — Blur

The posts we do on over-the-top HELOC abuse are gripping because the dollar amounts are so large. However, focusing only on the extreme cases gives the impression of HELOC abuse is an unusual behavior of a few spectacular cases. HELOC abuse is not unusual or uncommon: it is widespread, and it is going to pummel the middle class.

What possesses people to borrow and spend so much money that they lose their homes? The simple answer is that they didn’t think they would lose their homes. Most believed their house values would go up forever and their house would pay off all their debts. All they had to do was continually refinance with very low interest rates and service the debt will a little of their work income. It never occurred to them that they might actually be required to pay down this debt with their wage income. But even if people drank the kool aid and believed this pathological nonsense, why did they take the money out and spend it? Why not let it accumulate and build wealth? Our song today is about being caught up in the “rat race” and leaving it all behind for a house in the country. Many people who spent their equity were caught up in the rat race trying to “keep up with the Jones’s.” It is sad really.

I received an email from a reader some time ago telling the story of what happened to his group of friends during the bubble. A few of his buddies really drank the kool aid and began separating themselves from the rest of group. They were spending beyond their means acting rich and feeling superior to the members of their old clique. The remaining group that either rented or lived within their means remained friends and watched with amazement as their former friends spent lavishly entertaining the “in” crowd and worked to increase their social status. As you might imagine, the bills are now coming due and the housing ATM has been turned off. The illusion of wealth and status these people created is disappearing as well. Not surprisingly, the fiscally responsible members of the old circle of friends are responding with a mix of sadness and schadenfreude. Stories like this are more the rule than the exception.

Today’s featured property is a typical, middle-class Irvine house. Perhaps a little above median, but certainly the kind of home a family making $125,000 a year (middle class in Irvine) should be able to afford. It is another sad and common story of HELOC abuse on a middle-class scale.

6 Cabot Kitchen

Asking Price: $675,000IrvineRenter

Income Requirement: $168,750

Downpayment Needed: $135,000

Monthly Equity Burn: $5,625

Total Property Debt: $688,750

Purchase Price: $298,409

Purchase Date: 8/27/1999

Address: 6 Cabot, Irvine, CA 92620

Short Sale

Beds: 4
Baths: 3
Sq. Ft.: 2,061
$/Sq. Ft.: $328
Lot Size: 3,975

Sq. Ft.

Property Type: Single Family Residence
Style: Cape Cod
Year Built: 1978
Stories: 2 Levels
Area: Northwood
County: Orange
MLS#: U7004861
Source: SoCalMLS
Status: Active
On Redfin: 12 days

THIS IS A SHORT SALE. WILL REQUIRE LENDER’S APPROVAL. Fantastic
Cul-de-sac location. Home is in move-in condition. Roof is only 2 years
old. Cozy family room with fireplace. Motivated seller.

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Like many stories of this type, it started during a time of fiscal responsibility and sane lending practices. The property was purchased in 1999 for $298,409 with 20% down. These people did not take their first sip of kool aid until 2003 when their refinanced their first mortgage and took out about $20,000. It must have tasted good because two months later they opened a HELOC for $85,750. Then in December of 2003 they opened two HELOCs for $137,000 and $10,000 respectively. In 2004, they succumbed to the full effects of kool aid intoxication and refinanced their first mortgage for $440,000. It is unclear whether or not this paid off the HELOCs. In 2005 they took out an Option ARM for $475,000, and three months later opened a HELOC for $100,000. Finally, In January of 2007, they took out a $580,000 Option ARM with a $108,750 stand-alone second. When they were done with these refinancings, the total debt on the property was $688,750, and the total mortgage equity withdrawal was $449,950 ($688,750 – $238,800 = $449,950.)

When you look at the photos if this property, I don’t think a reasonable argument can be made that these people spend nearly $450,000 on property improvements. With the frequency and size of the withdrawals, I think we can rule out investment or family catastrophe. It certainly looks like these people spent themselves out of their home.

So how widespread is this phenomenon? I don’t have any statistics. Perhaps someone can find out how many short sales or foreclosures actually sold for a profit. I do know that I have no trouble finding examples of these properties here in Irvine. I could profile one every day. Most of them are the ordinary HELOC abuse patterns like today’s sellers. It is widespread enough to force many distressed properties on the market and drive prices lower, and as prices fall, the problem will get worse as more and more properties become distressed by the falling values.

Do any of you have acquaintances, friends or relatives who have spent themselves into financial oblivion? What is their story?

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(so the story begins)
City dweller
Successful fella
Thought to himself:
oops, Ive got a lot of money
Caught in a rat race
Terminally
Im a professional cynic
But my hearts not in it
Im paying the price of living life at the limit
Caught up in the centurys anxiety

Yes, it preys on him
Hes getting thin
(try the simple life)

He lives in a house
A very big house
In the country
Watching afternoon repeats
And the food he eats
In the country

He takes all manner of pills
And piles up analyst bills
In the country
Oh, its like an animal farm
Thats the rural charm
In the country


Hes got morning glory and lifes a different story
Everythings going jackanory
Touched with his own mortality
Hes reading balzac, knocking back prozac
Its a helping hand that makes you feel wonderfully bland
Oh, its a centurys remedy
For the faint at heart
A new start
(try the simple life)

Country House — Blur

WOT 5-10-2008

In Da House — Crazy Frog

Part of our formula for success at the Irvine Housing Blog is to be entertaining. Reading about the housing market can be dry and boring, or it can be lively and entertaining. We always try to make it fun, funny and entertaining.

My wife cannot stop laughing at the crazy frog…

We have done many kinds of posts at the IHB:

  • Analysis
  • Flips
  • Fraud
  • WTF prices
  • Big losses
  • HELOC abuse

We try to inject fun and humor in our posts by adding music, making fun of bad descriptions, and creating funny graphics. If possible we try to weave all these together in a manner that informs as well as entertains. So tell us what you like about the IHB and what you would like to see more of. If you have ideas for other posts you would like to see, please share them here.

FSBO – For Sale By Optimist

Don't Dream It's Over — Crowded House

You don't need a realtor to sell a house. A title company can take care of most paperwork, and an attorney can draft the rest for a minimal fee. Realtors are supposed to be experts at sales and marketing, but if you possess these skills, there is no need to pay someone 6% to draft a poorly written property description and sit in your house on the weekends. You can do it yourself and save a great deal of money. There are advantages of to selling on your own. You don't have to base your asking price on comparable properties. You can make up a number and put the property for sale for whatever price you want. There is no neutral market observer to tell you your price might be too high. Who needs to pay attention to comps? Also, you don't have to worry about the time and money your realtor is going to spend marketing your home because you will pay all those expenses yourself.

Today's featured property has been featured on IHB before. The previous owner was unable to sell it using a realtor, and it went back to the bank in foreclosure. The current owners bought it from the bank. Surely, they will find the buyer who appreciates the unique qualities of this home and obtain their asking price. It is just a matter of good sales and marketing and a healthy dose of optimism (real estate optimism tastes best when mixed with kool aid.)

Sweetan Front14712 Sweetan Kitchen

Asking Price: $749,500IrvineRenter

Income Requirement: $187,375

Downpayment Needed: $149,900

Monthly Equity Burn: $6,245

Peak Purchase Price: $729,500

Peak Purchase Date: 11/21/2005

Flipper Purchase Price: $540,500

Flipper Purchase Date: 1/18/2008

Address: 14712 Sweetan St., Irvine, CA 92604

Flipper

Beds: 3
Baths: 2
Sq. Ft.: 1,500
$/Sq. Ft.: $500
Lot Size:
Property Type: Single-Family House
Year Built: 1975
Seller Type: By Owner
County: Orange
Listing #: 768421118
Source: Oodle
Status: Active
On Redfin: 78 days

Swimming pool/Jacuzzi w. solar heating; 3 Bedrooms, 2 baths,Living Room, Knife Catcher AwardDen, office, kitchen;

Granite countertops; Bosch dishwasher; Smooth cooktop self cleaning oven; Microwave/convection;

Coffered ceiling light & Ceiling fan; Granite fireplace in den;

Ceiling fans in every room;

2 skylights;

New tumbled stone shower in master bath; Approx. 1500 sq.ft.;

Central AC; recently remodeled;

new landscaping; walk to schools;

FSBO Link

The seller's name and contact information on the link above does not match the property records. Whoever she is, please refrain from using her name in the comments. Thank you. If you want to call and make an offer, well… that is up to you.

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The previous owner and the bank shared in the losses on this property. The owner put 20% down ($145,900), and the bank put up $583,600. At the foreclosure auction, the lender paid $607,901 which probably represents the original balance plus all the missed payments. When they sold the property for $540,500 to our flippers. The lender lost $67,401. The total loss on the property was $213,300. The lender's loss is our flipper's gain. If they manage to get their asking price, they stand to make $209,000.

WTF

WTF? Are you kidding me?

This property was for sale forever in the $600s before the credit crunch. I suppose if you completely ignore all the comparable inventory priced $200,000 less (and dropping daily) this price might be attainable. Oh wait, they must have spent $20,000 on pergraniteel and added $209,000 in value in the process. I guess that makes the asking price reasonable… Not. Don't let me spoil the bubble rally. Don't dream it's over.

Perhaps there are some drawbacks to selling without a realtor after all…

I hope you have enjoyed this week at the Irvine Housing Blog. We set a new record this week when we had over 10,000 unique visitors on Wednesday. I guess it really was The Ultimate Post. Come back next week as we continue chronicling ‘the seventh circle of real estate hell.’ Have a great weekend.

🙂

.

Crowded HouseThere is freedom within, there is freedom without

Try to catch the deluge in a paper cup

There's a battle ahead, many battles are lost

But you'll never see the end of the road

While you're travelling with me

Hey now, hey now

Don't dream it's over

Hey now, hey now

When the world comes in

They come, they come

To build a wall between us

We know they won't win

Don't Dream It's Over — Crowded House

Woods WTF

Norwegian Wood — The Beatles

The WTF prices of Great Housing Bubble are an obvious illustration of the greater fool theory. Usually, the detachment from fundamental values is not so great. Prices that look foolish in retrospect do not always look foolish in the moment. Irvine house prices from 2004 onward looked foolish even as people were paying them. The absurdity of the situation becomes even more apparent when you see the asking prices of those who purchased at the peak of the Ponzi scheme as they look to find the next greater fool. Today’s property is one dramatic illustration. These buyers grossly overpaid right at the peak in summer of 2006. Rather than admit defeat, they are asking for 50% appreciation from the peak with an asking price that is so ridiculous you just have to ask, “WTF?”

28 Woods Trail Front 28 Woods Trail Kitchen

Asking Price: $2,975,000IrvineRenter

Income Requirement: $743,750

Downpayment Needed: $595,000

Equity Burn: $24,791

Purchase Price: $1,882,500

Purchase Date: 7/13/2006

Address: 28 Woods Trail, Irvine, CA 92603WTF

Beds: 5
Baths: 4.5
Sq. Ft.: 3,800
$/Sq. Ft.: $783
Lot Size: 8,929

Sq. Ft.

Property Type: Single Family Residence
Style: Mediterranean
Year Built: 2007
Stories: 2 Levels
View: Hills
Area: Turtle Ridge
County: Orange
MLS#: P605342
Source: SoCalMLS
Status: Active
On Redfin: 204 days

Unsold in 90+ days

Gourmet Kitchen Award

Completely Remodeled and Upgraded! Upper level media/game room loft,
gourmet kitchen with upgraded stainless steel appliances, granite
counters, travertine floors, custom media niches with surround sound,
closet organizers, custom tile in all baths, crown molding, security,
intercom, professional landscaping with a custom designed pool, spa,
outdoor kitchen, fireplace, outdoor HDTV, courtyard fountains, water
features, all epoxy garage floors.

Why would you completely remodel and upgrade a 2007 home?

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Do you see the mentality at work here? All someone had to do was buy some real estate, improve it if they wanted to, wait a short time and sell it for a huge profit. The prices paid do not matter as long as the greater fool comes along with access to enough money to buy them out. I would not be too surprised if someone would pay this stupid price if a lender enabled them to. The bulls are all lamenting the tightening of credit because they know this is the only thing preventing the greater fool from bidding up prices even higher. After watching The Great Housing Bubble, I have become convinced there
is no concept of value in the general public. There is no price that is
considered too high as long as prices are rising.

Behavioral Finance Theory

Unfortunately, we exceeded price levels supportable by incomes by 2002.
It was only the lowering of interest rates which kept the rally going.
After that toxic financing took over and pushed prices even higher. The
bulls do not seem to understand that incomes must be able to support
the borrowing; the fact that it does not is why we are having a credit
crunch. Lending will continue to tighten until loan balances are
supported by incomes, and we still have a long way to go. Lenders are
still loaning 5.5 times income because interest rates are low and DTIs
are still very high. Many of the loans written in 2008 will go into
foreclosure as well because the high debt-to-income ratios will crush borrowers who will be underwater. People who buy in 2008 are going to be no better off than those who purchased in 2004. At least those who bought in 2004 had the delusion of price increases to make them feel rich for a few years. Those who bought in 2008 went underwater the day after they closed the deal. In fact, since there is a delay between negotiating the deal and the closing date, most were underwater the day they closed. Given the reality of the direction of prices right now and the fact that prices are still well above reasonable valuations, it is reasonable to ask any buyer in this market, “WTF?”

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I once had a girl, or should I say, she once had me…
She showed me her room, isn’t it good, norwegian wood?

She asked me to stay and she told me to sit anywhere,
So I looked around and I noticed there wasn’t a chair.

I sat on a rug, biding my time, drinking her wine
We talked until two and then she said, “It’s time for bed”

She told me she worked in the morning and started to laugh.
I told her I didn’t and crawled off to sleep in the bath

And when I awoke, I was alone, this bird had flown
So I lit a fire, isn’t it good, norwegian wood.

Norwegian Wood — The Beatles

The Ultimate Post

The Ultimate Sin — Ozzy Osbourne

What would be the ultimate post we could do at the Irvine Housing Blog? We have been getting a great deal of attention lately for our posts on HELOC abuse, and our post on Monday showing the $500,000 loss was also very well received. This is only one way you can top what we have done to date: combine the two. Today’s featured property is the new pinnacle. We are raising the bar. Today, we have a property where the owner took out over $1,000,000 in a series of small refinances and general HELOC abuse, and now the lender who has taken back the property is looking at a $650,000 loss.

It does make me wonder… How can I get a lender to give me $1,000,000 that I don’t have to pay back?

3 Green Hollow Kitchen

Asking Price: $895,000IrvineRenter

Income Requirement: $223,750

Downpayment Needed: $179,000

Total Property Debt: $1,490,000

Lender Purchase Price: $909,195

Lender Purchase Date: 3/19/2008

FB Purchase Price: $520,000

FB Purchase Date: 4/6/2000

Address: 3 Green Hollow, Irvine, CA 92620REO

Beds: 5
Baths: 3
Sq. Ft.: 2,300
$/Sq. Ft.: $389
Lot Size: 5,600

Sq. Ft.

Property Type: Single Family Residence
Style: Ranch
Year Built: 1997
Stories: 2 Levels
Area: Northwood
County: Orange
MLS#: P635384
Source: SoCalMLS
Status: Active
On Redfin: 3 days

This property sits back off the street. 5 Bedroom home with one bedroom
downstairs and two loft areas. Patio in the back yard. Fireplace in
den. Large kitchen. Beautiful maple cabinets.

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At first glance, this property’s purchases and sales look ordinary. It was bought for $520,000 in 200, and it sold for $909,515 in 2008. It isn’t until you go through the property records that the extraordinary nature of this property is revealed (Thank you, Brittney.) This is a long and complicated story, so bear with me.

  • This property was purchased for $520,000 on April 6, 2000. The buyer put $120,000 down and financed $400,000. It didn’t take long for the kool aid to begin flowing.
  • In July of 2001, he refinanced for $500,000 taking out $100,000 of his initial equity.
  • In January of 2002, he took out a $544,000 loan taking out all $120,000 of his initial equity plus an additional $22,000.
  • In February of 2002, he took out a $30,000 stand-alone second.
  • In March of 2002, he took out a $50,000 stand-alone second.
  • In August of 2002, he took out a $67,800 stand-alone second.
  • In October of 2002, he opened a $20,000 HELOC.
  • In November of 2002, he refinanced with a $596,000 first and a $149,000 stand-alone second and presumably paid off all the other loans. At this point, his mortgage equity withdrawal stands at $345,000.
  • In January of 2003, he opened a $20,000 HELOC.
  • In January of 2004, he refinanced with a $793,600 first and a $148,800 stand-alone second.
  • In April of 2004, he refinanced again with a $940,000 first and a $176,250 stand-alone second.
  • In October of 2004, he refinanced the stand-alone second for $400,000
  • In March of 2005, he refinanced the stand-alone second for $550,000

Total indebtedness: $940,000 + $550,000 = $1,490,000.

Total Mortgage Equity Withdrawal: $1,490,000 – $400,000 = $1,090,000.

What can you say about that? Does anyone care to opine on how this was an investment or a medical issue? I think we can rule those circumstances out. Let’s be real here: this guy’s house was making $200,000 a year, and he took it out and spent it. It is what it is.

Lenders are stupid. What else can you say about that? How can you loan this guy so much money only to find your collateral is worth $600,000 less than the loans you made? There are bad loans, there are really bad loans, and then there are loans like this one. It boggles the mind. If this property sells for its asking price, the total loss to the lender will be $648,700 assuming a 6% commission.

I wonder how this guy is adjusting to the loss of that $200,000 a year extra income? I will bet it is not as much fun as spending it was.

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The Ultimate SinOverkill enough is enough
There’s nothing left of me to devour
You’ve had your fill I’m all I have left
What can stop your hunger for power
‘Cos you took advantage of things that I said
Now the feeling is dead

And that’s the ultimate sin
And that’s the ultimate sin

Anyway I look at it now
The doors are closed and cannot be opened
Bury your anger and bury your dead
Or you’ll be left with nothing and no one
There’s no point in screaming ‘cos you won’t be heard
Now that tables have turned

It was the ultimate sin
It was the ultimate sin
It was the ultimate sin

I warned you then and I’m warning you now
If you mess with me you’re playing with fire
Winds of change that are fanning the flames
Will carry you to your funeral pyre
It’s pulling you down
It’s your final descent
It’s too late to repent

When it’s the ultimate sin
When it’s the ultimate sin
When it’s the ultimate sin
When it’s the ultimate sin


The Ultimate Sin
— Ozzy Osbourne