Irvine Company opens two new developments with 2,600 houses

Feb 21st, 2011  
by IrvineRenter  in Library News

Astute Observations

Astute Observation by AZDavidPhx
2011-02-21 05:32 AM

Crazy!  Mr. Young thinks that it is a great time to buy a house!  Who would have thought!?

Astute Observation by *
2011-02-21 07:19 AM

ah yes, a vintage 2006 post on the North Korea Towers.  aged well after 5 years:

http://www.irvinehousingblog.com/blog/comments/marquee-park-place-high-rise-hell/#comments

i’ll leave a few classic comments from 2006.
these dumb asses got what they deserve.
i’d love for any of these losers to comment on today’s post.

Astute Observation by Roya
2007-01-03 04:56 PM
It is very simple, for those of you that don’t like Luxury living in a place like Marquee, hey, no one is forcing you to buy here. stay where you are and be happy, what is with all the bitterness. Your bitterness is in result of ENVY. 

Astute Observation by George
2006-12-30 11:51 PM
I live at Marquee Park Place and must say, it has been the best move I have ever made.  Obviously, the negative comments about this high-end style of living is precipitated from people that simply can’t afford this lifestyle and have no clue about the cornucopia of amenities that are offered here.

Astute Observation by Dr. E
I think you’re best suited to live in Fresno or somewhere else where prices are falling at a higher rate. You can look up, point and scream all you like, the sky’s not falling. And for us who are writing in here, responding to ugly comments and foaming vitriol, at least we’re typing in the comfort of our secured and well-maintained condo. I guess you can view Marquee as an Ivory tower. People at the top will always have people commenting about them. So just get used to it and enjoy that view Marqueeans! Happy Holidays!

Astute Observation by HAVE VISION
2006-11-25 11:29 AM
It seems from one negative comment all the wal mart people of the world jump on the coat tails of that naysayer and add to the negativity.

Astute Observation by Dr. E
2006-10-24 04:51 PM
What I can say is that this building is for a different class of people.  Yes there are investors and the like, but I really don’t see people who are your average OC citizen.

Astute Observation by rkp
2011-02-21 09:51 AM

This brought a wide smile to my face!  I remember some of these folks and how obnoxious they were.

Astute Observation by SanJoseRenter
2011-02-21 03:12 PM

Yeah, and “$860 .. Homeowners Association Fees.”

That’s one bitter HoA.

The $285,900 unit was the smallest unit in the comps above, but was also the most recent comp (Jan. 2011), the others from 2010.

On the bright side, I haven’t heard of any construction defects or liens yet. smile

Astute Observation by Planet Reality
2011-02-21 07:22 AM

Why deny it?

New home sales in Irvine in 2010 of half the normal resale volume is impressive.  Where else did this happen?  And their building more, where else is demand that strong?

Astute Observation by tenmagnet
2011-02-21 10:42 AM

While others here continue to deny reality, we’ve been saying it all along.
Pushing forward with the planned new construction reinforces there’s strong demand and desirability for Irvine.

Astute Observation by Disco Stu
2011-02-21 09:49 AM

“This condo doesn’t have a view, but….”

It’s funny when the description is accidentally accurate.

Astute Observation by rkp
2011-02-21 09:56 AM

This brought a wide smile to my face!  I remember some of these folks and how obnoxious they were.

We live in Ave 1 and see these want to be uber rich next to us at 3000 the plaza all the time.  Always in a hurry and always angry.  True story: my friend stopped her car in front of plaza with blinkers to get mail from ave 1 box and guy pulls up in porsche and proceeds to yell at her for stopping her car near his building.  He says stuff like the poor people shouldn’t park near his building and all sorts of nonsense.  No joke…

Astute Observation by Shevy Akason
2011-02-21 09:57 AM

Regardless if one thinks the market is inflated or not. This is great news for buyers and should make sellers somewhat nervous. One of the biggest factors besides the artificially low rates that has kept prices from falling further is lack of viable product that can transact.

    Using zip code 92614 as an example, there are 101 properties in some stage of the foreclosure process.

    While there are only 45 active non short sale listings;

  Moreover, supply is steadily increasing as one can see on the Irvine inventory chart

    That said, although new construction can be really nice. Typically, they are not the best deals in Irvine. The mello roos tends to be high, they usually have small yards (if any), upgrades are really expensive, and one normally pays a premium that will likely wear off by the time one sells. That said, a lot of these have nice floor plans.
    I generally recommend resale over new construction. Good deals on new construction typically occur when there is standing inventory and the Irvine Company does an excellent job so this rarely occurs. That said, there will be buyers that are taken out of the resale market as a result of this, leaving more resale deals, selection, and likely better pricing for buyers that have waited.

Astute Observation by Planet Reality
2011-02-21 10:53 AM

There is no question the Irvine co. understands how low inventory is in Irvine right now and over the past 2 years.  They have take full advantage of extremely low inventory in the 400 - 800 range.

Astute Observation by just bought in irvine
2011-02-21 11:59 AM

This is the conclusion i came to last year also when looking at new homes and resales.

Due to all the negatives you mention (small lot/no yard, no traditional driveway/front yard setup, mello roos, expensive upgrades) I ended up buying a resale.

I really find the new home pricing ridiculous in Irvine….but they still sell them. I guess they were smart enough to put all these homes for sale when rates were low and inventory was tight.

I agree with you that the resale market should offer much better deals for those who are willing to be patient when shopping. i pulled the trigger after looking for almost 2.5 years.

Astute Observation by Shevy
2011-02-22 11:32 PM

Congratulations on your new home, I think that you made the right choice buying resale in Irvine. Low inventory, artificially low rates, and tax incentives that pushed demand forward.

Astute Observation by irvine_home_owner
2011-02-21 10:09 AM

“However, as I have stated on many occasions, the shills who trumpet the blistering sales rates are talking nonsense.”

I’m not sure who you’re referring to here.

Whenever I’ve mentioned the surprising sales pace of the 2010 New Home Collection, you don’t respond to me. Do you think selling 1200 new homes in ONE city is nonsense? Irvine has sold as many new homes as all of Orange County combined and that is notable.

I still remember when TIC was planning on the 700 new homes for 2010 and all the doubters (myself included) didn’t think they could sell through that in the 2 years time TIC estimated it would take. Instead, they sold 500 more homes in half the time. Don’t hate the player… hate the FCBs.

“We are emerging of[f] historic lows, and the year-over-year percentage increases sound great, but building 62% less homes in 2011 than we have on average for the last 30 years is hardly a runaway bull rally or a new construction boom.”

Maybe not for OC… but what about just for Irvine?

And they really only have 1250 homes planned for this first phase (although there is a second phase in Stonegate they can ramp up and also a new neighborhood called Cypress Village in waiting).

Too many new homes? Maybe… but I thought 700 was too many. The numbers prove there is demand for new housing in Irvine, whether that can be sustained for the next 2 years, we’ll see. Personally… I hope not because I feel TIC’s benchmarks are too high, but that doesn’t seem to stop the FCBs.

Astute Observation by Planet Reality
2011-02-21 11:05 AM

IHO, well said, the whole point is that building everywhere besides Irvine has faltered.  In Irvine the building continues with 50-100% cash buyers.

Irvine has in fact been different.

Astute Observation by awgee
2011-02-21 05:00 PM

Irvine has been different.

Astute Observation by rkp
2011-02-21 11:14 AM

agreed IHO

IR - i generally support your views but you are pointing to OC data and not specifically to Irvine.  TIC marketing is great but not that great to ramp new homes this quickly.  There is clearly lots of demand for irvine and its quite remarkable how much they have sold when all other OC cities and even socal have not been able to.  We went to new communities in yorba linda last year and their offices were empty.

Astute Observation by Soapboxpolitico
2011-02-22 08:10 PM

It may be notable that TIC sold 1200+ homes in a year’s time, outperforming their own modest projections but it’s my humble opinion all they really did was capitalize on the tax credits and pull demand forward.

If you read their marketing material from that timeframe you’ll notice a subtle but persistent theme, the tried and true “buy now or forever be priced out” seasoned with a touch of “buy into the luxury lifestyle of Irvine!” thrown in.  I think they did a masterful job of tweaking buyer’s uneasiness about where the market stood and, to reiterate my point, pulled demand forward.

I may be wrong but we’ll see where the sales data lands for these newly released properties. I for one have been keeping a close eye on it as my wife and I are still riding the fence on a home purchase and have had some mild interest in the newly developed Irvine properties along with Portola Springs. We remain on the sidelines as it’s my considered opinion these properties are still overpriced and I still have trouble stomaching mello roos & two hundred dollar HOA’s. That’s all aside the point.

You are right, its notable that TIC sold as many homes as they did but it remains to be seen if its a sustainable trend or an aberration. But remember too that Irvine cannot exist in a bubble (pardon the pun), whatever befalls the OC also befalls Irvine. Frankly, I think the cool aid addiction was strongest in Irvine and therefore the longest detox ... most of which has yet to fully occur. The bubble is just deflating more slowly in Irvine.

Astute Observation by Shevy
2011-02-22 11:52 PM

Soapboxpolitico, excellent point, 2010 was as close to an ideal scenario for the Irvine company as there can be in a recession. Banks didn’t have to market to market so they were able to hold properties off the market (low supply), rates were lowered to crazy low artificial levels (increased demand and higher purchase price qualification), and tax incentives pulled demand forward and created a mini-bubble in some areas.

  I don’t think it will line up quit so well this time around.

  That said, I remember trying to convince a good friend of mine not to buy in Vicara at Quail Hill in circa early 2007, he had a friend that was a mortgage lender that he’d known growing up that had bought a home in there and told him he would get rich and all he needed to to was buy in Vicara. Nothing I could say could change his mind at that point. He went there one day, from what he told me just to look and the builders rep told him that it was his lucky day and that one just fell out. The sales rep told him that “there’s no place else to build in Irvine.” From what he told me later, he pointed across and asked them about the area that Laguna Altura is being built now, he said that they told him that it’s all protected land.

  He locked it down and there was no turning back. He lost it about a year ago.

  Laguna Altura is in a great location and with solid floor plans there will be demand. I think that I would be concerned with what’s likely to be a lot of competion if I was considering reselling in Quail Hill in the next couple of years.

Astute Observation by irvine_home_owner
2011-02-23 08:42 AM

@Shevy:

I’ve been following the development at Altura for some time and I don’t know if it will be worth the premium TIC is demanding.

First off, if they are recycling the floorplans for their two detached condos tracts from Stonegate East and Stonegate, those are not worth the $600k-$800k they are pricing them at. And if the floorplans for the two SFRs are anything like Mariposa from Stonegate and San Marino from Woodbury, again… not worth it.

Second, it’s more dense than Quail Hill and while gated, not everyone likes that type of community.

Lastly, Quail Hill has amenities, access to walking trails, more parks and pools and the elementary school and shopping center.

It’s sad what happened to your friend, but those Vicara homes on single loaded streets with view lots and higher elevations should still hold a premium over whatever they will build in Altura… in my opinion.

Astute Observation by Shevy
2011-02-23 08:58 AM

IHO, excellent points, we have had a number of people contact us about Laguna Altura, I communicated the cons to new construction, we will see what these buyers thoughts are.

    I would think that higher density than Quail Hill would be a problem.

    No doubt that Vicara is nice. My friend like many others drank the cool aid. Until I found the blog I did not realize that there were other people, outside of my friends in the midwest, that thought 20% gains in real estate and pay option ARM stated income loans were a recipe for disaster.

Astute Observation by BHC
2011-02-23 04:57 PM

have they embedded the high tension power lines that run around that area into the ground?  I vaguely remember seeing power lines running next to the 133 back when we were considering vicara/tapestry.

Astute Observation by irvine_home_owner
2011-02-23 05:02 PM

They are still there… on the Quail Hill side next to the Olivos/Tapestry/Sienna tracts.

Most of Vicara is interior so they are not as close to the power lines.

Astute Observation by Mattman
2011-02-21 11:58 AM

You can already see the land being graded in Google Maps for Laguna Altura:
http://goo.gl/XRzOa

Astute Observation by Vincenzo
2011-02-21 02:17 PM

>and access to some of the highest quality schools in California draw a wide market audience.

Well, the highest quality can be a hyperbole very soon. Does it mean the highest quality among all CA schools, including private schools with 10 students per teacher and individual attention?

Proposed California budget slashes education
http://www.wsws.org/articles/2011/feb2011/cali-f21.shtml

Jerry Brown is considering $1,000 per school student cuts. 40 students per teacher in the highest quality school? Are you kidding?

The UC budget won’t receive billions. Not a good sign for foreign home buyers who want to send their kids to the UCI inexpensively.

Astute Observation by irvine renter 2
2011-02-22 08:41 AM

The Irvine school system has been really great and different from what we have seen (comparing with other friends leaving in LA and SD).
However, after 7/8 years, it is changing slowly.

There are (I think, to be verified) less classes for ESL new comers
There are less APAS and GATE programs.
More money is asked every years to parents to support activities and classes

But even more interesting, more ‘high-end/rich/whatever you want to call them’ people are moving their children to private school - i dont think it was that common before, because indeed, the Irvine Public school was known as excellent, and classes were not overcrowded like now.

Astute Observation by Planet Reality
2011-02-22 11:27 AM

That’s the natural progression of a premium scholastic area.  The excellent public schools are no longer good enough, and the wealthy and well to do move on to private schools.

Irvine is different than most.

Astute Observation by newbie2001ads
2011-02-22 01:10 PM

Most of the move to private schools that I know of were due to sub-par or sub-excellent academic issues.  Who wants their kid to be the goat of the class or disqualified from team sports due to low grades?  Most private schools will also help with the college application process big time.

The recent court ruling that the “fees” for books, classes are illegal. I don’t know if the prior fees will be returned, but continued fees are not allowed.  The schools are asking for more donations and cutting the quality of the buses used for team sport’s traveling.

Astute Observation by Planet Reality
2011-02-22 01:37 PM

BS, the move from the excellent public schools to private schools is due to the “for the children” rat race of Irvine.

Astute Observation by newbie2008
2011-02-21 05:05 PM

North Korea Towers physical location is not bad for some folks, single or elderly.  Within walking distance to some restruants, small organic food store and other shops.  The negative are cost per sf, too close to the freeway (noise, fumes and dust), high HOA and the high likelyhood that the paying equality owners will be stuck with the non-payers’ HOA for the last 4 years (a raise in fees by 2x for 6 years?).  If you have no kids living with you and lots of money, it might suit you well.  To each his own or to each a large bank loan.

For overbuilt area’s the real number to look at is vacancy rate.  IE area with 30% vacancy is definately overbuilt and will need bulldozers to estiblish a bottom. 

What’s the current vacacy rate in Irvine (please include empty non-paying houses).  I don’t see very many except a few in Quail Hill and Turtle Ridge.

Astute Observation by wheresthebeef
2011-02-21 10:21 PM

I can’t see how the North Korean Towers makes sense for anybody…that includes people buying today at 300K.  That nice, fat HOA adds another 150K to that price. 

All the negatives you mentioned along with having to park your car and drag everything up to your condo doesn’t seem very appealing.  This is not NYC and there is plenty of usable land here for people to have attached garages.  Just having friends over seems like a royal pain too.  No thanks, you can buy a townhouse in other parts of Irvine that make a lot more sense.

Astute Observation by newbie2008
2011-02-22 10:21 AM

Like I said to each his own. 
I know some people who don’t mind lossing $50K to $100K on a house.  They just want it now and can afford it (2 income and parents).  I think most of IH blog readers are also not on that boat.  I’m not in that boat either—just an educated working stiff.

Since the HOA covers utilities, I think the non-payers will have little to no incentive to save on the use of water, electricity, heating, cooling, and other free items as squatters.  I have observed the lack of shame in America for behavior in the last 30 years.  The sense of shame has been limited to not have the latest and best in material goods.

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