Category Archives: Uncategorized

Ladera Ranch II – Rancho Mission Viejo Company

I don’t have much information on this, so please share if you know something. Rancho Mission Viejo, probably the only other big landowner in Orange County other than The Irvine Company, is going to build another master planned community just south of Ladera Ranch (mostly east of the Antonio and Ortega Hwy intersection). I’ll call it Ladera Ranch II until I learn of the official name.

{adsense}

It looks like there will be 12,530 homes built (in 5 villages) starting in 2008. The homes will be built on about 5,373 acres and the rest of the area should be open space. I took some survey regarding this several months ago and one of the things they were considering for this community was some sort of golf cart for each home. I wish I remembered the specifics. I also recall that there will be plenty of housing targetted towards seniors.

Here is a map of the overall plan for “Ladera Ranch II”:

Read on to see a detailed map of the first village… Continue reading

Random Bits

Stupid MLS Login Procedures

I haven’t been able to scour MLS lately. The reason is that the MLS system I have access to, Tempo SoCalMLS, requires the use of a token that has a code that changes every minute or so (and I don’t have this stupid token handy). I’ve been able to get around it by using the MLS Alliance system which actually is a more comprehensive database as it contains listings from the EIGHT Southern California (excluding SD) MLS systems (of which Tempo is one – the main one for OC). But just recently, they changed the login procedure so that I HAVE to login through Tempo first. Argh! Time for me to get that token. Until then, I won’t be able to feature any flips. I should get this squared away in the next few days.

Bad news from New Century of Irvine

LA Times: “The bad news from Irvine’s New Century Financial Corp. and London’s HSBC Holdings sent shares of sub-prime lenders tumbling by double digits, with New Century down 36%.”

“New Century is the second-largest sub-prime mortgage originator after San Francisco-based Wells Fargo, with HSBC just behind in the No. 3 slot. The Irvine company said late Wednesday that it had greatly underestimated the losses it would record as a result of loan buyers forcing it to repurchase mortgages that had quickly fallen into default.”

OC Register story

Reuters story

Central Park West Grand Opening

Central Park West, the development on the corner of Jamboree and Michelson (across from Park Place), is debuting their Lennar homes tomorrow. Almost all of the tracts in Central Park West are built by Lennar. The high rise towers are built by another company and I’m not sure who is building the affordable condo complex hidden behind the high rises. I won’t be able to check it out tomorrow but hopefully some of you will. Here are the details:

Date: February 10th

Time: 10am – 4pm

Place: CPW Living Studio / Central Park West

2500 Michelson Drive, Suite 100, Irvine, CA

Complimentary valet parking

Is Lennar Really Taking a loss on La Casella???

I visited La Casella again today, at lunch. Gotta feed the obsession every now and then, ya know. I liked the models a lot more than I liked them the first time through, for some reason. Even Residence 1 with the casita – that could be my home gym!

I engaged the sales person in questions and she was very friendly and attentive. I was quite surprised by much of what she said, though. So surprised, in fact, that I expected my BS meter to be ringing in alarm. It was not, however. Was she just that good at smooth-talking? Or have I lost my ability to smell BS? Or could what she told me have possibly been, in fact, true????

1. Lennar has “paid the bank” for every La Casella unit sold thus far. In other words, they have sold every unit at a loss after taking into account the cost of land and construction costs.

2. During their most recent phase release, every single unit (8) sold out in one day.

3. Lennar has only purchased less than half of the land shown in their plans for final build-out at La Casella. The sales person said it was very likely the remaining units would not be built (by Lennar, anyway. She said Lennar would sell the plans and models to some other company who would take over the development). She said that they are in a “pissing contest” with TIC over final sales cost of the land, and TIC is not willing to come down enough to make it worthwhile for Lennar.

I asked, if by some chance TIC does reduce land prices, what would happen to the units’ asking prices? She said there was no way the prices would be reduced, as evidenced by the quick sell-out of the most recent phase release. She said Lennar would need to maintain or raise prices just to make up for all the losses incurred so far.

I then probed about who exactly has been buying these units. She said many single people have been buying them, with average incomes of 175k to 200k. She also told me that I needed to “change my lens” with respect to monthly carrying costs, and that if I wanted to own in Irvine, or anywhere in SoCal, then I needed to accept the fact that I would be paying 60-75% of my take-home pay on mortgage and HOA. I suggested that in fact most people were not using 30 year, fixed-rate mortgages, but she disagreed and said that most of the La Casella buyers had in fact used the standard, fixed mortgages, and were just paying big monthly payments.

So, your thoughts? Anyone care to comment? Clearly, La Casella is slightly less expensive than other options in Woodbury. But still. Sold out in one day? A loss on every unit? Mostly 30 year fixed mortgages? What is up with this story???

A warm welcome to graphrix and OC Econ 101

Let’s welcome graphrix and his blog, OC Econ 101, to the blogosphere! “This blog will be on the economics of OC and the various industries contributing to the local economy.”

He’s already got some great posts on OC job growth (and RE related job growth), foreclosures, and of course all the headlines for “housing market” from the OC Register from 1987-1993.

There’s already some great stuff there and I’m looking forward to reading more. Check it out!

Columbus Square – Verandas – Out and About

Verandas, a William Lyon tract in Columbus Square, had their grand opening today. These are single family detached homes (or so they say) in the City of Tustin. They ARE detached but the size of the yard? is similar to many of the detached condos in Irvine.

We stopped by a little after lunch and I was really surprised how many people were out and about looking at homes. Perhaps all the balloons, hot dogs, and Villages of Columbus stamped cookies brought everyone in today. I didn’t visit any of the other neighborhoods today as I was primarily interested in what the pricing would be at Verandas. The models at Verandas saw a good amount of traffic (as even finding a parking spot was a little tough). From the looks of it, some people were seriously considering purchasing. Others weren’t so pleased.. I overheard some guy say that the floor plan on Model 1 was crap lol 😉

We took a quick tour through the three models and weren’t too impressed. Everything felt cramped even though there was plenty of square footage (1887-2394 sq ft). In general, I like the large kitchen that opens into the great room. None of the models felt like that to me and I’m having a hard time thinking about something positive to say about them. They aren’t all that bad, but for a new home my expectations are just different I suppose.

Perhaps the pricing is what is most appealing about this tract. The Plan 1’s start at $674,990. That’s a pretty competitive price (isn’t it?) for the market right now. A quick ZipRealty search of similar homes didn’t provide too many results. You can find the rest of the pricing in the Verandas thread on our Forums.

Did anyone else check these (or any other) models out? What did you think?