Monthly Archives: January 2010

Housing Guru Calls for Principal Reductions

No, not me. John Mulkey, Housing Guru from Waleska, Georgia, calls for principal reductions. Today we examine his arguments and a beautiful short sale in Shady Canyon.

96 CANYON Crk Irvine, CA 92603 kitchen

Irvine Home Address … 96 CANYON Crk Irvine, CA 92603
Resale Home Price …… $4,500,000

{book1}

Who are you?
Who, who, who, who?

I woke up in a Soho doorway
A policeman knew my name
He said “You can go sleep at home tonight
If you can get up and walk away”

I staggered back to the underground
And the breeze blew back my hair
I remember throwin’ punches around
And preachin’ from my chair

Who Are You — The Who

So who is John Mulkey, Housing Guru from Waleska, Georgia? He is a realtor who posts on Active Rain to network and find business. He expresses opinions shared by many realtors — and he couldn’t be more wrong. He managed to write a post I interpret as genius parody, a channeling of sheeple energy so full of unintentional irony that it casts reflective light on the tormented souls of the clueless masses.

Punishing Foreclosure Victims Only Continues The Pain For All Of Us

“While news stories, articles, and blogs continue to be written about “Strategic Default” and how those facing foreclosure shouldn’t be allowed to walk away or have their mortgage balance reduced, punishing foreclosure victims only continues the pain for all of us.
The problem we face isn’t one of a few hundred or even a few thousand
who carelessly spent beyond their means;”

It is way, way more than a few thousand who carelessly spent
beyond their means. Mortgage Equity withdrawal was fueling the US
economy for the last decade
. The attempt at minimizing the issue is
hereby exposed as fraud.

“this issue touches tens of
millions of U. S. homeowners, the majority of whom acted responsibly,
and with the knowledge available to them at the time. Most thought they
were making wise choices. How
can we blame the homebuyer for not seeing the fallacy of never-ending
home price escalation?”

The sheeple bought on the foolish advice of realtors, the experts, probably using a toxic loan per the foolish advice of their mortgage broker, another expert. I will acknowledge that we cannot blame homebuyers; we should blame realtors and mortgage brokers who peddled that bad advice as experts.

“In their recent testimony before Congress, the
heads of the big banks said they didn’t see it. Jamie Dimon,
Chairman and CEO of JP Morgan Chase said, “Somehow we just missed that
home prices don’t go up forever,” an erroneous assumption shared by the
U. S. Treasury.
And if the “brilliant” minds on Wall Street
didn’t see the crash coming, who could expect those on Main Street to
have superior knowledge? Regardless of what Mr. Dimon may have
known, few anticipated the intensity of the housing crash or the scope
of its reach.”

When I read this quote, I burst out laughing. The author of this post was using this quote as support for his argument that experts failed and therefore he is not responsible for anything. The irony of the quote and the subtle sarcasm in Mr. Dimon words completely escaped the author. And for the record, many people from Wall Street to Main Street saw this coming, me included.

“It’s time to stop blaming the home purchaser and to
accept the only workable solution for both them and for the housing
market in general. It’s time to see beyond what we perceive as the
“morality” of the solutions for those facing foreclosure, and to look
to what solution best serves the country as a whole. And that is to
reduce the principle of homes underwater to their current value.”

WTF? The reasons for me not wanting to give money to my underwater neighbor are many and complex, and “putting aside morality” and taking one for the team are not likely to persuade me to change my mind. Remember, responsible homeowners are NOT losing their homes. Who am I supposed to pity? The genius whose idea of personal finance is a Ponzi Scheme?

I have an idea; why doesn’t the author start writing personal checks to the lenders himself. Isn’t that what he is asking us to do? Somebody has to lose a great deal of money, and as someone who had nothing to do with the fiasco, I really don’t want it to be me. I don’t want the government to use my tax dollars to bail out anyone, much less a HELOC abuser who looks down on me as a lowly renter.

“Such
an action would immediately help to stabilize a large portion of the
market, and would protect neighboring homes from further declines in
value. It would not affect the bank’s or investor’s equity, for the
homes are only worth what they’re worth; and foreclosure sometimes
results in below market returns.”

The problem with banks is not the equity in the property, it is the book value of their loans. Writing off the balances would wipe out our banking system, that is the problem. The author thinks this has something to do with home values; it doesn’t. This crisis has everything to do with bank loan balances, capital ratios, and borrowers making payments. Since he has incorrectly defined the problem, any solution he comes up with will be erroneous.

“Those who speak of the inherent
unfairness of such a solution fail to consider the ultimate damage of
continued foreclosures, the consequences of which will depress home
prices for years.”

So what? Home prices are what they are. What difference does it make to society if home prices are up or if they are depressed? If people are living in their homes and making payments, it should not matter. Depressed or stagnating prices does rob realtors of their ability to stoke buyer fears to inflate housing bubbles, but it also makes housing affordable for real families and stimulates the economy by freeing up personal income for personal spending rather than spending on debt service.

“If we’re serious about solving the foreclosure
crisis, let’s address the underlying cause—homes worth less than their
mortgage.”

The underlying cause of default is not negative equity. Negative equity is motivating defaults because the sheeple were told by realtors and mortgage brokers prices would go up forever, and when that did not happen, they bailed. Negative equity merely exposes the poor underlying motivation for home ownership: making a profit, and the people are making a rational business and investment decision when they default. Perhaps if realtors didn’t create false expectations through their ridiculous representations about appreciation, then negative equity will stop being a problem because owners will pay less attention. In addition, negative equity will stop occurring because people will not buy for foolish reasons and inflate housing bubbles.

“I’ve recently seen comments from some
who said, “I don’t care if my home declines in value, I don’t want to
save those who acted stupidly.” And while I doubt that those making
such statements really aren’t concerned about future decreases in the
value of their own home, I do think they want to punish those who they
perceive as taking advantage of the situation.”

Did this guy just call everyone who disagrees with him a vindictive liar?

“However, the problem
extends beyond housing, and millions will continue to suffer until we
begin to restore economic order and sanity. We must do something; and
the palliative measures of government have demonstrated their
inadequacy to bring solutions. What is needed is bold action, from
leaders unafraid of the political consequences. Whether it’s
legislation to allow for “cram-downs” or forcing banks to lower
principle balances on homes underwater, to fail to enact a workable
solution is to allow the morass to continue; indeed to perpetuate it.”

I agree with his conclusion that failing to act will cause the morass to perpetuate.

Great! Bring it on!

Populist appeals to self-serving instincts give false hopes to many, and contrary to the author’s desires, such false hopes from posts like his only serve to allow the morass to continue; indeed to perpetuate it.

Negative equity is not a a complicated or confused situation, and the defaults and foreclosures are not a social problem requiring government intervention. Calling for someone else to pay the price, notably shifting the entire burden of poor decision making from borrowers to lenders and US taxpayers is never going to sit well with me.

Lenders are more culpable than borrowers, but not that much more, and I am not thrilled about seeing lender’s share of the losses increase as long as I am guaranteeing them.

No twist of logic or compelling narrative is going to remove the moral hazard; principal reductions to restore equity are wrong, and I will speak out against them as often and as loudly as I can.

96 CANYON Crk Irvine, CA 92603 kitchen

Irvine Home Address … 96 CANYON Crk Irvine, CA 92603

Resale Home Price … $4,500,000

Income Requirement ……. $943,473
Downpayment Needed … $900,000
20% Down Conventional

Home Purchase Price … $5,700,000
Home Purchase Date …. 5/11/2007

Net Gain (Loss) ………. $(1,470,000)
Percent Change ………. -21.1%
Annual Appreciation … -8.5%

Mortgage Interest Rate ………. 5.11%
Monthly Mortgage Payment … $19,568
Monthly Cash Outlays ………… $25,200
Monthly Cost of Ownership … $17,980

Property Details for 96 CANYON Crk Irvine, CA 92603

Gourmet Kitchen Award

Beds 5
Baths 6 full 2 part baths
Home Size 9,489 sq ft
($474 / sq ft)
Lot Size 28,766 sq ft
Year Built 2009
Days on Market 373
Listing Updated 1/20/2010
MLS Number C10006941
Property Type Single Family, Residential
Community Turtle Rock
Tract Rb

According to the listing agent, this listing may be a pre-foreclosure or short sale.

Come see this beautiful Tuscan Style Estate with views of the canyon and city lights in the gated community of Shady Canyon! There is approx 9,489 square feet of living space including a separate pool house with 3/4 bathroom and kitchenet. The gourmet kitchen and butlers pantry has ample space to prepare for dinner parties yet functional for everyday cooking. Take the elevator to the basement for the theater room and an additional room that can be transformed into a wine room, gym or bonus craft room. The main floor boasts a library/study, formal living room, informal living room, TV family room, gourmet kitchen with butlers pantry. Outside you will find a pool and spa, built in BBQ and bar area, outdoor fireplace with seating area, three separate water features including the entry fountain. This Estate is awesome!

Gourmet Kitchen Award

Two gourmet kitchens? How many do you need? Do you often have visiting gourmets that need a place to work?

A few weeks ago in Foreclosures Ravage Irvine’s High End, I profiled 63 CANYON Crk Irvine, CA 92603, a new build in Shady Canyon where the owner walked and let the lender take back the property. On that property, the lender is holding out for an unrealistic asking price hoping to break even.

Today’s featured property is another big lender loss on the way. They are advertising the property as a short sale to generate interest, but I question if they will find much. Everyone knows more of these properties is coming, and nobody wants to be a knife catcher. Many will anyway.

How long before they give up on the short sale and move this property?

Foreclosure Record
Recording Date: 12/23/2009
Document Type: Notice of Sale (aka Notice of Trustee’s Sale)

Foreclosure Record
Recording Date: 09/21/2009
Document Type: Notice of Default

Conservative House Financing – Part 3

What they are saying about The Great Housing Bubble

“…the author has a background in real estate that’s far removed from
the sales process, he’s able to step back and provide the sort of
unemotional, macro-economic overview that seems quite atypical for a
guide to investing in real estate.

…Filled with 64 exhibits, 146 footnotes and a nine-page bibliography
of source material, “The Great Housing Bubble” is probably not a casual
read during a day at the pool or the beach. But for real estate
professionals wanting to educate themselves or their clients on how to
successfully build wealth through the buying and selling of real
property, this author has a lot to teach.”

Patrick S. DuffyPrincipal with MetroIntelligence Real Estate Advisors and author of The Housing Chronicles Blog.

Mortgage Equity Withdrawal

Mortgage Equity Withdrawal or MEW is the process of obtaining cash
through refinancing residential real estate using the accumulated
equity as collateral for the loan. Before MEW homeowners would have to
wait until the property was sold to get their equity converted to cash.
Apparently, this was deemed an inefficient use of capital, so lenders
found ways to “liberate” this equity with home equity lines of
credit or cash-out mortgage refinancing. Home equity lines of credit
are popular with lenders despite the additional risk of being in the
second or third lien position because borrowers are less likely to
default or prepay than non-cash-out refinancing. [1] The impact of MEW
on equity is obvious; it reduces equity by increasing the loan balance.
It has been noted that equity is a fantasy and debt is real, and MEW is
the process of living the fantasy with the addition of very real debt.
MEW has been utilized by homeowners for home improvement for decades,
but the widespread use of this money for consumer spending was largely
an innovation of the Great Housing Bubble. [ii] Since consumer spending
is almost 70% of the US economy, mortgage equity withdrawal was the
primary mechanism of economic growth after the recession of 2001–a
recession caused by the deflation of another asset bubble, the
NASDAQ technology stock bubble.

Figure 9: Mortgage Equity Withdrawal, 1991-2006

Many people who extracted their home equity lost their homes for
lack of ability to refinance or make their new payments. After so many
people lost their homes due to their own reckless borrowing, it is
natural to wonder why these people did it. Why did they risk their home
for a little spending money? First, it was not just a little money.
Many markets saw home values increase at a rate equal to the local
median income. It was as if their home was another breadwinner. The
lure of this easy money was too much for many to resist. The rampant,
in-your-face, marketing of these loans in every available media outlet
touting the glossy “lifestyle” of over-the-top consumerism was a drug
to many spending addicts. Also, during the bubble rally people really
believed their house values would go up forever, and they would always
have the ability to refinance enormous debts at low interest rates and
maintain very low debt service costs. Most people did not think it
possible they would end up in circumstances where they would lose their
homes; however, they were mistaken. Given these beliefs, the equity
accumulating in their house was “free money” they just needed to access
in order to live and to spend like rich people. Even though they were
consuming their net worth, and making themselves poor, they believed
they were rich, and they wanted to spend accordingly.

Most homeowners do not save money for major improvements and
required maintenance, and these homeowners often take out home
equity lines of credit as a method of mortgage equity withdrawal to
fund home improvement projects. The logic here is that renovations
improve the property so an increase in property value offsets the
additional debt. In reality, home improvement projects rarely adds
value on a dollar-for-dollar basis, particularly with exterior
enhancements which often only return 50 cents on the dollar in value.
[iii] The home-improvement craze was so common that the term
“pergraniteel” was coined to describe the Pergo fake wood floors,
granite countertops, and steel appliances that defined the Great
Housing Bubble era in much the same way as shag carpeting and wood wall
paneling defined the interior decorating of the 1970s.

Much of the money homeowners borrowed fueled consumer spending and
reinforced poor financial management techniques. It was common during
the bubble rally for people to run up enormous credit card bills then
refinance every year and pay them off. [iv] It is foolish enough to
finance consumer spending, but it is even more foolish to pay for this
spending over the 30-year term of a typical mortgage. The consumptive
value fades quickly, but the debt endures for a very long time. Many
people responded to the “free money” their house was earning by
liberating their equity as soon as they could so they could buy cars,
take vacations, and generally live the good life. This borrow-and-spend
mentality was actually encouraged by lenders who were eager to make
these loans and even the government which was benefiting by economic
expansion and higher tax receipts.

The recession of 2001 was caused by the collapse of stock prices and
the resulting diminishment of corporate investment. The recession was
shallow, but the economy had difficulty recovering mostly due to
continued erosion of manufacturing jobs. [v] The Federal Reserve under
Alan Greenspan was desperate to reignite economic growth, so the
FED funds rate was lowered to 1% and kept there for more than a year.
It was hoped this increased liquidity would go into business investment
to restart the troubled economy; instead, it went into mortgage loans
and consumers’ pockets through mortgage equity withdrawal. Basically,
the economic recovery from 2001 through 2005 was an illusion created by
excessive borrowing and rampant spending by homeowners. The economy did
not grow through production; it grew through consumption.

There are many theories as to the decline and fall of the Roman
Empire. [vi] One of the more intriguing is the idea that Rome fell
because it was weakened by the parasitic nature of Rome itself. Rome
existed to consume the resources of the empire. Boats would come to the
city loaded with goods and leave the city empty. Consumption kept the
masses happy and thereby quelled civil unrest. The Roman Empire was the
world’s only superpower with an unsurpassed military might. Equally
unsurpassed was its ability to consume resources. Does any of this
sound like the United States? The United States has clearly become a
consumer nation, and the government continues to borrow huge sums of
money to keep the economic engine of consumption going. In early 2008,
Congress passed a “stimulus” package where many people would receive
direct gifts of money in the hope they would spend it and keep the
economy going. Since the Federal Government was already running a
deficit, this money was borrowed from future tax receipts. In other
words, this handout was obtained from future generations. With house
prices crashing, direct handouts of borrowed government money were
necessary to make up for the loss of borrowed private sector money that
used to be available through mortgage equity withdrawal.

The Fallacy of Financial Innovation

The cutting edge is sharp. Innovators often pay a heavy price for
attempts at advancement. Sometimes these advances lead to quantum leaps
in human knowledge and understanding. Sometimes the time, effort, and
money are merely thrown into the abyss. The financial innovations of
the Great Housing Bubble are of the latter category. When the lending
industry developed exotic loan products, they touted them as
“innovation,” and they sold these toxins far and wide. [vii] Since
these loans achieved the highest default rates ever recorded, it is
apparent the “innovations” of the bubble rally were not entirely
successful. It is amazing that a group of assumingly intelligent
bankers came up with these loans and expected a positive outcome.
[viii] The “innovation” meme is nothing more than a public relations
effort to convince brokers the products were safe to sell and borrowers
the products were safe to use. It is hard to fathom the widespread
acceptance of this nonsense, but that is the nature of the pathological
beliefs of a financial mania.

Many in the lending industry think their work is like science that
continually advances. It is not. It is far more akin to assembly line
work where the same widgets are pumped out year after year. When
lenders start to innovate, trouble is brewing. The last significant
advancement in lending was the widespread use of 30-year amortizing
loans that came into favor after World War II. Prior to that time, home
loans were interest-only, short-term loans with very high
equity requirements (50% was most common). This proved problematic in
the Great Depression as many out-of-work owners defaulted on their
loans. A mechanism had to be found to get new buyers into the markets
and allow them to pay off the loan. The answer was the 30-year,
fixed-rate amortizing loan. To say this was an innovation is a stretch
as this loan has been around as long as banking has existed, but it did
not become widely used until equity requirements were lowered. The
lenders were willing to lower the equity requirements as long as the
loan was amortizing because their risk would decline as time went by
and the loan balance was paid off.

Over the last 60 years since World War II ended, a number of
experimental loan programs have been attempted. These include
interest-only loans, adjustable rate loans, and negative
amortization loans among others. It is this group of loans that has
consistently failed in the past for one simple reason: if payments can
adjust higher, people will default. The Option ARM is certainly the
most sophisticated loan ever developed. It is also a dismal failure,
not because it lacks sophistication, but because it has embedded within
it the possibility (near certainty) of an increasing payment. Any loan
program that has the possibility of a higher future payment will fail
because there will be a certain number of people who cannot afford the
higher payment.

Here is where the lenders delude themselves and deceive the general
public after a financial debacle like the Savings and Loan problems of
the 1980s or the Great Housing Bubble. They blame the collapse and the
high default rates on some outside factor rather than the terms and
conditions the lenders created all on their own. There are still many
out there who believe the high default rates and problems in the
housing market in the 90s in California were caused by a weak economy.
This is rubbish. House prices declined for 6 years. The decline started
before the economy went soft, and it continued well after it had
recovered. People defaulted because they overextended themselves on
loans to buy overpriced housing, and toward the end of the mania, many
were using interest-only loans. Whenever lenders start loaning people
money with total debt-to-income ratios over 36% people will default.
Whenever lenders start loaning more than 80% of the purchase price,
people can sink underwater and when they do, they will default. This is
not new. It happened in the early 90s; it happened during the Great
Housing Bubble, and it happened for the same reasons: lax lending
standards.

Someday the lending community may actually innovate and come up with
some financial product that has low default rates which most people can
qualify to obtain–or not. Unless you change human nature, there are
always going to be people who are too irresponsible to make consistent
payments. People either do or do not make their payments. This is the
key to any loan program. New terms and schedules can be reinvented over
and over again, and it will always boil down to people making payments.
When complicated loan programs contain provisions that make it
difficult for people to make payments–like increasing payment
amounts–they will default, and the loan program will fail. This is
certain.

Whenever lenders create new, “sophisticated” loan programs that
require advanced financial management on the part of the borrower, both
the lenders and the borrowers fall victim to the Lake Wobegon effect.
[ix] Everyone thinks they have above average abilities when it comes to
managing their finances. In reality, perhaps 2% of borrowers have the
financial discipline to handle an Option ARM loan. Unfortunately, 80%
of borrowers think they are in this 2%. The reason for this comes from
the inherent conflict between emotions and intellect. Eighty percent of
borrowers may understand the Option ARM loan (or think they do,) but
when the pressures of daily life create emotional demands for spending
money on one’s lifestyle, the intellectual knowledge that this money
should go toward a housing payment is conveniently set aside. It is
this 2% of the most disciplined borrowers who will cut back on
discretionary spending to make their full housing payment. Everyone
else will make the minimum payment, fall behind on their mortgage, and
end up in foreclosure.

It seems lenders forget basic facts about lending every so often and
create a new financial bubble. Perhaps they succumb to the pressure of
the investment community or their own shareholders, or perhaps they
just start believing their own “innovation” marketing pitch and forget
the basics of sound lending practices. This is why there are recessions
at the end of a business cycle. These pathologic lending practices must
be purged from the system or else they will survive to build an even
bigger and costlier bubble. Although it is difficult to imagine a
bubble bigger than the Great Housing Bubble, it is still possible.

In the aftermath of a financial fiasco, lenders return to the
practices that did not fail them in the past. The only program lenders
know empirically to be stable is a 30-year, fixed-rate, conventionally
amortizing loan based on 80% of appraised value taking no more than 28%
of a borrower’s gross income (36% maximum total debt). The credit
crunch facilitated the decline in housing prices after the Great
Housing Bubble. Large downpayments came back, and government assisted
financing became widely used by first-time homebuyers to overcome the
high equity requirements. The credit crunch was not caused by some
unexpected or unknown factor; it was caused by the failure of lenders.
Credit continued to tighten until lenders stopped making bad loans. The
bad loans did not disappear until lenders returned to the stable loan
programs with a proven track record. That is how the credit
cycle works. [x]

Summary

To be financially conservative is to accumulate wealth and to be
risk adverse. It requires managing equity, paying down a mortgage loan,
and allowing net worth to accumulate rather than depleting it via
consumer spending through mortgage equity withdrawal. Many people do
not realize the risk they take on when they use some of the innovative
loan programs developed during the bubble. Exotic financing terms are
not exotic anymore. Interest-only, adjustable rates and negative
amortization have become so ubiquitous that nobody seems to remember
why 30-year fixed-rate mortgages are used. A home should be financed
with a fixed-rate conventionally-amortized mortgage and a sizable
downpayment. The reason for this is simple stress management: nobody
wants to spend the next several years worried about a loan reset or the
need for increasing house values or future salary increases. People
should not buy with the desire to make a fortune in real estate.
Instead, they should purchase with the intent to have a stable housing
payment, and a stress-free life.



[1] The conclusion of the paper Subprime Refinancing: Equity Extraction and Mortgage Termination (Chomsisengphet & Pennington-Cross, 2006)
is as follows, “Consistent with survey evidence the propensity to
extract equity while refinancing is sensitive to interest rates on
other forms of consumer debt. After the loan is originated, our results
indicate that cash-out refinances perform differently from non-cash-out
refinances. For example, cash-outs are less likely to default or
prepay, and the termination of cash-outs is more sensitive to changing
interest rates and house prices.” The sensitivity to changes in
interest rates is not surprising as borrowers will take the money if it
is a good deal, and they will repay it when the deal is less favorable.
The observation that these loans have lower default rates and are less
likely to be paid back early is quite surprising. This may have been an
artifact of the bubble rally, and future data may show these loans do
not perform as well as in previous years.

[ii] Robert Shiller wrote a paper on Household Reactions to Changes in Housing Wealth (Shiller, Household Reaction to Changes in Housing Wealth, 2004).
He reached no definitive conclusions concerning the reactions to
households to increasing home prices. At the time of his writing, the
bubble was inflated enough to be obvious to him, and he does mention
the bubble and its potential problems. The impact of mortgage
equity withdrawal had not reached absurd height in early 2004, but by
2006, the pattern of household spending had become fairly obvious. In
2007 Oxford professor John Muellbauer wrote Housing, Credit and
Consumer Expenditures (Muellbauer, 2007).
His conclusion is that the spending “wealth effect” was insignificant
in the past due to more restrictive credit policies which limited
access to home equity (financial prudence on the part of lenders.)
After the “liberalization” of credit markets and the dramatic increase
in prices of the housing bubble, the consumer spending brought about by
the wealth effect became pronounced. The wealth effect observed in the
Great Housing Bubble was much larger than the wealth effect of the
stock market bubble which preceded, and the effect was twice as large
in the United States as it was in Great Britain.

[iii] There is a lack of scholarly studies on the financial results of home improvement projects (Baker & Kaul, 2002).
Builder behavior is often revelatory of the state of the market. In
most markets new home builders do not put in rear yard landscaping
because they are not able to obtain a return on the investment. Also,
the fact that builders have multitudes of upgrade options from a base
package indicates the premium finishes do not provide a market return
unless specifically requested by a purchaser. Builders can profit in
that circumstance.

[iv] The evidence of consistent refinancing is anecdotal, but it is
reinforced by national statistical trends from the US Governments Flow
of Funds accounting.

[v] In the paper (Leamer, Housing Is the Business Cycle, 2007), the author has graphs showing the loss of manufacturing jobs after the recession of 2001.

[vi] (Gibbon, 1999)

[vii] In the paper Innovations in Mortgage Markets and Increased Spending on Housing (Doms & Krainer, Innovations in Mortgage Markets and Increased Spending on Housing, 2007),
Mark Doms and John Krainer document how financial innovation helped
facilitate the housing bubble. Their abstract is as follows:
“Innovations in the mortgage market since the mid-1990s have
effectively reduced a number of financing constraints. Coinciding with
these innovations, we document a significant change in the propensity
for households to own their homes, as well as substantial increases in
the share of household income devoted to housing. These changes in
housing expenditures are especially large for those groups that faced
the greatest financial constraints, and are robust across the changing
composition of households and their geographic location. We present
evidence that young, constrained households may have used newly
designed mortgages to finance their increased expenditures on housing.”
Notice the “innovation” reduced financing constraints. This is the
definition of loose credit. They also note the increase in home
ownership and the increase in debt-to-income ratios. The latter is a
telltale sign of a housing market bubble. The exotic loans tended to be
concentrated in younger households who used to be excluded from the
housing market due to lack of downpayments and insufficient income.
Basically, exotic loans were given to persons who were not ready for
home ownership, and the high default rates among this group should not
have been a surprise.

[viii] In response to the dramatic increase in subprime
delinquencies in 2007, the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
commissioned a report on Subprime Mortgage Delinquency Rates (Doms, Furlong, & Krainer, Subprime Mortgage Delinquency Rates, 2007).
The report’s conclusions were as follows: “First, the riskiness of the
subprime borrowing pool may have increased. Second, pockets of regional
economic weakness may have helped push a larger proportion of subprime
borrowers into delinquency. Third, for a variety of reasons, the recent
history of local house price appreciation and the degree of house price
deceleration may have affected delinquency rates on subprime mortgages.
While we find a role for all three candidate explanations, patterns in
recent house price appreciation are far and away the best single
predictor of delinquency levels and changes in delinquencies.
Importantly, after controlling for the current level of house price
appreciation, measures of house price deceleration remain significant
predictors of changes in subprime delinquencies. The results point to a
possible role for changes in house price expectations for explaining
changes in delinquencies.” In later sections the relationship between
default rates and default losses is explored. When prices decline,
default losses increase because lenders get less money from the
collateral in a foreclosure. This report from the FRBSF demonstrates
that lenders also face higher default rates, probably due to borrowers
“giving up” when they owe more on their mortgage than their house is
worth. These two phenomenon have a negative synergy. In a related
report by Kristopher Gerardi, Adam Hale Shapiro, and Paul S. Willen
titled Subprime Outcomes: Risky Mortgages, Homeownership Experiences,
and Foreclosures (Gerardi, Shapiro, & Willen, 2007),
the authors make the following observations, “First, homeownerships
that begin with a subprime purchase mortgage end up in foreclosure
almost 20 percent of the time, or more than 6 times as often as
experiences that begin with prime purchase mortgages. Second, house
price appreciation plays a dominant role in generating foreclosures. In
fact, we attribute most of the dramatic rise in Massachusetts
foreclosures during 2006 and 2007 to the decline in house prices that
began in the summer of 2005.”

[ix] In the paper Unskilled and Unaware of It: How Difficulties in
Recognizing One’s Own Incompetence Lead to Inflated Self-Assessments (Kruger & Dunning, 1999),
the authors noted the tendency of individuals to overestimate their own
competence and abilities. Their primary conclusion is as follows
“People tend to hold overly favorable views of their abilities in many
social and intellectual domains. The authors suggest that this
overestimation occurs, in part, because people who are unskilled in
these domains suffer a dual burden: Not only do these people reach
erroneous conclusions and make unfortunate choices, but their
incompetence robs them of the metacognitive ability to realize it.” It
is a perfect description of the general public and their relationship
to complex financial agreements like Option ARMs.

[x] The author is a believer in the Austrian School of Economics.
Two of the sources of research and understanding on the credit
cycle are The Hedge Fund Edge: Maximum Profit / Minimum Risk Global
Trend Trading Strategies (Boucher, 1999), and Money, Bank Credit, and Economic Cycles (Soto, 2006).

IHB News 1-23-2010

We launch Ideal Home Brokers Trustee Sale Service today, and not-coincidentally, we have a Trustee Sale purchase being flipped. We can put families with cash in properties at Trustee Sale prices instead of flippers.

7 MOON DUST 25 Irvine, CA 92603 kitchen

Irvine Home Address … 7 MOON DUST 25 Irvine, CA 92603

Resale Home Price …… $535,000

{book1}

We have cleared off the table

The leftovers saved,

Washed the dishes and put them away.

I have told you a story

And tucked you in tight

At the end of your knock about day.

As the moon sets its sails

To carry you to sleep

Over the midnight sea,

I will sing you a song no one sang to me

May it keep you good company?

You can be anybody that you want to be

You can love whomever you will.

You can travel any country

Where your heart leads

And know I will love you still.

Everything Possible — Shaina Noll

IHB News

A long time reader of the Irvine Housing Blog recently contacted us for our support.

Todd Larsen, director of the Irvine Music Academy has been struck with leukemia at age 44. He was the family's sole wage earner taking care of his wife and 10 month old son by teaching music and coaching swim lessons in Irvine.

Thankfully Todd has great health insurance but unfortunately did not have disability insurance. As you can imagine his family's world has been turned upside down. The Irvine community has been holding walk-a-thons and auctions to help the family make ends meet. (Click below to read more about how the Irvine community is rallying around the family – the second link is to Todd's blog where tickets to the event can be purchased.

http://www.ocregister.com/articles/larsen-todd-family-2606906-leukemia-supporters )

http://toddrockinleukemia.blogspot.com/

Members of IHB team will be attending the event at the House of Blues in Anaheim (Downtown Disney) on February 1st starting at 6pm and we have purchased extra tickets and invite any readers that would like to attend with us to contact Shevy Akason, shevy.akason@evergreenrealty.net to reserve a ticket to attend with the IHB Group. Or if you would like to attend on your own, tickets to the event can be purchased on Todd's blog at http://www.toddrockinleukemia.blogspot.com/.

Housing Bubble News from Patrick.net

Banks start foreclosure on 1,500 Orange County mortgages and High End Auction Properties Abound.

$1 million-plus houses in Orange County repo pipeline (mortgage.freedomblogging.com)

One in seven U.S. mortgages foreclosing or delinquent (reuters.com)

F.H.A. to Raise Standards for Mortgage Insurance (nytimes.com)

Housing Starts, Vacant Units and the Unemployment Rate (calculatedriskblog.com)

Obama to Propose New Limits on Banks (online.wsj.com)

The End of Wall Street As We Know It (blog.newsweek.com)

Wall St. Weighs Legal Challenge to Proposed Bank Tax (nytimes.com)

Goldman delays bonus decision (reuters.com)

Bankers Without a Clue (nytimes.com)

Moral Hazard and the Crisis (newyorker.com)

Homebuilding

Housing starts in 2009 worst since World War II (csmonitor.com)

Builders, buyers embrace smaller houses (marketwatch.com)

$75 Oil Cannot Support House Construction in Burbs (mybudget360.com)

Housing market's recovery to be slow, builder convention told (signonsandiego.com)

Warren Buffett's thoughts on bailout, housing, tax (nypost.com)

China

China and the U.S.: Dysfunctional Real Estate Bubble Twins (Charles Hugh Smith)

What Are the Costs of China's Currency Policy? (knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu)

Japan, China, Greece and Geithner (theautomaticearth.blogspot.com)

Rogers Says Hong Kong Property in Bubble (businessweek.com)

Hong Kong Leads Gains in Global House Prices (bloomberg.com)

Canada

Strength of Canadian housing market questioned (albertalocalnews.com)

Forclosed Whistler ski resort to auctioned during Vancouver Olympics (olympics.thestar.com)

Our Lending Overlords

More bank failures expected in 2010 (therealdeal.com)

Failing Banks Offer Good CD Rates And FDIC Guarantee (financemymoney.com)

Joseph Stiglitz: 'We're More Strict With Our Poor Than With Our Banks' (huffingtonpost.com)

Poll Results from MA: Voters Think Obama Sides With Banks (thepeoplesvoice.org)

Obama Wades Deeper Into Banking Debate (nytimes.com)

7 MOON DUST 25 Irvine, CA 92603 kitchen

Irvine Home Address … 7 MOON DUST 25 Irvine, CA 92603

Resale Home Price … $535,000

Income Requirement ……. $112,168

Downpayment Needed … $107,000

20% Down Conventional

Home Purchase Price … $452,100

Home Purchase Date …. 1/4/2010

Net Gain (Loss) ………. $50,800

Percent Change ………. 18.3%

Annual Appreciation … 220.0%

Mortgage Interest Rate ………. 5.11%

Monthly Mortgage Payment … $2,326

Monthly Cash Outlays ………… $3,130

Monthly Cost of Ownership … $2,510

Property Details for 7 MOON DUST 25 Irvine, CA 92603 https://www.irvinehousingblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/02/turkey.JPG

Beds 2

Baths 2 full 1 part baths

Home Size 1,525 sq ft

($351 / sq ft)

Lot Size n/a

Year Built 1982

Days on Market 8

Listing Updated 1/20/2010

MLS Number P718065

Property Type Condominium, Residential

Community Turtle Rock

Tract Rb

Great Townhome in Prestigious Turtle Rock Community. Desireable corner location with a bright lit and welcoming living room, dining room, open kitchen and family room layout, fireplace, and stainless steel applianes. Within a quiet community featuring a swimming pool, spa, walking trails and tennis courts. Standard Sale, not an REO or Short-Sale! Turnkey Property! Perfect for first time home buyers and/or investors.

Desireable? applianes?

Check out that rate-of-return. If you make a huge profit in a short period of time, that is what happens. No wonder flippers are everywhere….

Ideal Home Brokers Trustee Sale Service

Over the last 3 days, the Foreclosure 101 series covered the key points of the foreclosure process leading to a Trustee Sale:

Foreclosure 101: Vesting Title

Foreclosure 101: Non-Judicial Foreclosure

Foreclosure 101: Mechanics of a Trustee Sale

The Trustee Sale market offers unique challenges and opportunities; successful buyers can (1) save significant money and (2) have exclusive market access — two huge advantages. Buyers at Trustee Sales routinely save 10% or more after fees and taxes. There are risks with these purchases, but with good information, these risks can be minimized.

Ideal Home Brokers researches properties and provides exclusive access to this data to our customers. We report (1) basic property information, (2) Trustee Sale comparables, (3) resale market comparables, (4) rental comparables and cashflow value, (5) detailed acquisitions costs including fees, taxes and other expenses, and (6) recommendations of maximum bid price.

Ideal Home Brokers is your window on the Trustee Sale market and your doorway to access this unique opportunity.

HOW THE PROCESS WORKS

This section contains a conceptual overview of the process, the language contained here is to inform, and it has no legal standing. Any conflict or contradiction real or implied by this section is superseded by language of Buyer Representation Agreement and remainder of the Trustee Sale Agreement (not included in this posting).

Broker herein agrees to provide Buyer with professional assistance in the acquisition of foreclosure property at the Trustee Sale (Sale), and Buyer herein agrees to pay Broker a Trustee Sale Service Fee (Fee) for the successful acquisition of a property at a Sale.

Buyer understands the risks involved, including the possibility of total loss, and has the sufficient cash resources to produce the cashier’s checks required to bid at Sales. Broker is a consultant providing available information to assist Buyer in making a buying decision and acting Agent to obtain property at Sale.

Establish Search Parameters

The first step of the process the development of a Buyer property profile that includes the following information:

  • Location(s)
  • Age range
  • Square footage range
  • Numbers of bedrooms and bathrooms
  • Other physical attributes important to buyer
  • Price range of properties that Buyer is seeking

Broker shall provide Buyer with ongoing and updated information on all foreclosure Properties scheduled for Sale matching the Buyer’s profile as well as information on all matching properties listed in the Multiple Listing Service (MLS). Buyer awareness of market values of the matching properties assists in determining property bids at Sale.

Select Properties for Initial Research

Buyer shall review matching Properties, and inform Broker as to which Property or Properties, if any, the Buyer is interested in purchasing at Sale. Broker shall conduct research and compile a preliminary property report. This report, the IHB Preliminary Auction Value Report, shall include the following:

  • Detailed description of Property
  • Property tax information (tax rate, Mello Roos status, etc.)
  • Basic Home Owners Association information, if any
  • Recent market comparable sales
  • Recent comparable foreclosure sales, if any
  • IHB Fundamental Value Report information tailored to Trustee Sales
  • Updated Trustee Sale Status (confirmation of current Sale date, published bid, etc.)

Buyer shall review the IHB Preliminary Auction Value Report and discuss with Broker. If the Buyer has continued interest in the Property, the Buyer shall conduct a visual drive-by of the Property and neighborhood, viewing the Property only from the public right of way. If Buyer has continued interest and the Property is also listed for sale on the MLS, Broker and Buyer shall view the interior and exterior of the Property, and Buyer shall make a determination as to whether or not to bid on the Property at the Sale.

Filter Properties with Final Research

Upon determination by Buyer that they want to bid on a specific Property at the Sale, Broker shall conduct further detailed research on the Property and compile a final report, the Title and Lien Report, which shall include:

  • Title -all persons currently vested on title, or previously vested at any time as of or since the acquisition of the Property.
  • Liens – all Trust Deeds and all other liens currently encumbering Property, and an analysis of their effect or standing, if any, at or following the Sale
  • Property Tax Status – total property taxes owed against the property, if any, including current taxes, delinquent taxes, and penalties
  • Other information – anything that Broker may deem pertinent to the Sale, Title, or to the Property itself
  • Final Analysis – an estimate of the total amount that will still be owed on the Property, if any, following purchase at the Sale, a description of Broker’s opinion of the overall viability of a successful Sale purchase.

Prior to the Sale, Broker and Buyer will (1) meet to discuss the Title and Lien Report, and the Property, (2) make a final determination as to whether or not to bid at the Sale, and, if so, (3) determine the maximum bid. The discussion is far ranging, and Broker will advise Buyer on (1) accounting for true acquisition costs including fees and taxes, (2) adjusting bids to allow for unknowns and assess Buyer’s goals and motivations for the Sale to ensure the property is a correct fit. An accurate calculation of the Buyer‘s maximum amount the is critical, as neither Buyer nor Broker shall exercise judgment on the day of Sale as to how much to bid. Broker, merely attends the auction to observe and participate in the bidding as pre-designated by Buyer. All Trustee Sales are final as of the declaration of the winning bid; Buyer no longer has discretion to go a “little higher” to obtain property, as Buyer can only bid up to the amount of cash they bring to the Sale. Buyer may be outbid by $1 by winning bidder.

Preparing for Sale

Upon making final determination to bid on a Property at the Sale, Buyer must determine vesting (how they wish to hold title). It is normally recommended that investor-buyers take title in the name of a legal entity, rather than their own name, whereas families purchasing to keep long-term may be better served with a living trust; however this determination is the strictly the responsibility of the Buyer – Broker offers no legal advice on vesting.

Buyer shall execute a Limited Power of Attorney, authorizing Broker to endorse checks at the Sale on behalf of the Buyer upon successful acquisition of Property, as well as redeposit any unused checks back into Buyer’s bank account.
Upon a successful bid, Broker shall present Trustee with vesting instructions signed by Buyer as well as instructions for where to mail the Trust Deed.

Twenty-four hours prior to the scheduled Sale, Buyer shall provide Broker with two sets of cashier’s checks: one set totaling the maximum bid Buyer has decided to bid at the Sale, and the other checks amounting to the total Fees due to Broker for attending the auction and the successful acquisition of a Property at a Sale. This amount is based on the Estimated Cost Basis of the Property, as defined in the contract.

The best method for obtaining checks is for buyer to decide on a minimum increment and obtain checks starting with the initial increment and doubling in value with each successive check. For instance, a buyer would get Cashier’s checks for $1,000, $2,000, $4,000, $8,000, and so on until the negotiating range is covered, and then one remainder check brings the balance up to the total. The bidder on a $600,000 property who wanted to start bidding at $500,000 would obtain checks for $1,000, $2,000, $4,000, $8,000, $16,000, $32,000, $64,000, and $473,000. Some combination of those checks will cover every $1,000 increment between $473,000 and $600,000 allowing the bidder to leave the Trustee with only the amount of the winning bid. Cashier’s Checks for the IHB Trustee Sale Service Fee shall be written in two equal amounts adding up to the total fee due for the Buyer’s maximum bid, plus in certain circumstances, a small check for research and auction Fees. These checks shall be distributed as described below. Prior to Buyer’s visiting their bank to withdraw funds, Broker confirms that the Sale has not been postponed, and shall provide Buyer with a list of Cashier’s Checks needed.

Broker Bids at Sale

On the day of the scheduled Sale Broker shall again contact Trustee to determine whether Sale has been postponed or is still scheduled. If postponed or cancelled, Broker will return Cashier’s Checks to Buyer or re-deposit them into Buyer’s bank account, according to Buyer’s instructions. If the Sale is still scheduled, Broker will attend the Sale and bid on Property on Buyer’s behalf. Buyer may choose to attend or not attend the Sale. If there is no bidding competition and opening bid is less than the Buyer’s determined maximum bid, Broker shall bid $.01 more than the opening bid, and Buyer will be the winning bidder. If there is active bidding competition, Broker shall continue bidding by increasing each higher bid by a predetermined increment, until Buyer has the winning bid or until Buyer’s maximum bid amount is reached.

If the Buyer is the winning bidder, Broker shall give necessary Cashier’s Checks to the Trustee, and Trustee will provide Broker and Buyer with a receipt of transaction. Any remaining Cashier’s checks for bidding shall be returned to Buyer or re-deposited into Buyer’s bank account.

The Trustee will mail the Trustee’s Deed Upon Sale, which transfers title to Buyer, to the address specified by the Buyer. This deed must be recorded within 15 calendar days of the Sale for Buyer’s ownership to be of record on the morning of the date of the sale. This is important to prevent a post – Sale bankruptcy filing by the former owner from having any effect on the Buyer’s new property. At the time of recordation, Buyer will be required to pay the State Transfer Tax, $1.10 per thousand dollars of purchase price. If the Buyer does not receive the Trustee’s Deed in time to record it within 15 days, Broker will assist Buyer in obtaining it from the Trustee, but is not responsible for recordation after 15 days, or for any resulting claims or title issues resulting from any delayed recording of the Deed.

The two cashier’s checks received from Buyer for the Broker’s Fee shall be distributed as follows:

  • If the acquired Property is vacant, the Buyer has immediate right of possession. Broker shall cash each of the two cashier’s checks received from Buyer for the Fee, as full payment of Broker’s Fee.
  • If the Property is still occupied, by former owner or a tenant, Broker shall cash one Cashier’s Check, an amount equal to 50% of the Fee, and hold the other 50% check in Broker’s office. The balance of the Fee due the Broker is released when Buyer takes possession of the Property, or, if occupant is to be evicted, upon the filing of an unlawful detainer action as part of the legal eviction process subject to Buyer responsibility for diligence detailed below.

For properties that are occupied, as part of the Trustee Sale Service provided by Broker, Broker will assist Buyer in gaining possession.

Possession after the Sale

First, Broker shall attempt to negotiate a voluntary vacancy, whereby the Occupant leaves according to a time frame approved by the Buyer.

If unsuccessful, Broker will attempt to negotiate a Cash-For-Keys agreement, approved by Buyer and at Buyer’s expense.

If also unsuccessful, Broker shall refer Buyer to a qualified eviction attorney to begin the eviction process. If there is no voluntary vacancy and Buyer does not commence eviction proceedings within seven days of Broker’s determination that Occupant will not vacate voluntarily, the balance of the Broker’s Fee shall be due and released to Broker. An example of such a situation is when Buyer opts to allow an existing tenant to remain and pay monthly rent for a period of time.

At this point, Buyer is the proud owner of a new property, and Broker has completed his obligations to the Buyer and property.


Trustee Sale inquiries please contact sales@idealhomebrokers.com

Foreclosure 101: Mechanics of a Trustee Sale

Today we conclude the three-part series, Foreclosure 101, with a look at the details of a Trustee Sale and a high-end Irvine property defying financial gravity.

1 SHADOW Gln Irvine, CA 92620 kitchen

Irvine Home Address … 1 SHADOW Gln Irvine, CA 92620
Resale Home Price …… $1,389,900

{book1}

I get up, and nothing gets me down.
You got it tough. I’ve seen the toughest around.
And I know, baby, just how you feel.
You’ve got to roll with the punches to get to what’s real

Oh can’t you see me standing here,
I’ve got my back against the record machine
I ain’t the worst that you’ve seen.
Oh can’t you see what I mean ?

Might as well jump. Jump !
Might as well jump.
Go ahead, jump. Jump !
Go ahead, jump.

Jump — Van Halen

The auction atmosphere of a Trustee Sale with its immediacy and permanence is not for the indecisive. Buyers need to be ready to jump when the deals are available, and these deals do exist prompting many to don wings and parachutes and take their chances.

This is the final installment of the Foreclosure 101 series which includes:

Foreclosure 101: Vesting Title

Foreclosure 101: Non-Judicial Foreclosure

Foreclosure 101: Mechanics of a Trustee Sale

Why Trustee Sales?

Most buy at Trustee Sales to make or save money. When compared to resale properties, Trustee Sales are generally discounted between 10% and 20% and sometimes the discounts are even greater. The first post in this series featured a property being flipped for a 25% gain, a significant profit for taking risks and trapping cash for a few months. However, flipping for profit is not the only reason to consider this market.

My disdain for flippers is apparent, but my ire is not spread evenly. Flippers who buy at auction provide necessary liquidity in a market isolated from lender financing, and flippers who renovate properties (even with pergraniteel) add tangible value; however, the flippers who annoy me are the ones who trade stucco boxes without making improvements or adding value as they merely drive up prices for families.

The problem is “how can families take advantage of this situation and save the flipper profit?” Families who have enough cash to purchase a property without financing at a Trustee Sale are missing a major opportunity to either (1) save money, or (2) buy from inventory unavailable to financed buyers. It isn’t always about the discount as simply having “first dibs” is big advantage, the fact that it is discounted to resale is a bonus.

So why don’t more buyers purchase at Trustee Sales?

Trustee Sale Risks and Limitations

The purchase of real estate at a Trustee Sale is inherently more
speculative, complicated, and risky than purchase by conventional
means. The above-average risk is due to such considerations as
potential title problems, the possibility of unknown liens, unpaid property taxes, delayed
holding periods, unknown property condition prior to purchase,
potential acts of vandalism, unforeseen governmental intervention, etc. Overcoming these obstacles requires a major investment of time and brainpower making Trustee
Sales suitable for buyers who can invest the time and effort and who will not be economically
devastated should they lose their entire investment. The major risks and limitations are as follows:

Cash Only: Trustee Sales allow cash bids only — Buyers will need to bring cashier’s checks for the full amount of the purchase to the sale.

Selection: A property fitting a Buyer’s property parameters and price range may not be scheduled for a Trustee Sale in a reasonable time.

No Inspection: Buyer will not be able to view the inside of the
property prior to the sale unless the property is actively listed in
the Multiple Listing Service, or in the unusual case where the current
owner allows access. The property is acquired “as is” which may include undetectable
physical damage.

No Insurance: Buyers can’t purchase title insurance at the sale and protect against unrecorded mechanic’s liens or judgment liens against the owner. This is rare, but it does happen, and the buyer is liable for these claims against the property.

No Remorse: The Sale is final – there is no recourse for buyers with remorse.

Unannounced Postponements and Late Cancellations: Most Trustee Sales are postponed at least once, and many are postponed numerous times, sometimes for a period of several weeks or months. If the Sale is postponed, the postponement may not be announced until buyer attends the scheduled sale, unused cashier’s checks in hand. Some owners are able to sell or refinance their properties at the last minute, cancelling the Trustee Sale altogether.

High Opening Bids: Most or all properties fitting Buyer’s criteria may
be over encumbered, and the published opening bids are often higher
than the property’s market value. The foreclosing lender has the option
of starting the bidding at less than market value, and they may not
decide whether or not to do so until the auctioneer begins to call the
Sale.

Competition: There will often be competing bidders at the Sale, and some will bid above the property’s market value.

When you think about it, the reason for the price discount is due to the combined effect of the factors listed above; prices need to be under resale to compensate buyers for the risks and unknowns. The more risks and unknowns, the greater the discount. In the post High End Auction Properties Abound I profiled the only property currently on the MLS scheduled for auction over the next several weeks. Assuming the property sells at the Trustee Sale, it will probably not be discounted as much from resale value as another property full of unknowns.

Trustee Sale Research

Most buyers when considering a Trustee Sale immediately run into a deficit of information. These properties are most often not on the MLS, and without MLS access to find basic information, to pull comps to estimate value or to locate old pictures, buyers have no way to conduct basic property research. This information barrier dissuades all but the most determined.

At a minimum, buyers need to determine the following:

  • Detailed description of Property
  • Property tax information (tax rate, Mello Roos status, etc.)
  • Basic Home Owners Association information, if any
  • Recent market comparable sales
  • Recent comparable foreclosure sales, if any
  • Updated Trustee Sale Status (confirmation of current Sale date, published bid, etc.)

In addition to the basics, most buyers will also want to know:

  • Title -all persons currently vested on title, or previously vested at any time as of or since the acquisition of the Property.
  • Liens – all Trust Deeds and all other liens currently encumbering Property, and an analysis of their effect or standing, if any, at or following the Sale
  • Property Tax Status – total property taxes owed against the property, if any, including current taxes, delinquent taxes, and penalties
  • Final Analysis – an estimate of the total amount that will still be owed on the Property, if any, following purchase at the Sale.

Since it is not possible to get Title Insurance at closing, a buyer is advised to obtain a title report on the property and the owner because judgment liens survive foreclosure. This does not protect the buyer from unrecorded mechanics liens.

The research list is long, and it may take several days, many phone calls, and out-of-pocket costs for title reports and other data. Given the difficulties of doing proper research and ignorance to what research is required, many buyers either take unnecessary risks by failing to do the proper research, or they give up on the idea and go back to shopping in the easier resale market.

Preparing for Trustee Sale

To prepare for a Trustee Sale, a buyer has three important tasks: (1) determine vesting, (2) establish a maximum bid amount, and (3) obtain Cashier’s checks in the amount of the maximum bid. We covered vesting in Foreclosure 101: Vesting Title. The buyer must give this information to the Trustee if a sale is successful.

Trustees like Cashier’s Checks, mostly because the buyer cannot stop payment after the sale. A buyer could attend the sale with a single Cashier’s check and wait for the Trustee to refund the difference. However, with a little effort, it is relatively easy to obtain a number of checks in various increments to cover bid amounts less than the maximum.

The best method for obtaining checks is to decide on your minimum increment and obtain checks starting with the initial increment and doubling in value with each successive check. For instance, a buyer would get Cashier’s checks for $1,000, $2,000, $4,000, $8,000, and so on until the negotiating range is covered, and then one remainder check brings the balance up to the total. The bidder on a $600,000 property who wanted to start bidding at $500,000 would obtain checks for $1,000, $2,000, $4,000, $8,000, $16,000, $32,000, $64,000, and $473,000. Some combination of those checks will cover every $1,000 increment between $473,000 and $600,000 allowing the bidder to leave the Trustee with only the amount of the winning bid.

The Cashier’s checks should be made out to the buyer, not the Trustee. If there is a sale, the buyer merely endorses the checks and gives them to the Trustee. If there is no sale, the buyer can either hold the checks for the next auction or redeposit them. There is no way for the money to be lost or stolen as the buyer is the only one who can cash the checks.

What happens at auction?

At the appointed time and place, a Trustee will call a public auction. The Trustee announces the property and asks the assembled if any wish to bid on the property. One at a time, the Trustee will meet privately with each bidder who must show the Trustee their Cashier’s checks to verify the amount held. The Trustee will not permit any bidder from exceeding the total of the Cashier’s checks on their person — nobody is “good for it.”

Once each bidder has shown the Trustee their money, the Trustee will call out the opening bid from the first mortgage holder. This is a pregnant moment because the advertised opening bids often do not match the actual opening bids, and even after all the preparation, a lender may come in and vastly overpay for the property because their loss mitigation procedures demand it. Lenders who underestimated the amount owed sometimes increase their advertised opening bid, but often, lenders drop their opening bid to avoid obtaining more REO.

Most buyers give up after attending a few postponed auctions. It takes half a day or more away from work or other responsibilities to attend a sale, and most busy people do not have the time. It is possible to go to only one auction and get a dream property at a 25% discount, but the more common scenario is for people to go to half a dozen auctions and obtain nothing.

In today’s market, dropped bids are the opportunities that bring third-parties to auctions. Assuming the first lien holder’s opening bid is less than the maximum price a third-party buyer is willing to pay, the auction begins. In an open outcry system, bidders verbally announce their bids and the Trustee acknowledges the highest bidder. There is no minimum increment to increase a bid, which leads to the rather tedious process of two bidders outbidding one another with small increments until one of them reaches their walkaway point. In fact, one of the major frustrations for many Trustee Buyers is the fact that they often get outbid by a single dollar, such is the nature of auctions.

If a buyer is the highest bidder, the Trustee takes the buyer’s vesting information and Cashier’s checks. In return, the Trustee gives the buyer a receipt at the sale. The buyer does not obtain the Trustee’s Deed at the auction.

Getting the Trustee’s Deed

The Trustee usually mails the Trustee’s Deed to the buyer within days of the sale; however, there is no legal timeframe the Trustee must adhere to. In contrast, the owner has 15 days to record the Trustee’s Deed in order to be considered the owner as of 8:00 AM the day of the Trustee Sale, otherwise ownership begins the day of recordation. The day of legal ownership is important because if a lien appears after the Trustee Sale but before recordation, the buyer can be liable, or at a minimum, have to deal with getting an invalid lien off the title of his new property. It is a rare occurrence, but the problem is best avoided by timely recordation.

Taking Equitable Title (possession)

Taking possession of a vacant house only requires the buyer to show up with a locksmith. If the house is not vacant, taking possession is more complex. The simplest solution is for the buyer to approach the occupants and offer them money to leave: cash for keys. Many holdover tenants, including the previous owners, are happy to get some money to cover the costs of moving out. Obviously, getting occupants to leave voluntarily is better for all concerned.

In situations where the holdover tenants are not cooperative, the new owner will need to employ the services of an eviction attorney to remove the occupants, and there are situations where renters do not have to leave due to local ordinances that protect renters. The rental contract itself is extinguished at the foreclosure sale, so renters cannot stay for the duration of their lease, and the new owner is not required to repay any security deposits. The exception to this is where the lease pre-dates the foreclosing lien – in this case the buyer takes title subject to the terms of the lease.

Is it worth it?

Buying at Trustee Sale is time consuming with (1) property research, (2) attending auctions and (3) following up to take possession, and the sale is fraught with risk, but for those who make the effort, saving what can amount to a year’s salary or more is very tempting, particularly when the resale market is likely to show further weakness. Buying at auction today puts an owner in a property well below rental parity, and likely below the resale bottom.

Ideal Home Brokers Trustee Sale Service

If you are interested in learning how you can become active in the Trustee Sale market, review Ideal Home Brokers Trustee Sale Service or contact us at sales@idealhomebrokers.com.

1 SHADOW Gln Irvine, CA 92620 kitchen

Irvine Home Address … 1 SHADOW Gln Irvine, CA 92620

Resale Home Price … $1,389,900

Income Requirement ……. $293,719
Downpayment Needed … $277,980
20% Down Conventional

Gourmet Kitchen Award

Home Purchase Price … $1,470,000
Home Purchase Date …. 9/26/2006

Net Gain (Loss) ………. $(163,494)
Percent Change ………. -5.4%
Annual Appreciation … -1.6%

Mortgage Interest Rate ………. 5.18%
Monthly Mortgage Payment … $6,092
Monthly Cash Outlays ………… $7,790
Monthly Cost of Ownership … $5,570

Property Details for 1 SHADOW Gln Irvine, CA 92620

Beds 4
Baths 2 full 2 part baths
Home Size 3,800 sq ft
($366 / sq ft)
Lot Size 8,282 sq ft
Year Built 1998
Days on Market 1
Listing Updated 1/13/2010
MLS Number S601505
Property Type Single Family, Residential
Community Northwood
Tract Cris

Absolutely gorgeous inside and outside. Oversized lot on a cul-de-sac. Dramatic open floorplan with high ceilings and spiral staircase. Formal living room and separate dining room with vaulted ceilings and custom fireplace. Gourmet oversized kitchen open to family room and breakfast nook. Spacious family room with fireplace and custom built-ins. Den downstairs used as media room. Open loft perfect for home office or play area. Large master suite with large master bath and walk in closet. Tastefully upgraded with stone floors, custom paint, shutters, neutral carpeting and more. Oversized lot with new built-in pool and spa. Minutes from parks, schools, tennis courts shopping and freeways. Walk to Canyon View Elementary and Northwood High.

Irvine Housing Blog No Kool Aid

I hope you have enjoyed this week, and thank you for reading the Irvine Housing Blog: astutely observing
the Irvine home market and combating California Kool-Aid since
2006.

Have a great weekend,

Irvine Renter