Nevada foreclosure sales rise sharply in March

Apr 13th, 2011  
by IrvineRenter  in Library News

Astute Observations

Astute Observation by Planet Reality
2011-04-13 06:33 AM

Check out the school ratings for the property:

Elementary: 4 out of 10
Middle: 2 out of 10
High school: 3 out of 10

Yikes, people in Irvine would freak out if they had to send their kids to a school with a 9 out of 10 rating, a school that is 8 out of 10 would be slumming it.

Flipping to hourly workers with FHA loans, I’m sure the community will be better sometime this century - not.

Astute Observation by AZDavidPhx
2011-04-13 07:39 AM

At least the people buying outside of Irvine will have a chance at paying off the mortgage sometime in this life versus slaving away to a house for all eternity.  10 out 10 school is not magic.

Astute Observation by Planet Reality
2011-04-13 07:44 AM

A third of people buying their expensive house in Irvine, have the house paid off on day 1.

Don’t hate the player.

Astute Observation by AZDavidPhx
2011-04-13 08:19 AM

I’d be interested in knowing what percentage of the one-third that you claim are owner occupied houses and how many show up on craig’s list in the For Rent section.

I am not interested in the real-estate gamers using group funds to cashflow a property.  I am more interested in the wage slaves who are taking out 30 year mortgages at age 40+.  I know, I know, 25 year olds with 500K are a dime a dozen on Planet Realtor.

Astute Observation by Planet Reality
2011-04-13 08:23 AM

LOL, I crown thee king of straw mans.

Astute Observation by AZDavidPhx
2011-04-13 09:11 AM

Oh, so you don’t want to talk about the speculators and the “FCB"s in your one-third.  I see how it is.

Nice try at changing the subject.  You should go back to a fine Irvine school and learn what a strawman actually is though which requires a misrepresentation of your argument followed by a refute of the misrepresented position.  I never refuted your claim of one-third.  I just said I would be curious as to what it may be composed of.  You are big into overstating people’s incomes on here - I thought for sure you were going to go along with the 25 year olds with 500K theory.

So, getting back on your topic of one-third of buyers have no mortgage.  Is it your position that flippers and cash flow investors are of no significance?  Minor significance?

In other words, I think your one-third is overstated when you consider the context of the buyer.

Astute Observation by anon
2011-04-13 01:05 PM

PR, no response?  Your face must be stinging from that bitch slap.

Astute Observation by Jim
2011-04-14 01:10 PM

“A third of people buying their expensive house in Irvine, have the house paid off on day 1.

What a load of BS! Are you high or something?
You need to lay off the dope.

Astute Observation by Technical Support
2011-04-13 12:22 PM

[Part 1 of, I think 3]

You are clearly a sharp guy who follows the Irvine residential real estate market closely. I enjoy reading your comments and believe they help me to more accurately understand the residential real estate market in Irvine. I’m not seeking to dress you down or pillory you in any manner whatsoever. Really. I’m not.

Clearly you wish that life were fairer in our country but you have resigned yourself to the “sad reality” that it is not and is currently seems to become less fair by the day.

Personally, I struggle to keep my skepticism about our country from becoming cynicism. I believe skepticism is healthy but cynicism is not. It makes me sad to type that generally, for the last few decades, our country has been in a decline. I’m very confident that things will get better in the US; but sadly I am convinced they’ll need to get much worse first. When I look at US history, I see that like most countries, we tend to make significant corrections only after a heartbreakingly painful crisis. As Edmund Burke said, “Those who don’t know history are destined to repeat it.” Sadly, we collectively don’t know history.

As others have commented on this blog, I suppose you have a strong interest in the Irvine residential real estate market and would personally benefit from an appreciation in real estate prices in Irvine. This bias I perceive seems to cloud your view. Of course all of us have cloudy views; none of us actually sees “The Truth.”

Furthermore, sometimes you seem to drift off the topic in order to discuss some of your favorite obsessions. Why not simply say, “This country is headed in the wrong direction and it pisses me off! The powerful few are taking advantage of the weak many!” or “I stand to make a bunch of money if people believe Irvine residential real estate will appreciate. Therefore, sure, I have a strong bias.”

Heck, Irvine Renter has an extremely sharp and facile mind, but when AZDavidPhx tries to show Irvine Renter some fair and objective facts about Irvine Renter’s behavior, Irvine Renter suddenly turns from a rationale and level-headed guy with a soft heart, to an icy cold capitalist who starts to make Social Darwinist arguments that sound like something straight out of Ayn Rand.

I’m not anti-Irvine Renter. Not at a little bit. Not at all. I’m simply pointing out a flaw in his reasoning that AZDavidPhx repeatedly drives trucks through but Irvine Renter seems to dismiss. Hey, I’m sure I’ve acted in just the same way as both you and Irvine Renter. As the adage goes, “Where you stand on an issue depends on where you sit.” AZDavidPhx and I are clearly on the sidelines. Therefore, it’s easy for us to be more dispassionate whereas you and Irvine Renter clearly have “skin in the game” and are therefore necessarily more biased. If our positions were reversed I suppose our opinions might be reversed too. I’m not out to bash; I’m out to clarify. Ok?

I think that would be a more healthy and honest way of engaging others in an open discussion. Personally, I think that your angry rants, snide remarks, and occasional smugness tend to debase many of your otherwise valuable contributions. You’re a clever guy. You add much to this blog. Why not take the high road?

I do agree with your general point that residential real estate from say Laguna to Malibu is different than in say Santa Ana or Riverside, even thought it saddens me to think about it. As the rich have gotten richer in this country over the last few decades, the middle class has shrunk, and the poor have mushroomed. Clearly we will tend to have residential real estate price differentials more like Brasil or Indonesia than Japan or Denmark.

For example, it’s very difficult to imagine a wealthy denizen of Rio di Janero moving to a favela in the hills, not matter how much of a price differential there is. Generally, I think that’s your point about Irvine being different. Isn’t it? Generally I agree with that point.

However, as much as I agree with what I believe is your implicit thesis (the gap between in prices between, say, San Bernadino and Manhattan Beach will increase because we’ve moved back towards what Mark Twain dubbed, the Gilded Age) you are clearly ignoring Irvine Renter’s very strong argument of the substitution effect, particularly if you subscribe to the notion that markets are made at the margins.

Due to the substitution effect, I strongly suspect that residential real estate from Laguna to Malibu will drop at least 15% in value over the next three years when compared to the price of gold. However, due to rampant inflation in the US for products other than houses, prices in US dollars may actually increase.

Astute Observation by Technical Support
2011-04-13 12:24 PM

[Part 2 of 3]

Now here’s a little tangent I’ll go off on: frankly, I wish instead of all the talk about how to fix our financial system with increasing government intervention to avoid yet another bubble (such as the current dotcom tech bubble that is likely to burst within the next 2 years, Groupon eerily reminds me of WebVan) or the need to return to laissez fare (which is really a polite way of saying, allow the powerful few to collude against the weak masses), we’d talk more about the benefit of both moving from paper money (fiat currency) back to gold and silver as well as recreating and then relying on our own local communities instead of “Society” and “The Government.”

Imagine if you wanted to obtain some property and didn’t have sufficient money you would either save money until you could purchase the property or you would get a loan (in the form of gold and silver) from members of your own community. If you were to not pay back your loan, you wouldn’t worry about going bankrupt; you’d worry about being ostracized or at least shamed. Sure, we’d need to exchange some of our cherished freedom and innovation for security and close personal relationships, but I think we’d be better off. Ok. I’m done with that tangent.

Of course people who live in Irvine generally aren’t going to live in North Las Vegas, just as folks who buy Ferraris normally don’t normally buy Hyundais. I assume we agree on this. But such an observation doesn’t seem germaine to this discussion. Furthermore, it’s like saying folks who sell Ferraris shouldn’t set up shop in South Central Los Angeles. It’s not merely obvious, but generally goes without saying.

Here’s what I think your argument is missing by a country mile: if Irvine Renter’s income requirement of $17,789 for the property above is correct, then a blackjack dealer making $14/hour could easily afford this house. If he were married, his wife might not even need to work. Think about that for a moment. Then think about it some more. That’s probably a very attractive proposition for many working Joes currently living in Riverside. Heck, if a guy were making $8/hr pumping gas in Las Vegas, and he were to work 45 hours per week, he’d satisfy Irvine Renter’s income requirement of $17,789 for the property.

Irvine Renter’s point seems to be this: housing in Las Vegas is now very affordable for the average working Joe. Folks who live in Irvine aren’t generally the average working Joe. Now here a little “call out” that I hope you take constructively: before you accuse others on this blog of creating straw men, please consider that you often create ones of your own. Specifically, when you opined:

“Yikes, people in Irvine would freak out if they had to send their kids to a school with a 9 out of 10 rating, a school that is 8 out of 10 would be slumming it.”

I think that’s a ludicrous straw man that significantly debases the quality of discourse on this blog. It’s like saying folks in Irvine don’t tend to shop at the 99 Cents Only store therefore, the 99 Cents Only store should close up shop. Come on now. You’re much too smart and too well educated to make such a foolish argument. I hope you will bring your A game next time. Like I opined at the outset, I like reading many of your comments.

Perhaps Las Vegas will become a ghost town like so many others in the West, but frankly I sadly agree with Irvine Renter: sin sells. Macao may have taken away many wealthy Asian gamblers and local casinos around the country may keep some Americans away from Las Vegas. But spending billions of dollars to create another oasis of sin somewhere in the US, simply seems like a daunting proposition. And spending billions of dollars to one day restore Havana or build in any other foreign country seems out of the question as well. I think some folks in Las Vegas are still smarting from Castro taking their casinos.

Personally I loathe Las Vegas. Sin city makes me sick. But that’s just me. Let’s consider a 40 something middle-level manager living in New Jersey. To him the idea of attending a convention of some sort in Las Vegas in February, playing golf and/or tennis and indulging himself in some of the available vices will likely seem very attractive. Barring some sort of cataclysmic event like a nuclear war or revolution, he’s one of countless customers who I am convinced will be attracted to Las Vegas for many decades to come.

And when folks like him come to Las Vegas, someone (for, say, $14 per hour) is going to deal them a hand of black jack and someone else (for say, $8 per hour) will work the at the gas station where he refuels his rental car.

Astute Observation by Technical Support
2011-04-13 12:25 PM

[Part 3 of 3]

And those average Joes with their FHA loans and their families will enjoy a wonderful climate for about 7 months per year, a tolerable one for 2, and an inferno for 3 months of the year, and live in house they can actually afford. Heck, they may not even need to send their wives out to work!

And as for schools, their schools in North Las Vegas probably won’t be any worse than the schools back in, say, Riverside (not Irvine!) where they came from.

Sheesh, Planet Reality, you sure didn’t live up to your screen name with this post. Like I mentioned above, next time please bring your A game. Ok? You’ve got game. Really. You do. But we need a high level of constructive discourse on this blog, not a low level of banal vitriole.

Astute Observation by IrvineRenter
2011-04-13 02:20 PM

You certainly had a lot of energy for that astute observation.

Astute Observation by Planet Reality
2011-04-13 03:36 PM

High quality response, love the comment about the favela in Brazil.  A couple of your paragraphs are brilliant, but read below.

Astute Observation by zovall
2011-04-13 05:03 PM

Technical Support, thanks for posting your astute observations.  I enjoyed reading them and hope to read more of your comments in the future.

Astute Observation by SanJoseRenter
2011-04-13 05:44 PM

So let me get this straight ...

The rest of the USA outside Irvine is a favela.

Really?

That’s some mighty strong Kool-aid you Irvinites are drinking.

Astute Observation by Chris
2011-04-13 06:31 PM

SanJoseRenter, I don’t think that’s what TC really meant.

In sum, I believe his argument was that LV’s residential RE is now so cheap that even a lower-middle class family can afford it.

Irvine’s RE market, IMO, is somewhat closely related to Cupertino with its growing Asian population (you’re SanJoseRenter so you should know what I’m talking about).

Astute Observation by Walter
2011-04-14 06:13 PM

“You certainly had a lot of energy for that astute observation.”

I am not so sure that was an Astute Observation—Astute Manifesto is more appropriate.

Astute Observation by Planet Reality
2011-04-13 01:19 PM

I’m impressed, you read me accurately… few here do.

When you read my post you should see a differing view point and hopefully chuckle a little.  A view point based on facts and unfortunately as you point out, the sad reality.

Anyone who reads me with venom, is not getting the venom from my post but has that venom built up inside themselves.  They choose me as an outlet to release that venom.  That’s not the correct way to read my post but I hope it’s at least cathartic for them.  Sometimes I create conflict for IR to improve the discussion away from group think, unfortunately he tends to take it the wrong way.  In the great new American fashion of polarizing your percieved enemies Irvine Renter calls me a “bull”.  I am not, but I do accept the sad reality.

Astute Observation by AZDavidPhx
2011-04-13 03:11 PM

I’m impressed, you read me accurately… few here do.

Sounds like PR needs a hug.

Astute Observation by Technical Support
2011-04-14 04:22 AM

[Part 1 of 2]

I’m impressed you didn’t take umbrage with my criticisms, which I certainly hoped you’d see as constructive.

Reading you guys “seriously kidding” (a roommate in college taught me that concept) with one another makes me smile because I like the camaraderie but it also makes me sad because you guys are playing a small game instead of a big game.

We have very serious structural problems in the US that we need to address. These problems aren’t lighthearted kid’s stuff. Not by a long shot.

You, Irvine Renter, and some of the others on this blog are clearly smart enough, educated enough, and passionate enough to put your heads together to come up with some practical solutions to real problems we face. This blog has the potential to be something really great. Irvine Renter posts some magnificent stuff on a regular basis that makes my jaw drop (literally). His writing is frequently brilliant. And some of the “Astute Observations” you and others post on this blog, when you aren’t engaged in banter, are occasionally brilliant too.

But like I mentioned, reading you guys exchange clever jabs with each other in a game of one-upmanship seems cute also makes me sad. This isn’t a child’s game. We’ve got real problems. Really. We do.

I don’t want to live in Brasil or Indonesia. And it pains me to say that we’ve been headed down a path to becoming like them since probably the early 1970’s.

This recent housing bubble is one of myriad events over the last 40 years that are the direct result of our country’s tendency of moving back towards the Gilded Age

We would be best served to consider the *context* of our march back towards the Gilded Age (Social Darwinism) when we view *content* such as the recent housing bubble. It’s not a unique event; it’s part of a pattern of our imperial decline. As our empire is declining, a cabal has succeeded in tilting the board further and further in their favor. As Madame de Pompadour (a French courtesan and mistress to King Louis XV) said when the French financial system was on the verge of collapse, “After us, the deluge. I care not what happens when I am dead and gone.” Hmmm. Not too inspiring is it?

That seems a stark contrast from the Greek proverb, “A society grows great when old men plant trees whose shade they know they shall never sit in.”  Kind of, dare I say, uplifting and heartwarming.

The recent housing bubble didn’t come out of left field. It wasn’t like a meteorite that came crashing down on us. Many people saw it coming.

This nonsensical yet purportedly essential component of the “American Dream”, going into enormous debt to buy a big stucco box that is in a neighborhood often bereft of anything resembling a real community, is collective folly. Enticing young mothers try to juggle caring for their young children (let alone, say, their aging or sick parents), take care of their husbands, and make a living is just plain absurd. It’s a kind of collective Kool-Aid we’ve drunk. And it’s killing us slowly and painfully.

(By the way, Irvine Renter, Kool-Aid isn’t what Jim Jones’ followers in Guyana drank to commit suicide, it was “Flavor Aid.” http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drinking_the_Kool-Aid Therefore, if you want to be historically accurate you’d talk about Flavor Aid. However, I realize Kool Aid has entered the vernacular to describe the phenomena of followers committing suicide at the behest of their leader).

We need to stop wasting money going into debt to consume such frivolous items as new cars and expensive houses. Instead we need to focus on working less, making do with fewer material possessions (the stuff we tend to buy on credit, only to refer to it as “junk” a few years later), and instead spending more time creating and nurturing real communities.

In other words, he who dies with the most toys does *not* win. It’s the person who lives the best life who we remember and admire. Easier said than done. Sure. I realize that.

Focusing on the chicanery de jure may be titillating, but ultimately it’s shallow and empty. Haven’t you noticed that? You often opine something like, “Don’t hate the player, hate the game.” I agree with your sentiment. I don’t hate the game, but I know the game is rigged and needs to be changed. And clearly you know that too.

Astute Observation by Technical Support
2011-04-14 04:24 AM

Talking about this bankster or that crook is a bit like rearranging deck jars on the Titanic. Ok? Like my dad taught me, “The man doesn’t make the times; the times make the man.” We have created an environment that encourages bad behavior and then we are shocked and loudly denounce those who behave badly. Come on. That’s just absurd.

Sure, requiring folks to put down at least 20% to purchase a house is one for simple and sensible way to improve a relatively minor problem we have. But there are many far meatier problems we could be discussing.

Let’s say we were to get folks to see that moving back towards creating real communities is even better than merely putting down 20% towards a mortgage or even owning a home free and clear. Living in a home that’s bought and paid is wonderful financially, but what if you don’t have more than a nodding acquaintance with most of your neighbors, couldn’t rely on them to help you out in more than a perfunctory manner in a time of need, and don’t live within walking distance of any of your family or friends?

What if instead of going to an impersonal institution such as a bank to fund a loan of paper money, your neighbors- who were also part of your community- were the ones who had loaned you “real money” (such as gold and silver) for your house?

And what if you chose to live in place because that’s where your actual community is located instead of merely “good schools” or “good jobs”?

Of course chasing a “Leave it to Beaver” lifestyle did enrich real estate agents, car dealers, and other purveyors of the stuff we voraciously buy, yet don’t actually need, to fill up the emptiness left by our loss of community we’ve generally inflicted upon ourselves in modern, urban America as we chase the so-called “American Dream.” A dream that generally seems to be “so close yet so far” much like a glimmering mirage must appear to the hapless traveler who has exhausted his supply of water and is gradually dying of thirst in a barren desert.

Back when the World Wide Web was still pretty new about 15 years ago, I vividly remember reading this article (which I just found with a quick search on Google, a company that didn’t exist at the time) using a dial up modem.

Home from Nowhere
http://www.theatlantic.com/past/docs/issues/96sep/kunstler/kunstler.htm

How about discussing stuff like this on the Irvine Housing Blog? After all, no one really just wants to merely live in a house in a nice neighborhood, instead what everyone wants is to live in a real home in a real community.

As human beings we all play games. How about we play a big game instead of a small game? Sheesh, I’m not asking you to take up arms and risk being shot. I’m merely asking for some serious discussion about fundamental problems that we’d be far better off solving with foresight than cleaning up in hindsight.

And if you think things like 9/11 or the bursting of the recent housing bubble are “big problems” I’d urge you to reconsider. I am convinced we are headed for some far greater pain and suffering in this country. We can avoid this pain and suffering, but it will take more than just hoping and dreaming.

And yes, I’ve succumbed to the obsessive-compulsive tendency I warned Irvine Renter against. I need to get married and find a community myself so that, amongst other things, others will help keep me healthy. Here’s definition of advice I’m fond of, “Advice is something that is easy to give but hard to take.”

Astute Observation by Planet Reality
2011-04-14 06:35 AM

You are asking too much of the vast majority of bloggers here.  They would need to understand, admit, and accept the problems first.  They are stuck in their own worlds.  When you accept the sad reality, you understand there is not a god damn thing you can do.  What is more you understand any problems that exist here are not that big of a deal.  If you are starving to death or experiencing genocide, that is a real problem.  Our problems in this country are a joke.

Astute Observation by shermidor
2011-04-14 09:06 AM

Deflect much?
“You are asking too much of the vast majority of bloggers here.”

Step up your game and take some ownership to increase the level of discourse.

Astute Observation by 3phase
2011-04-13 03:25 PM

anyhwere else in town you’d be fine.  Mass Exodus going on in N LV now though- good luck, and prepare to rent

Astute Observation by The Efficient Baxter
2011-04-13 06:39 AM

Having lived in SoCal all my life (LA & OC), it’s always quite a shock to see prices in other places that are so dramatically lower than around here. Even though I know LV is a distressed market, I expect that if one is employed in a professional position, salaries, albeit lower, are not 3-4 times+ lower than LA/OC, which is where RE prices seem to be. It’s nuts!

Astute Observation by Planet Reality
2011-04-13 07:19 AM

It’s easy for any of us to say that from our arm chairs, until you are serious about finding a house.  You soon realize that the good neighborhoods with the top schools and educated professional neighbors are cheap but not that cheap.  Not cheap enough to move to Las Vegas, Riverside, or any other city in decline for the next 100 years.

Astute Observation by flyovercountry
2011-04-20 12:57 PM

Its not just distressed areas that are way more affordable than California.

Columbus Ohio, 15th largest city in the US.  Diversified economy of banking, insurance, energy companies, tech, retail corporate headquarters, resturant corporate headquarters, state govt, and a major university.

Plenty of good neighborhoods and suburbs with good schools. 

My suburb has a well regarded school system, plenty of parks, bikeways, and a small private college.

2500 sq foot house, 3 bedroom, 4 bath, 5 car garage, 1/3 acre lot, granite and stainless in the kitchen, full unfinished basement not counted in the square footage. 

Bought it last year for $330k.

Astute Observation by AZDavidPhx
2011-04-13 07:53 AM

Baxter is right.  It’s the one reason that I would not move to someplace like Irvine.  Why would I move there to earn 20% more only to spend 100% more on rent?

Astute Observation by so_scared
2011-04-13 08:33 AM

because depending on your salary, 20% more is a lot more money than 100% in rent?

as long as your rent is less than 1/5 of your pay, it will work out in your favor depending on taxes.

Astute Observation by Planet Reality
2011-04-13 08:55 AM

People have a very poor understanding of expense ratios on this blog when it comes to both salaries ad inflation.  I’m being harsh, it’s not just this blog.

Astute Observation by winstongator
2011-04-13 09:40 AM

I would imagine that, of people in Irvine paying rent or a mortgage, very few are paying less than 20% of their income towards housing.  From the census stats, 25% pay less than 20%, while 38% pay more than 35%.

Astute Observation by so_scared
2011-04-13 10:43 AM

Seems believable enough.

But the 20% of salary isn’t dependent on Irvine %. It is dependent on what you currently pay before you move to socal or irvine or wherever.

If you do pay less than 20% in your current location, then it is still worth it to move if your salary goes up by >20% and rent =<100%.

Your net cash after expenses will be higher even if % spent on housing is greater. But seeing as CA is probably one of the highest taxed states, the percentages are probably different (ie, wage increase has to be higher or expense increase has to be lower to make “breakeven” after taxes)

Anyhow, the point is, there is a scenario where the % increase in pay can be much less than % increase in expenses and you can economically justify the move.

Astute Observation by winstongator
2011-04-13 11:24 AM

You’ve got your numbers/terms backward your increased pay should be much MORE than your increase in expenses to justify a move…from a purely dollar & cents pov.

A move from Minneapolis to Irvine does not need to be solely justified by $.  Weather alone would be worth some additional % of take-home towards housing.

Actually, your example of spending 20% on rent, and then getting a 20% raise and having your rent double is an exact wash. 100k income, 20k rent 80k after rent-> 120k income - 40k rent, 80k after rent.  Take out 1/3 in taxes prior to rent and 67k - 20k = 47k vs. 80k - 40k = 40k, $7k less in up-income 20%, up-rent 100%.

Astute Observation by AZDavidPhx
2011-04-13 12:13 PM

In my case, the difference in salary between here in AZ vs Irvine is about 9K per year which is not even a 20% pay increase.  Considering my rent will jump by 1K per month at least, it is an obvious bad deal.

Astute Observation by Planet Reality
2011-04-13 01:57 PM

David,I’m sorry you would only get a $9k pay increase, but why would you need to live and work in Irvine?

You could work in Irvine and live very close by for $500 a month cheaper.  You don’t have kids (though you are an expert on parenting wink you would probably enjoy it more than Irvine, and AZ for that matter.  I’m sure they have clubs where you get to dress up like a medieval warrior here and battle on the weekends.

Astute Observation by AZDavidPhx
2011-04-13 02:59 PM

but why would you need to live and work in Irvine?

Exactly, I don’t need to which is why I could not care less about Irvine.

You don’t have kids (though you are an expert on parenting

I do get a kick out of self-aggrandizing members of your community who use their children as a reason for going into huge mortgage debt and buying overpriced houses in order to keep up with the Joneses.  I had to buy the Rolex so that I would have a quality watch to keep time with so I could make sure that I was never late picking up my children from school.

I’m sure they have clubs where you get to dress up like a medieval warrior here and battle on the weekends

But I thought Irvine had all of the rich Asian heritage.  I would not settle for anything less.

Astute Observation by Enm
2011-04-13 07:12 AM

How are the big banks making record profits with these record foreclosures? Where are the losses going?

Astute Observation by AZDavidPhx
2011-04-13 08:01 AM

The National Debt and the balance sheet of the Federal Reserve - or in other words, anyone who is a member of the middle or poor class.

Astute Observation by winstongator
2011-04-13 09:52 AM

In some cases, the banks have already booked the losses from these foreclosures.  In other cases, they just packaged the loans and sold them to some pension fund or other investor.

They could be loans from a bank like Colonial or Corus who have gone bankrupt and their assets, loans included, were bought at a discount by other banks or investors.

Who foreclosed can tell you a little about how much loss these sales cause today.

Astute Observation by You've Been TARP'ed
2011-04-13 07:37 AM

The OC’s got nothing on The Real Housewives of Wall Street.

“Why is the Federal Reserve forking over $220 million in bailout money to the wives of two Morgan Stanley bigwigs?”

Astute Observation by Laura Louzader
2011-04-13 11:00 AM

I read that article and haven’t been capable of a coherent thought about anything else since.

The word “rage” does not have the power to convey what I feel as I read of the continued fleecing and impoverishment of this country to pad the back pockets of our corporate elite with taxpayers’ dollars.

This country is well on its way to becoming a 4th world cesspool where 99% of the population lives in dirt-floored shanties along open sewers while the 1% that is politically connected plunders them down to their last grains of rice.

I’m beginning to be sorry I’ve lived even this long.

Astute Observation by AZDavidPhx
2011-04-13 08:09 AM

CNN Joining the party.  Naturally, a “r"ealtor is the single source of information.  Easy money!  Turn 10K into 40K!

What a great way to feed at the trough.  “Help” wannabe “investors” buy real estate and collect a commission, then help them flip it and collect a commission.  When a flip doesn’t work out, not your problem - on to the next patsies.

Astute Observation by FreedomCM
2011-04-13 10:57 AM

IR,

For these super low priced properties, I think you need to adjust your spreadsheet.

You should eliminate the MID, as purchasers will take the std deduction at this level.

You should also increase the maintenance to a number that would allow water heater or roof replacement, as this isn’t really a percent of the sale price, but more fixed costs.

Astute Observation by IrvineRenter
2011-04-13 07:31 PM

I have adjusted my spreadsheet to pick up PMI on FHA loans. The cost has become so large, that it rivals the property taxes.

The MID is calculated at a much lower rate on the low end properties. I have added a new floor at $45,000 income. If they fall below that, the applied tax savings falls to zero. That will pick up properties like these in Las Vegas.

The maintenance number I use is based on a percentage because its expedient. I am going to add a $20 monthly minimum to my formula to reflect the reality of low-priced properties.

Thank you for the feedback.

Astute Observation by Geotpf
2011-04-13 11:31 AM

Las Vegas is a place where rents are rather high versus sale prices.  How many Irvine places have monthly rents of more than 1% of the purchase price?  None.  I can see bidding on these properties not to flip them, but to rent them out.  At the auction price that IrvineRenter paid, it’s more like 1.5% a month, which is insanely great.

Astute Observation by Vincenzo
2011-04-13 12:08 PM

Recently, Costa Mesa handed out pink slips to 50% of its public workers.

The mayor stated that the pension costs became unmanageable because of poor investments.
I’m sure they had invested in the housing market that “always goes up and never down”.

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