Monthly Archives: September 2007

Catch a Wave

Catch a wave and you’re sitting on top of the world

Don’t be afraid to try the greatest sport around

Everybody tries it once

Those who don’t just have to put it down

You paddle out turn around and raise

And baby thats all there is to the coastline craze

You gotta catch a wave and you’re sittin’ on top of the world

Catch a Wave — The Beach Boys

Link to Video

Isn’t flipping houses a bit like surfing? Just catch a wave and ride it to financial prosperity. Today’s flipper who bought a Pacific Crest home certainly hopes so.

Pacific Crest Front Pacific Crest Kitchen

Asking Price: $979,900IrvineRenter

Income Requirement: $244,975

Downpayment Needed: $195,980

Purchase Price: $791,000

Purchase Date: 8/15/2007

Address: 15 Pacific Crest, Irvine, CA 92602

Knife Catcher Award

Beds: 4

Baths: 3.5

Sq. Ft.: 2,557

$/Sq. Ft.: $383

Lot Size: –

Type: Single Family Residence

Style: Modern

Year Built: 2002

Stories: Three or More Levels

Area: Northpark

County: Orange

MLS#: S504923

Status: Active

On Redfin: 6 days

From Redfin, “4 Bedroom plus 3rd floor bonus room or master suite with full bath, 2nd floor bonus room for games/den, ground floor living/kitchen open floor plan with office or additional family room. Seperate laundry room on 2nd floor. Upgraded tiles on ground floor, fireplace, built-in entertainment center, huge kitchen with center island and lots of cabinet space.”

Only 1 misspelled word. Not bad…

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So all of you making $250K, is this your dream home? Do you like the white tile kitchen? Is this an estate worthy of someone with such a high income, or is this a nondescript tract home more suited to someone making $150K? The market will decide.

Kool Aid Man

I have to give this flipper credit for nerve. To drop $791K on a house in this market environment takes courage. I think it is remarkably foolish, but the market may prove me wrong.

In today’s market, this does seem to be a good purchase price at $791K. You would think a buyer would see this as reflective of the overall market, but if you are drinking the kool aid, this is a steal. Of course, this sale went through before our most recent round of credit tightening, so this flipper may regret the purchase, but this regret certainly isn’t reflected in the asking price.

Surfing is fun, but sometimes it does not go as planned.

You Ugly

You have to sing along to this one…

Link to Music Video

U.G.L.Y you ain’t got no alibi you ugly eh! Hey! You ugly

U.G.L.Y you ain’t got no alibi you ugly eh! Hey! You ugly

I saw you walking down the street just the other day

I didn’t see your damage from that far away

I should have got a clue when the kids started screaming

You walked up to me with your buck teeth a gleaming

Your hair was all frizzy and your face was a mess

I thought it was a sack but it’s your favourite dress

You hurt the trees feelings and the birds all flew

I don’t mean to insult you

Oh wait! Yes i do.

Your teeth are yellow, they’re covered in mould

You’re only fourteen you look a hundred years old

When looks were handed out you were last in line

Your face looks like where the sun don’t shine

Did you fall off a building and land on your head

Or did a truck run over your face instead

There ain’t no pill cos you ain’t ill

You’re ugly!

U.G.L.Y you ain’t got no alibi you ugly eh! Hey! You ugly

U.G.L.Y you ain’t got no alibi you ugly eh! Hey! You ugly

What you really need is to wear a mask

And book that plastic surgeon fast – (girl)

You’re scary – you’re hairy I heard about you

You’re the main attraction at the city zoo

You’re so fat and ugly with a belly full of flab

When you wear a yellow coat people shout out cab

(so funny)

You got eyes like a pig and your nose is big

And with hair like that you should be wearing a wig

Uncle fester remember him? I never knew that you had a twin

You can’t disguise your googly eyes

In the miss ugly pageant you win first prize

Yo mama says you ugly –

You ugly!

Daphne & Celeste – U.G.L.Y.

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When I saw this property, I couldn’t help but be reminded of the song above and the picture at the bottom. This listing is the least desirable single family detached home in Irvine. Everything about this property is a negative:

  • It is 36 years old.
  • There is no back yard.
  • It only has 1 full bathroom.
  • The front elevation has no windows. It looks like a 3 car garage next to a 2 car garage. Nice…
  • The colors are awful. Check out the dark brown flooring and the blue cabinets and walls. The view of the block wall is a reminder of your prison sentence.
  • The living room has three incompatible shades of ugly.
  • The house itself is right on the 405 on ramp at Culver. A location guaranteed to have maximize noise and air pollution as people accelerate onto the freeway.
  • If that wasn’t bad enough, it is adjacent to a huge power pole with enough electricity running through it to make your hair stand on end and give your children brain cancer. Perhaps the hum of the power lines drowns out the freeway noise. Who knows?

I would not live in this house.

Claremont Front Claremont Kitchen

Asking Price: $534,500IrvineRenter

Income Requirement: $133,625

Downpayment Needed: $106,900

Bank Purchase Price: $594,915

Bank Purchase Date: 8/14/2007

FB Purchase Price: $520,000

FB Purchase Date: 8/10/2004REO

Address: 3922 Claremont ST, Irvine, CA 92614

Beds: 3

Baths: 1.75

Sq. Ft.: 1,222

$/Sq. Ft.: $437

Lot Size: 5,521 sq. ft.

Type: Single Family Residence

Style: Traditional

Year Built: 1971

Stories: One LevelRollback

Area: Westpark

County: Orange

MLS#: S503237

Status: Active

On Redfin: 19 days

From Redfin, “You’ll love this great home in a wonderful school district. The light and bright floorplan features neutral carpet, pergo flooring and cathedral ceilings. The large yard provides lots of space for entertaining & play. This home is located just steps to the community pool and park. Plus, there are no Mello Roos! This is a bank owned property. Bring us an offer!”

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This is an interesting property for many reasons:

First, this is another example of a HELOC implosion. Why would a bank foreclose at a number $75,000 over the original purchase price if this had not been refinanced to some peak value appraisal? I suspect this was purchased by the second mortgage holder hoping to avoid a complete loss. The first mortgage holder probably would not have bid this property up over 80% of the original purchase price ($416,000.) The FB doesn’t care because they took their money out already.

Second, this is the first example I have seen of a bank offering a property at a cut-rate price in order to move it quickly. From the REOs we have observed to date, the banks start off at an amount over their foreclosure bid price and lower it until it sells. This pricing is a departure from that pattern.

Ugly DogThird, This is the first single-family detached home I have seen in Westpark rolling back to 2004 pricing. Westpark has held up pretty well to date. This property will not help the neighborhood comps.

Finally, it is one of the least desirable SFDs I have seen in a while. During the rally, quality did not matter. Now that someone who buys this may have to live there for several years to wait out the market, desirability is becoming a concern. I think they will have to lower the price further to attract a buyer to this dog.

For the record, if the bank gets its asking price and pays a 6% commission, they stand to lose $92,485.

Irvine Sales Trends – 1998-2007

We did our first post on Irvine Sales Trends many months ago. Today’s post includes the 2007 numbers through August. Although the charts are an improvement from the past, I still have a lot to learn from twist. Keep in mind that the data used to generate these charts comes from MLS.

We’ll start with a look at # of sales by month from 1998-2007:

The 3 Month and 12 Month Moving Averages help indicate the trend. Next, we’ll compare the data by year. I’ve create separate charts for 1998-2002 and 2003-2007 because it is a little messy with 10 data sets.

It looks like although SFR sales are about the same in 2007 when compared to 2006, Condo sales are definitely slower in 2007.

Now only if I had the median sales price data for Irvine for the last 9 years. 🙂

UPDATE: Here is the data used to generate the charts above: Irvine Sales Trends.xls

Home Sales Data thru 9-11-2007

Median sale price

Sales volume

ZIP

code

Prev. 4 weeks

% change

from ’06

Prev. 4 weeks

% change

from ’06

92602

$690,000

-6.8%

15

-53.1%

92603

$730,000

-21.5%

22

-31.3%

92604

$615,000

-7.2%

22

10.0%

92606

$750,000

-1.3%

10

-33.3%

92612

$627,000

-5.4%

33

13.8%

92614

$660,000

10.0%

16

-48.4%

92618

$557,500

-8.5%

16

-33.3%

92620

$821,000

-1.3%

49

-5.8%

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Those are not the most bullish numbers I have ever seen. They are perhaps the most anemic sales numbers we have seen to date.

Despite the slow sales, declining prices and ballooning inventory, Turtle Ridge (92603) still has a huge number of WTF asking prices.

Paved Paradise

They paved paradise and put up a parkin’ lot

With a pink hotel, a boutique, and a swingin’ hot spot

Don’t it always seem to go

That you don’t know what you got till it’s gone

They paved paradise and put up a parking lot

They took all the trees, and put em in a tree museum

And they charged the people a dollar and a half to see them

Don’t it always seem to go

That you don’t know what you got till it’s gone

They paved paradise, and put up a parking lot

Big Yellow Taxi — Counting Crows

Link to Music Video

Isn’t this the story of Irvine? Haven’t we planned, designed and paved over the whole valley?

Works for me, but then again, that is my job.

There is nothing special about today’s property. I just thought it had the ugliest picture I have seen on the MLS in a while, so I thought I would share it here.

Just a suggestion for the photographer: perhaps you could select the angle that shows the front door and some grass and foliage rather than the garage door, water stains, an antenna and power lines.

In case you are interested:

5052 Dutcher Ave, Irvine, CA 92604

Price: $625,000IrvineRenter

Beds: 4

Baths: 2

Sq. Ft.: 1,480

$/Sq. Ft.: $422

Lot Size: 5,543 sq. ft.

Type: Single Family Residence

Style: Other

Year Built: 1971

Stories: One Level

Area: El Camino Real

County: Orange

MLS#: P588169

Status: Active

On Redfin: 63 days

Lowest 4 bedroom house in Irvine!!! One level with large well maintained yard. 4th bedroom was converted from dining room with city permit. Brand new airconditioner/heater just installed, all windows replaced a year ago. Just need new carpet/paint per your taste.

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Lowest 4 bedroom in Irvine? Is it below sea level? Oh, they mean the price is low… {smacks forehead}

Judging by the picture, I thought they were having some drainage problems.