Will House Prices Double Dip?

Jun 25th, 2010  
by IrvineRenter  in Library

Astute Observations

Astute Observation by winstongator
2010-06-25 04:19 AM

Enjoy the vacation!

I don’t think the bank will let them consume all their equity, but a large percentage.  The borrower is playing chicken though.  If the bank has given them that much time, the bank could foreclose and book a profit if the market price is really $650k.  For short-term issues, I’d like to see banks not foreclose on those with equity; however, 27 months is not a short-term issue.

The double dip will only happen in areas where it is still more expensive to buy than rent.  In my area of NC, you still end up saving a fair amount by buying.  It’s also a region of the country without a huge amount of in/out migration, so I would imagine buyers are thinking longer term.  I contrast that to where I grew up in FL where there was significant mostly in-migration, with out-migration happening when people head to college.

Astute Observation by IrvineCitizen
2010-06-25 06:37 AM

I’m not sure I understand the squatting for 27 months.  Each time there is a recission or another NOD means that they made some kind of payment or arrangement to restart the foreclosure clock. 

To my knowledge the only way you go from Trustee Sale to recission is by becoming current and then you miss two payments and the whole process restarts.

Can anybody shed any light on this?

Astute Observation by awgee
2010-06-25 07:09 AM

Actually, the number of recissions that are a result of a mortgage becoming current are very few to none.  Almost all recessions are the result of a loan modification.

Astute Observation by IrvineCitizen
2010-06-25 10:23 AM

Thank you for your insight.  It makes perfect sense.  You’ll see a recission and then 6 months later another NOD and then the inevitable NOS. 

So Irvine Renter’s squatting numbers would be correct.

Astute Observation by Stop All Short Sales
2010-06-25 08:51 AM

You can get a newbie agent to list you home as a short sale.

The trick is to overprice the short sale and be uncooperative with legitimately priced offers and you are good as gold with the lender. They don’t think it is overpriced (if you have seen the banks appraisal on short sales, you know what I’m talking about)

So keep the yard looking decent and keep it listed, and you are good for a very long time. The NOD will stick, but they won’t go for a NOS.

Yes, it is another scam, but it works and is why I want to abolish short sales.

Astute Observation by lowrydr310
2010-06-25 09:15 AM

I smell an opportunity for a new breed of agents.

Astute Observation by newbie
2010-06-25 09:45 AM

IrvineRenter et al.,
For the second who’s not being paid, do they need to file a NOD to keep their claim alive and avoid the statute of limitations on the debt?

For the squatters who haven’t paid in 2 or more years, is the second lossing their claim or how do they kept their interest alive?  e.g., file suit without claiming the house.

Jobless Recession = Another round for the banksters on the backs of the taxpayers.

Astute Observation by newbie
2010-06-25 09:57 AM

Opps:
Jobless Recovery = Another round for the banksters on the backs of the taxpayers.

Astute Observation by awgee
2010-06-25 06:46 PM

2nd mortgages are usually scheduled to be paid over a time of 10 years, 20 years, or 30 years.  What statute of limitations?

Astute Observation by Jim
2010-06-26 01:18 PM

The second TD’s are dead and they know it. I have yet to see one that will even spend the legal fee’s to file anything to protect. (This is for the typical 100% financing 80/20 and similar loans)

Astute Observation by Mark
2010-06-25 10:05 AM

I’ve heard that on many short sales the seller who must first approve offers (bank has ultimate approval of course) are also throwing in other “conditions to accept” like “you agree to help me by making a contribution to my 2nd mortgage or HELOC” etc. - Asking buyers to help dig them out of their problems.

I guess it could be acceptable under the right conditions, but I’ve notice short sales in my area very attractively priced initially (baited), but when you peel the onion and discuss with the seller’s agent the seller is expecting the buyer to not only take on an as-is purchase and the ridiculously long SS process, but also help them with closing costs and paying off chunks of the 2nd mortgage.  I don’t know how common or even legal this is. Seems to happen more with sellers that have declared bankruptcy.

The response by buyers right now (sans meaningful tax credits) is, “I’m waiting. Maybe we’ll talk after the foreclosure”.

IR, have a nice vacation.

Astute Observation by lowrydr310
2010-06-25 12:20 PM

Remember all the astute observers here at IHB claiming that the only reason consumer spending is still relatively strong is because people aren’t paying their mortgages? It looks like there’s some merit to that claim.

Astute Observation by Alan
2010-06-25 01:31 PM

That seems so crazy to me! If I was in that kind of financial trouble that I was going to lose my house, I’d be reducing every expenditure possible and saving every dollar I could for geting goig again. I don’t know how I’ve gotten so far away from the American mainstream. I suppose if you’re sure any money you have will just go to the bank, then may as well spend it on things that can’t be seized. Still, an unimaginable situation.

IR, enjoy your vacation! Just stay away from London for now.

Astute Observation by Mark
2010-06-25 03:41 PM

Agree with Alan’s comment.

Is it possible that human DNA is starting to change so that our natural instincts of self-preservation become degraded? 
Dinning out, flying to Vegas and shop-to-you-drop at the Gap and Structure all rather illogical choices when facing financial distress.  But we’re Americans want instant gratification and, if times are rough, a method of easy escape to Pretend Land.  Yeah, just like those weird daydreams Happy Gilmore had before sinking the put. 

They’ll wish they hadn’t done any of this once the bank hands over all of these non-performing debts to the local Barracuda Collections, Inc. That’s when the fun really begins for these “escape artists”.

Astute Observation by MikeInIrvine
2010-06-25 02:49 PM

In addition to being easy on the eyes Meredith Whitney is among the few ‘big time’ analysts to call the administration’s efforts at artificially supporting the market place for what it actually is.  Short term and not effective.

Get ready for another dip.

Astute Observation by Will
2010-06-25 05:23 PM

It will be interesting to see if there is any pick-up in sales in the next month or so.  Interest rates are at the lowest they’ve been since 1971!  That was before the big inflation surge of 1973-1974,  If interest rates this low do not kick start the market, nothing will! This is what I don’t understand - the Fed is out of bullets to jump start the economy.  You can’t go lower on interest rates…

Astute Observation by thrifty
2010-06-25 05:37 PM

Is there any doubt in anybody’s mind (rely on your instincts) that we are not going to have a second significant drop in housing prices?

Astute Observation by awgee
2010-06-25 06:48 PM

No doubt, and Riverside will experience the greatest declines to come.

Astute Observation by Jim
2010-06-26 01:14 PM

Don’t forget San Bernardino County in addition to Riverside County

Astute Observation by matt138
2010-06-26 07:23 PM

hey where did all the bulls go?  sobering up?

Astute Observation by oc bear
2010-06-25 08:31 PM

Has Ben Bernanke run out of out of bullets?  If not he will stop the double dip with another trillion dollar MBS.  He’s not worried about re-election.

Astute Observation by Chris
2010-06-26 12:43 AM

Yep, Maiden Lane IV, V, etc….

Pretty soon it’ll surpass Super Bowl series grin

Astute Observation by jb
2010-06-26 09:27 AM

Wouldn’t it be interesting if these “squatters” had rented the house out and had collected $70K+ in income during the foreclosure process?

Astute Observation by Chris
2010-06-26 09:39 AM

Well, they would have to “rent” somewhere else, right?

Astute Observation by jb
2010-06-26 10:05 AM

Not exactly. I think that this particular situation is a lot more complicated.

Astute Observation by Nanci
2010-06-27 09:29 AM

I know someone who moved back home with mother and is renting out his house and not paying the mortgage.

Astute Observation by jb
2010-06-27 05:38 PM

Yes, that can happen in this environment. Isn’t it fraudulent to collect rent and not pay the mtg? If it isn’t, then it’s easy money for a lot of people, since the banks can’t be landlords.

Astute Observation by Paul Wagner
2010-06-27 11:54 PM

smileys

Astute Observation by Marian
2010-06-29 03:24 PM

Most likely triple dip.

Commenting is not available in this channel entry.

<< Back to main