Turtle Ridge Dreamers

Jun 22nd, 2007  
by IrvineRenter  in House Flips

Astute Observations

Astute Observation by lowrydr310
2007-06-22 05:00 AM

Does everyone in Turtle Ridge drive a BMW/Mercedes/Lexus?

Leveraging, baby! The $3M+ seller probably needs to cover his HELOC.
——-

Astute Observation by lee in irvine
2007-06-22 06:01 AM

RE: Garden Terrace

I just want to start by saying, I don’t really think any home in Irvine California is actually worth 3 million dollars, much less a tract home were the neighbors are 20 feet to each side.  That includes all those massive battle ships they’ve built in Shady Canyon.

If I were stupid enough to by this house at this price, I would at least expect a 3 car garage and a little more privacy.

This house probably takes the cake in describing how utterly foolish this market has become.  I guess this average home would be fairly priced if the average Joe in Irvine was filthy rich, but that’s not case.

Astute Observation by No_Such_Reality
2007-06-22 06:32 AM

Are you sure it’s twenty feet?  It looks closer to ten to me judging by the height of the woman and car standing there.

Also, are they zero-lot line SFRs?  The close-up on grand terrace has the landscaping wall and fence. Is that yours?  Your neighbors?  OR the community’s?

Astute Observation by oc-conservative
2007-06-22 06:36 AM

No doubt, it’s all in the mentality.  The “I want it, I deserve it, all anything I ever own does is go up in value because that’s how awesome I am, look neighbors my home is $3M+ because that’s what the piece of paper says outside my house” mentality.

That Tarbell realtor is a one-of-a-kind fuck for listing it at that price.  They continue to be part of the problem. 

I’ve said it once, and I’ll say it again.  Above all, the housing market has an inventory problem.  Lower your prices, get those houses moving, and it will be step 1 to a housing recovery.  One thing I am more confident with than other things is that the bottom will be reached about 1-2 years after the inventory bottoms.  Previous cycles have shown this, and it makes sense. 

So yah, realtors, keep those listings high and add to the inventory problem so we never bottom.  Keep making your own job difficult. 

...freaking idiots.

Astute Observation by Dr. Housing Bubble
2007-06-22 07:12 AM

Great post IrvineRenter.  This housing lunacy seems to run the gamut.  From your 500 square foot shack in Compton to your 2,400 square foot McMansion in Irvine.  I think Merrill Lynch saw this with Bear Sterns yesterday and thought, “we need to get out before it all hits the fan.”  I’m sure this was their reasoning in pulling back $850 million in assets out of the hedge fund and gearing up to unload assets on the market.

The market is not prime for sales right now so ML deciding to put inventory on the market should tell you something.  Oh, and rental prices in 92603 go for:

Median:  $3,200
High:    $5,029

They don’t call them rentals but leased homes.  Either way, $1.4 million will easily run you over $10,000 a month.  Totally makes sense doesn’t it? 

Dr. Housing Bubble

Astute Observation by Irvine Wanna Be
2007-06-22 07:14 AM

Well, if the two previously posted homes by Irvine Renter in Turtle Ridge [(1) short sale and (2) loss of $435,000+carrying cost for a year] are any indication of the trend for that area, then the Turtle Ridge Dreamers are in for quite a nightmare.

Astute Observation by Darin
2007-06-22 07:23 AM

I may be picky, but for anything over a million, I *never* want to see the garage door from the street.  Seriously, am I just too cheap? Is that asking too much?

And if these houses are so big, I’m sure they’re not using the garage for storage, right…?  right?  I have a crazy idea, how about you park your car in your garage.  That feature is part of the 1Mil you paid for your tract home.

Astute Observation by SoCalwatcher
2007-06-22 07:28 AM

That overhead pic makes these places look like one long stretch of townhomes.

Could they jam them any closer? This is going to look ridiculous about 50 years from now.

Astute Observation by JoonB
2007-06-22 08:13 AM

I have seen both of these homes- both floorplans are absolutely stupid.  The first one has these steps, steps down, etc.  It doesn’t feel like a house.  The second one has 2 casitas, and only 3 bedrooms in the main house.  I went there and the realtor asked what I thought and told her that 2 casitas were silly and we need 4 bedrooms.  She goes on and on about how some people have connected the casita on top (the casitas are one on top of each other, sort of like a cheap Holiday Inn with the entrance going up a flight of stairs).  I said no thanks.

Astute Observation by =-wes
2007-06-22 08:25 AM

You are right about the shamelessness of the REA and this homeowner. I am considering offering 195,000 for this house for fun.

Astute Observation by SoCalwatcher
2007-06-22 08:33 AM

LOL… I can see the response now:

“We spent that much on the landscaping!”

Astute Observation by Eurominds
2007-06-22 08:34 AM

It blows my mind that people choose to ignore market data and still feel that their home must increase in value at 20+% a year. I know several homeowners that are holding on to their home for another year or 2 so they can make another few houdred thousand dollars… When I tell them that unless they plan on living in there for a very long time they should sell now, as prices will continue to decrease, they think I am just bitter because I am a renter and simply hope that prices will come down in the future so I can buy. I guess that at least they are smart enough and do not list their home at outrageous prices. I can’t believe that realtors even agree on listing such ridiculous prices. I mean, it is a total waste of their time.

CNNMoney.com had an interesting piece yesterday titled “Out of touch with reality” which shows some amazing statistics on real estate sentiment…
http://biz.yahoo.com/cnnm/070621/062107_housing_perception_gap.html?.v=1&.pf=real-estate

Astute Observation by mino2126
2007-06-22 08:38 AM

I think this RE agent and her seller added to many cups of sugar to their Kool-Aid.  Holy Moly 3MM+ for a stucco box that looks like the same house just 4 houses down….ouch.

Astute Observation by Jason
2007-06-22 08:45 AM

I’m with you on that. Have you seen some of the places over at Columbus Grove in Tustin/Irvine? When you can’t take a picture of a 4-bedroom house without having neighboring houses from BOTH sides in the picture, something is very wrong.

Here’s that listing:

Astute Observation by MMG
2007-06-22 08:55 AM

I think that people who are going to be buying in the next few years, bloggers on this site and others financially responsible should start some kind of movement where they lowball these places back to 2000 prices, if enough people keep doing this, it will start to sink into seller’s minds—>oh sh*t.

I know from talking to a few realtors that sales are very slow, we have moved from total denial"sales are great” to some acceptance"homes are selling but very slow,you can get good deals i.e. 5%off”.

Im starting to hear about many short sales, forclosures. why not just tell realors we will not pay more than 3 times income (whatever it may be) and lets see what happens in a year.

just food for thought.

Astute Observation by Sue
2007-06-22 09:18 AM

Another random link.  Ouch!

Irvine broker Brookstreet faces liquidation
http://www.ocregister.com/ocregister/money/subprime/article_1740651.php

Stuart Meissner, a New York attorney and former securities regulator, said he received calls from people whose Brookstreet accounts went from $250,000 to negative value. “They were supposedly guaranteed 10 percent returns,” Meissner said.

Astute Observation by Johnny
2007-06-22 09:27 AM

In the property description, “View: Catalina Island, City Lights, Coastline, Hills, Ocean, Panoramic, Pool, Other”  should read “View: 73 Freeway, Other”.

Astute Observation by Irvine Soul Brother
2007-06-22 09:46 AM

Haha, very nice stuff, IR. I’ve enjoyed these articles about The Ridge (I actually liked the Masada reference) and it made me wonder about how what the difference will be in terms of depreciation % in the expensive neighborhoods vs the not so expensive ones. It seems like there is a greater absolute number and % that will come off of the 92603 type zips.

Astute Observation by Darin
2007-06-22 11:08 AM

LOL, on my browser the pictures changed about every 2-3 seconds.  Maybe if you don’t look close enough (or can’t), you won’t see the other houses. =)

Astute Observation by Darin
2007-06-22 11:10 AM

HAHAHAHAHAHA!

Astute Observation by Incredulous
2007-06-22 12:36 PM

My ex-boyfriend told me several years ago that his 2-bdrm Del Mar condo (which he bought in 1995 for $200K) was now worth $900K and although he hated it and the HOA, he would continue to own it since it was “going to appreciate another $500K in the next five years.”

The delusions of these homeowners continue to astound me - just for fun, I emailed him the Zillow link which recently showed his condo comps at $530K.

Astute Observation by IrvineResident
2007-06-22 02:37 PM

that’s why someone thinks his home worths nearly double of what it did 2004:
http://biz.yahoo.com/cnnm/070621/062107_housing_perception_gap.html?.v=1&.pf=real-estate

Astute Observation by Major Schadenfreude
2007-06-22 04:33 PM

I love the last line in that article regarding the NAR and AMB:

“Their organizations also tend to be optimistic about most housing-market matters.”

To say the least!

Astute Observation by Louisville Realtor
2007-06-22 05:16 PM

Great post. I don’t know where you got those pictures but they are really a hoot.

Astute Observation by SoCalWatcher
2007-06-23 08:11 AM

Wow…those are close. The pass through to the garage (don’t know what the term for that is) looks neat, but is a really dumb design with the other homes so close.

All that money for some crammed in stucco boxes on zero-lot line property. 

So, who are the idiots that plan these developments in SoCal?? Looks like “design it for what’s hot today” rather than plan for the long term.

Kinda like wearing Polo vs. Diesel.

Astute Observation by oc-conservative
2007-06-23 08:18 AM

...

“Unravel me
untie this chord
the very center of our union
is caving in
I can’t endure
I am the archive of our failure”

...

Astute Observation by k.o.
2007-06-26 01:21 PM

These prices are just sickening…

Astute Observation by Agent X
2007-06-27 10:30 AM

I live in Turtle Ridge, and everyone drives BMW/Mercedes/Lexus, and don’t forget Porsche/Ferrari/Bentley.  Turtle Ridge is not for the working class.  Most neighbors are either professionals or business owners.  You can’t afford this place living pay check to pay check.

Turtle Ridge is the high end of Irvine.  Don’t be envious if you didn’t have the vision to get in 3 years ago and have to wait for market correction now.  Most of my neighbors have multiple residential and commercial real estate holdings.  I even know several families with multiple homes in TR, one for Mom, one for Sis, etc.

A home you live in is not an investment; it doesn’t produce any returns.  But you need to live.  And if I’m making half a mil a year for the last 10 years, I want to enjoy my life.  After all, you can’t take it to the grave, can you?!  If you really want to live in Irvine, raise your kids, enjoy the clean and manicured environment, feel safe, then pay the premium.

There are other choices.  Go to Corona and get a 50% discount.  Smell the cow shit daily, deal with 91, and sufficate in the heat.

By the way, can you folks even afford $400 monthly association fee? That’s montly payment on a BMW 530i, or Gucci bag for your girl friend each month!  By year 2014, which most of you are waiting for the real estate to bottom out, will be more like $600.

Astute Observation by Thisblogsavedme100K
2007-06-28 11:24 AM

Way to burst his bubble! That is so F in funny!

Astute Observation by Scott
2007-07-09 09:13 AM

I actually saw the house with the two casitas yesterday.  Stooooooooopid!  Who would want that?  House in this development are way overpriced.  It’s just downright insulting how stupid they think the home buyer is today.

Astute Observation by Jake
2007-07-09 09:21 AM

Ever hear of posterity?  Ever hear of charitable donations?  You’re taking every last penny with you to the grave?  Shame, shame.  You’re a pathetic loser.  I’m glad I don’t know you, or anyone like you.

And BTW, I make mid to upper six figures myself, and I’m not a self-absorbed jackass like you.  You really need to grow up.

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