Proposed Subsidies to Housing Market Prices Benefit Only Bankers

Apr 27th, 2010  
by IrvineRenter  in Library News

Astute Observations

Astute Observation by cara
2010-04-27 05:34 AM

Red and purple are the only two colors and both are in multiple rooms. Did they just take the advice of the salespeople on how much paint it takes and buy way too much and then decide not to waste it, or did they get those two colors cheap from the returns area?

(I actually kinda like that purple when it’s not next to red).

Astute Observation by AZDavidPhx
2010-04-27 05:50 AM

Astute Observation by Travis Bickle
2010-04-27 08:37 AM

Ausgezeichnet!

Astute Observation by RogBoy
2010-04-27 05:54 AM

What is “the power of eminent domain”?

Astute Observation by Planet Reality
2010-04-27 07:35 AM

Current asking price is double the price of 15 years ago.  Woopty-freakin-do.  Also it’s at rental parity.  That next leg down is going to be painful, but first Irvine will need to fall back to 2009 pricing.

Astute Observation by alan
2010-04-27 09:01 AM

Sorry, I live on a different planet where you have to add the repair/replacement costs to the house costs before you see a final price.

New roof $20,000 and up
Bathroom repairs $2,000 and up
Not to mention what else your going to find
Add at least $40K up front to this house before you talk about rental parity.

Astute Observation by Eat that!
2010-04-27 11:03 AM

What part of $720,000 dollars is this home worth?  Is there a view of the ocean or at least a very nice lake?

Astute Observation by Planet Reality
2010-04-27 11:23 AM

You got me there.  It would be impossible to live Eat That’s pimping coastal life style in this house.  Better add a digit to the price tag for that type of opulence.

Astute Observation by lowrydr310
2010-04-27 12:40 PM

Welcome to the new Orange County market. Repeat after me, “THERE IS NO BUBBLE.” Keep saying it, until you believe it. I’m with PR, he has me convinced. Prices are up from their 2009 lows, and there’s no chance of them ever falling any further.

Irvine is now a high end area and is immune from any price drops. This is the new price standard. You want an ocean view? Add another digit, and buy now or be priced out forever. If you can’t afford it, better luck next time.

Astute Observation by AZDavidPhx
2010-04-27 07:39 AM

Goldman Sachs Spanish Inquisition is underway.  Should be an interesting day.

Astute Observation by Planet Reality
2010-04-27 08:06 AM

Maybe GS will be forced to give back some of their tax payer profits to contribute to the fund designed to pay for the next banking collapse.  Yes it’s already a forgone conclusion by the fine folks on capital hill, another banking crisis is in the bag.  We will prepare by taxing the banks to encourage them to take on more risk, brilliant.  Gentlemen place your bets let moral hazard rain down from the heavens.

Astute Observation by Freetrader2
2010-04-27 08:09 AM

What’s up with the lighting in that Senate hearing room?  These people all look like zombies.

Astute Observation by HydroCabron
2010-04-27 08:15 AM

That can only mean that the lighting is excellent, and allows the cameras to render flesh tones and skin lesions accurately.

Astute Observation by AZDavidPhx
2010-04-27 08:35 AM

They are putting on a damn good dog and pony show over there in D.C today.  Totally worth the price of admission to watch these scumbags squirm.

Astute Observation by Perspective
2010-04-27 03:06 PM

The scumbags are asking the questions too!

Astute Observation by newbie2008
2010-04-27 09:06 AM

Clintonism, Bushism, Obamaism—when you’re purchased by GS, they are all the same, GSism.  The congress will just show how tough they are and in 7 monthes the will just be some show legistation that will apprear to be regulating, but will only indemify GS and others.  GS will just say “We did nothing wrong…We lost money.”  Will be sounding like Whitewater.  Laughing all the way to another feeding trough.

One thing different, is we have “Cyrus” in office.  The media will report how well the economy is recovering while the unoffical unemployed grows larger.  The media will have another obamasm.

Banks, M&A, some high tech. show some signs of recovery.  Temporary uptick in car and washing machines sales.

Astute Observation by IrvineRenter
2010-04-27 10:34 AM

I got this emailed to me from a reader:

Easily Understandable Explanation of Derivative Markets:

Heidi is the proprietor of a bar in Detroit.  She realizes that virtually all of her customers are unemployed alcoholics and, as such, can no longer afford to patronize her bar.  To solve this problem, she comes up with new marketing plan that allows her customers to drink now, but pay later.  She keeps track of the drinks consumed on a ledger (thereby granting the customers loans).

Word gets around about Heidi’s “drink now, pay later” marketing strategy and, as a result, increasing numbers of customers flood into Heidi’s bar.  Soon she has the largest sales volume for any bar in Detroit.

By providing her customers’ freedom from immediate payment demands, Heidi gets no resistance when, at regular intervals, she substantially increases her prices for wine and beer, the most consumed beverages.  Consequently, Heidi’s gross sales volume increases massively.  A young and dynamic vice-president at the local bank recognizes that these customer debts constitute valuable future assets and increases Heidi’s borrowing limit.  He sees no reason for any undue concern, since he has the debts of the unemployed alcoholics as collateral.

At the bank’s corporate headquarters, expert traders figure a way to make huge commissions, and transform these customer loans into DRINKBONDS, ALKIBONDS and PUKEBONDS.  These securities are then bundled and traded on international security markets.  Naive investors don’t really understand that the securities being sold to them as AAA secured bonds are really the debts of unemployed alcoholics.  Nevertheless, the bond prices continuously climb, and the securities soon become the hottest-selling items for some of the nation’s leading brokerage houses.

One day, even though the bond prices are still climbing, a risk manager at the original local bank decides that the time has come to demand payment on the debts incurred by the drinkers at Heidi’s bar.  He so informs Heidi.

Heidi then demands payment from her alcoholic patrons, but being unemployed alcoholics they cannot pay back their drinking debts.  Since, Heidi cannot fulfill her loan obligations she is forced into bankruptcy.  The bar closes and the eleven employees lose their jobs.

Overnight, DRINKBONDS, ALKIBONDS and PUKEBONDS drop in price by 90%.  The collapsed bond asset value destroys the banks liquidity and prevents it from issuing new loans, thus freezing credit and economic activity in the community.

The suppliers of Heidi’s bar had granted her generous payment extensions and had invested their firms’ pension funds in the various BOND securities.  They find they are now faced with having to write off her bad debt and with losing over 90% of the presumed value of the bonds.  Her wine supplier also claims bankruptcy, closing the doors on a family business that had endured for three generations, her beer supplier is taken over by a competitor, who immediately closes the local plant and lays off 150 workers.

Fortunately though, the bank, the brokerage houses and their respective executives are saved and bailed out by a multi-billion dollar no-strings attached cash infusion from their cronies in Government.  The funds required for this bailout are obtained by new taxes levied on employed, middle-class, non-drinkers who have never been in Heidi’s bar.

Now, do you understand?

Astute Observation by Sac_Boomer
2010-04-27 10:36 AM

Sadly, yes.

Astute Observation by newbie2008
2010-04-27 03:09 PM

Great story,
Needs one more section:
the brokerage houses and their respective executives realize the fallacy, pumps up the demand for the DRINKBONDS, ALKIBONDS and PUKEBONDS, then shorts the DRINKBONDS, ALKIBONDS and PUKEBONDS.

Astute Observation by avobserver
2010-04-27 12:01 PM

Don’t expect bullwhips and thumbscrews. Some mild, symbolic spanking is the more likely outcome.

Astute Observation by Sue in Irvine
2010-04-27 08:06 AM

IR…I see a hand holding a human heart.
As for the Irvine house….I see an ugly house which needs work.

Astute Observation by SoOCOwner
2010-04-27 08:18 AM

It’s the Michelin Man.  He is holding out his hand and warning potential buyers to ‘stop’ and do not buy the home.  Not sure why, it seems reasonably priced. However, I would heed the omen.

Astute Observation by ME
2010-04-27 08:30 AM

I understand we should want the banks to foreclose on more properties.  But I don’t think their books can handle it.  If they did they whole economy would crash becuase the All the big banks would go bankrupt.  There is not enough moeny in the world to cover all the foreclosures that should be taking place.

Astute Observation by IrvineRenter
2010-04-27 10:04 AM

That is exactly why the banks should be nationalized. The equity and bond holders would be wiped out, the banks would be recapitalized by the government, and with a clean slate, the banks could lend again. It wouldn’t crash the world economy; it would only wipe out the existing stock and bond holders from the banks. In fact, it would be a tremendous help to the world economy. The only reason this does not happen is because banking interests control our government.

Astute Observation by avobserver
2010-04-27 11:57 AM

IR,
Our gov’t would not nationalize large zombie banks because we need their “expertise” to keep this game going. Don’t you realize that financial, with its infinite wisdom and creativity in generating wealth inducing schemes, is really the “backbone” of our economy. The whole idea is about elevating consumption by getting American middle class loaded on more debt.  The system runs like a well-oiled machine – Wall Street came up with new debt instruments thru financial engineering, creditors gobbled on the new products, consumers jumped in with both feet and spent with abandon. Increased consumption stimulated corporate profits/personal income and jacked up asset prices (aided and abetted by Fed’s low interest policy), which in turn begot more debt. Not only financial industry became the de facto biggest winner itself, this “debt - consumption - more debt” model also lifted all industries and sectors related to consumer spending, which is basically the whole economy. No politician in his/her right mind dares to touch the foundation of this shaky structure. Tinkering the wrong thing is like pulling the wrong piece in a Jenga game at late stage.

Sustaining the basis structure of our economic system means two things:

1.  Don’t mess with the creditors
2.  Don’t mess with the enablers (Wall Street)

Both Bush and Obama administrations clearly “got” it. They may yank a leash here, slap a wrist there to appease populist rage from time to time, but in the end nothing drastic should befall the “untouchables”.

As for bailing out the debtors – the path of least resistance seems to socialize the debt. All current policies to “help” distressed debtors are moving in that direction.

Astute Observation by HydroCabron
2010-04-27 12:07 PM

Financial Innovation. Heh.

The last financial innovation was the development of double-entry bookkeeping in the 13th century.

Astute Observation by avobserver
2010-04-27 04:53 PM

yeah, from that little innovation, add a little human ingenuity and imagination we now have a $450 trillion derivatives market.

Astute Observation by scott
2010-04-27 06:40 PM

Heh, Paul Volker said the only real innovation of the last 20 years was the ATM machine (and I might add the low cost index fund by Vanguard). Can any think of any other financial innovation that really was a change for the better?

Astute Observation by Frank
2010-04-28 12:48 PM

Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs)?

Astute Observation by Geotpf
2010-04-28 08:25 AM

It did not happen because nationalizing the banks would be “socialism”, and the Republican party doesn’t like “socialism”, and there was a Republican president in power when the crash happened.

Astute Observation by Sad Buyer
2010-04-27 08:54 AM

I found out this morning my house is already paid off.  Let me tell you what happened.

For years I have been applying money to the “principle only” to reduce our mortgage and the interest we payments.  About a year ago I had an extra $12,000 to apply to the principle so I mailed it off to the mortgage company on a Friday.  Based on the my payment history records this company had always recorded the payment by the following Tuesday.  However, this payment was not applied until two weeks after I sent it and the only reason they applied it then was because I called them and demanded to know why it hadn’t been apllied.  They claimed they didn’t know why I was sending the extra money even though it was stated specifically in a letter from me. At this point the representative applied the payment and credited the account for the interest they had charged to my account.

Last Friday I sent what I thought was my next to last payment.  This morning I decided to check the “payoff balance” I went online and discovered in March the mortgage comapny had decided to treat my “additional principle payment” as a “prepayment” which means interest is being applied to my principle that I thought I had paid down.  I informed them their action were illegal and they needed to correct their error.  Immedialtely the representative corrected the mortgage company’s “error”.  Just for the month of March and April this made a difference of $5,600.  The representative connected me with a supervisor who apologized and said she would take care of the matter.  She informed me the company would be returning the funds owed to us along with our final documents.

The moral of the story.  You have to watch these people like a hawk.  Even when you are down to the last two payments on your loan.  They will try to get one over on you if you’re not paying attention so BEWARE and pay attention to the DETAILS.  It’s funny one of my friends calls me a control freak but my house is paid off and she is losing hers.  I think I’ll take her comment as a compliment.

Astute Observation by newbie2008
2010-04-27 09:18 AM

SB,
Congrads on really owning a house.
Wise warning for others. 

On the featured property:
1.  Is the owner really trying to sell or just pretending?
2.  Since there’s only a first, is it financially better to sell (and pay expenses and back payments) or get TS-FC’ed (no expenses)?
3.  Owner gets a B for converting to only a first loan, but not an A for fully gaming the system.  An A would require full gaming of the system, like the NB women with HEW in the multi-millions, squatting for years without payment and trying to lease the place on the taxpayer’s hard earned money. I shouldn’t pick on her, cause iher hardship was caused by a divorce and her ex’s fault.  BahBahBah.

Astute Observation by IrvineRenter
2010-04-27 10:11 AM

Sad Buyer,

Congratulations on paying off your house. That is a fantastic accomplishment.

I have a similar bank story. When I sold my house in Florida, about 3 weeks before closing, the bank gave me an incorrect payoff balance. They had improperly recorded a payment about 8 months earlier, and for the last 7 months of the loan, they recorded everything as late, so I had $175 worth of bogus late fees. In the three weeks before my closing, despite having various bank representatives on the phone who admitted their error, I could not get these fees reversed. At the closing, the fees were still there. I had to chose between closing the sale or postponing to fight for $175. I chose to close. The bank was rewarded for entrenched incompetence.

Huntington Bank: you suck.

Astute Observation by Sad Buyer
2010-04-27 10:50 AM

Don’t you just hate that, you have to pay for there incompetence. I actually learned of the “principle” vs. “prepayment” problem when paying off a student loan years ago.  Actually now that I think about it that was during the S&L crisis.  I guess the banks will never give up trying to get our money one way or another.

Astute Observation by HydroCabron
2010-04-27 12:00 PM

“The moral of the story.  You have to watch these people like a hawk.  Even when you are down to the last two payments on your loan.”

It’s even a problem if you don’t make additional payments. My parents paid off their house by making the minimum payments, yet the servicer tried to extract further payments from them.

The problem, according to one employee my father contacted, is that payoffs are so rare that software errors go undetected for months if the software is tweaked.

That’s California for you.

Astute Observation by John
2010-04-27 12:59 PM

Does any one notice that most (if not all) of the bank’s mistakes are to their advantages, not the customers?  what a coincidence!!!

I’d love to hear from anyone whose credit card balance was accidently reduced by the bank.

Astute Observation by Honest
2010-04-27 02:29 PM

Actually, the bank made an error and undercalculated the points amount for my mortgage on the closing instructions to escrow. Being an honest person though, I pointed it out before closing and paid up.

Astute Observation by Sad Buyer
2010-04-27 06:26 PM

Because I save all of my receipts and check them against my statements I have noticed about once a year a purchase I make does not show up on my card.  I don’t know if this is the merchants mistake or the credit cards mistake.

Astute Observation by Sac_Boomer
2010-04-27 10:34 AM

I. R. The American Gothic send up is one of the best graphics ever.  All it needs is a Harley in the background. However, not as funny as the actual pictures of the house. I have a quibble with the Realtor’s description. (Notice how you can’t write “Realtor” without the accent on the “OR?”) Did they not notice that the “wood flooring” in the kitchen looks a lot like cheap worn out tile? And I can’t help but think that the ultra-close proximity of of the refrigerator and the oven is wasteful of energy, and not user freindly.  I know I am simple country folk, but it just seems too steep for what you get, and doesn’t pass my standard of “desireable”. I expect it will be in “Back-ups accepted” status by day’s end.

SB

Astute Observation by Laura Louzader
2010-04-27 02:30 PM

This house is the worst deal for the price asked that I’ve seen of any house you’ve featured on this site, and that saying some.

It looks like a late-60s vintage tract house though I know it is newer than that. Horrible architecture and cramped, stuffy rooms not helped by the horrid decorating.

$275K max for this dump even in Orange County.

Astute Observation by wheresthebeef
2010-04-27 09:57 PM

Be careful now Laura.  Planet Reality has already staked the claim that this POS is at rental parity.  Anybody who pays almost three quarters of a million dollars for this house is absolutely insane.  There is no curb appeal and the entire house needs updating.  There are so many better alternatives for this price.

In a normal market, this crap box might sell for 475K.  And we just might get there sometime soon.

Astute Observation by Planet Reality
2010-04-28 06:10 AM

At 275K or $475K I would buy as many as I can and rent them at a HUGE profit.  The arbitrage would quickly disappear pushing the price to rental parity, simple economics.

Astute Observation by Laura Louzader
2010-04-28 06:34 AM

What would this rent for?

Astute Observation by Planet Reality
2010-04-28 07:12 AM

Market rent would be 2800 - 3000 for an SFR with a 6000 sq. ft. Lot.  Maybe more if you invested money.  Living in Irvine will never be cheap.  I’m sure someone will post that they rent a house down the street for 2500.  In any event this house will never sell for 275k, not even if you had a time
machine to 1995.

Astute Observation by stoppingby
2010-04-29 10:52 AM

We heard that this same plan rented for $3,100 not long ago, which would be around rental parity. And someone was willing to pay the $720K for this, because it already has an offer on it. That didn’t take long, even in the disgusting condition it is in.

Astute Observation by newbie2008
2010-04-27 03:12 PM

Will the impending commerical RE tank the stock market and housing market?

I don’t see how the media can get traction on bailing out the commerical RE market, but I didn’t see how they could get traction in bailing out the Mexican hedge funds in the 1990’s, but Bill did $$$$$$

Astute Observation by Ozymandias
2010-04-27 06:41 PM

haven’t check in in awhile.  i notice the supply of homes is on an upswing.

could this be the start of the second wave

everything starts in calif.

Astute Observation by rick
2010-04-27 07:51 PM

The Ghost:

Look carefully at where frosty’s scarf is. You will notice a small flying-saucer shape. That shape correlates to an object at the top of the stairs in picture #2.

The window in the mirror’s reflection best correlates with the window in picture #2, also at the top of the stairs.

Look at the window in the reflection. There is a shape in from of it that looks like an oval with a plus sign in it. Look at picture #2. There is a similarly shaped object in front of the upper window on the left.

I think the hand is a handprint on the mirror. Everything below the “scarf” is dirty mirror goo.


I love a ghost story…

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