Panel finds Greenspan and Bernanke responsible and negligent

Astute Observations

Astute Observation by SantaAnaRenter
2011-02-02 07:29 AM

I’m still amazed that you find SO MANY of these particular examples:

Purchased 13 years ago (should be half paid-off by now), but instead over 10 years later they are trying to sell at TWICE their purchase price - yet IT’S A SHORT SALE… Over a decade later!

A half-million-dollar (overpriced) short-sale on a home purchased for $285k. But the bank should reduce her balance, right, to avoid foreclosure?

I didn’t see anything in this article blaming HOMEOWNERS like this one, and they should!

Astute Observation by IrvineRenter
2011-02-02 08:24 AM

“I’m still amazed that you find SO MANY of these particular examples”

I am still amazed at how bad these cases are. I thought that perhaps I had documented some of the worst in 2008 and 2009 because the most distressed borrowers gave up first. However, even now in 2011, I still find people like today that were so irresponsible, people who took out so much mortgage money, even after 4 years of writing about HELOC abuse, it is still shocking.

Astute Observation by winstongator
2011-02-02 10:33 AM

I wonder the degree to which people were using heloc money to pay their mortgages.  Say you have a home paid for, then refi at 80% LTV.  The cash-out money would last a long time towards payments.

Astute Observation by Alan
2011-02-02 11:41 AM

I guess that more often the money went for 2nd and 3rd houses/condos as investments, with some rent money and further refinances and HELOCs pooled together to pay the mortgages, plus some toys to keep up appearances. On second thought, since down payments weren’t required, you may well be right.

Astute Observation by lee in irvine
2011-02-02 11:12 AM

Purchased 13 years ago (should be half paid-off by now), but instead over 10 years later they are trying to sell at TWICE their purchase price - yet IT’S A SHORT SALE… Over a decade later!

Hey ... come on.  Did you not see a spike after 9/11 in European Luxury/Sports cars?  How about those 2-tone Rolex watches that are/were so common on middle aged, balding, overweight, Ed Hardy wearing pretenders?  Then there’s the middle aged MILF’s in The OC had to go get their boobs enhanced ... top it off with a new Louie Vuitton purse.  Remember this shit?

Right after 9/11, George Bush told everyone to go out and BUY, BUY, BUY.  Alan Greenspan took the hint and promptly dropped the discount rate to 1%.  “FREE MONEY EVERYONE, let’s party”!

We’re all rich ... selling houses to each other, and moving paper around.

Now we watch the aftermath.  :/

Astute Observation by winstongator
2011-02-02 07:46 AM

Yves Smith had a good entry in the room-for-debate section of the NYTimes.  She has a more complete version with the same main idea on her blog.  The gist is that terms like “greed, ineptitude or both” are simply not strong enough and not fully accurate. 

A small cartel subverted the market to create bad loans so they could bet against them. By any normal standard, this activity was both fraudulent and obscenely profitable.

You can say that a torturer was mean and nasty, but if he’s severed your legs and done even worse, calling him mean and nasty, while accurate, just doesn’t capture what happened.  The FCIC could have gone further, but that would have led to real changes, which it seems few want.

Astute Observation by lee in irvine
2011-02-02 01:22 PM

Excellent point!

Just think, 3 years after the equity markets went kaput, TARP and Lehman, we still have no true reform.  Not only that, but all the Too Big To Fail Banks have all become bigger.

Sometimes I ask myself, have I become jaded due to my age, or is it because of the history that we’re presently watching.

Astute Observation by JK
2011-02-02 10:41 AM

Because of when she bought it seems to me that had she just made regular payments (30 yr. fixed)and sold at the peak of the bubble she might have made quite a bit of money comparatively. Not knowing her interest rate and what this property went for at the peak who knows.
Of course when you factor in the free rent she’s had…maybe her method was better.

Astute Observation by winstongator
2011-02-02 10:49 AM

Greenspan didn’t see the problem because he didn’t want to.  He was wholly (or holy) devoted to the markets.  His faith was (was not is) unshakable.  His belief that markets are self-correcting and self-regulating were bedrock to his faith.  He was really more of a high-priest than anything else.

Astute Observation by IrvineRenter
2011-02-02 11:49 AM

“His belief that markets are self-correcting and self-regulating were bedrock to his faith.  He was really more of a high-priest than anything else.”

Yes, he was an Ann Rand disciple who kept his faith in markets above reason and data.

Astute Observation by Me
2011-02-02 01:07 PM

I’m sorry but I just don’t buy the ignorance excuse. This crap is not rocket science.  If you just follow history anybody can understand the effects of federal or centralized banking.  He’ll they even give this Financial fleecing a “cyclical” term .. “the business cycle”. As if it has somthing to do with business.
These people are not stupid. They know exactly what the game plan is. 
I doubt anything will change. In fact I won’t be surprised when people will have to borrow money for fuel or food in the future.  Housing has been controlled by the banks since the first mortgage was introduced after ww2.

There is no such a thing as a free market when govt subities or lending is involved.

Astute Observation by lee in irvine
2011-02-02 01:33 PM

Hey Me ... did you know that that type of talk used to be conspiratorial, now it’s mainstream.

Astute Observation by Swiller
2011-02-02 04:52 PM

It *used* to be conspiratorial, but that was when they feared that the american people would actually do something about it. Now they know most would rather watch brain mush TV. Most people I talk to in life DON’T WANT TO KNOW…period.

They don’t want to know about fractional reserve banking, groups that direct and control the world, or anything that involves THINKING.

Every now and then the tree of liberty needs to be watered with blood, if liberty is to remain. We are very close to that time, and usually, it’s the little people’s blood like yours and mine.

Astute Observation by Me
2011-02-02 07:42 PM

Swiller, You sound like you just watch the animated film American Dream. LOL  
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZPWH5TlbloU

Astute Observation by matt138
2011-02-02 07:54 PM

IrvineRenter, while i usually respect your opinions and observations, how can you be so blind as to the effects of manipulated interest rates on an economy?

It sends false signals to every sector.  It breeds widespread malinvestment.  It creates the illusion of prosperity.

It is the fountainhead of our current woes.

Read greenspan’s “gold and economic freedom” in rand’s “capitalism: the unknown ideal”.  Is it not glaringly obvious his actions of late are a complete contradiction to his earlier writings?

Business and consumer will only make poor choices when the air is clouded with the fog of cheap money.

Astute Observation by cat
2011-02-02 01:37 PM

American, wake up.

AG and Ben are two of the smartest persons we can pick form this plant. But they are also the shameless too.
The Fed chair position just too precious, if you ever watch Lord of Ring you will understand what I am saying. The only care re-nomination, they mortgage this country this China, India already.
Without Fed chair position, they just an ordinary professor, live in an humble 500K house , in a college town.

Bush, Obama and even Ron Paul will re-nominate Ben in 2013 anyway, because they already the Fed to election machine: continue refinancing our country to give an illusion of false prosperity, so the president can get re-elected.

Astute Observation by matt138
2011-02-02 08:04 PM

His belief that markets are self-correcting and self-regulating were bedrock to his faith..

How can a man who gooses the entire economy by manipulating interest rates be said to believe in free market forces?

If he had said, “we need the market to correct and that means recession.  we need the market to set interest rates instead of us, the fed.  recession is the cure.  those with unsound leverage positions need to fail.  people need to get out of debt, prices of goods need to fall to reach market equilibrium” then you could argue the case he still follows Rand, believes in free market forces, and capitalism.

Astute Observation by tenmagnet
2011-02-02 11:12 AM

Maybe she took the money purchased elsewhere and rented this one out.
The list price is close to what is owed.
It appears to me that she’s looking to unwind this at a minimal loss.

Astute Observation by winstongator
2011-02-02 12:10 PM

If she rented this one, she could easily have been collecting rent w/o making payments to the bank.  Similar to squatting, but cash-in-the-pocket.

Astute Observation by tenmagnet
2011-02-02 12:20 PM

Exactly,
I think this happens more often than not.

Astute Observation by alan
2011-02-02 11:58 AM

IR

“What is shocking to me is that this report got so much right. Government reports are usually whitewashes of their own ineptitude”

And your basing this opinon on ‘what’?  You may have a low opinion of our goverment but congressional reports are generally good.  The report on the Space schuttle disaster was right on in identifying the O-ring failure and the 911 report was very good.

Astute Observation by winstongator
2011-02-02 12:12 PM

Cash-out refinances need to reset property value for tax purposes.  There is no good argument against this, and it will serve two good purposes: help balance CA’s budget, and discourage heloc abuse.

Astute Observation by alan
2011-02-02 12:50 PM

correction…

“all” refinances should be reported to the state and trigger a property tax resest.  However, HELOCs are not refinances, you are taking out a loan which backed by collateral - your house.  Up until the great bubble, HELOCs were not risky because housing values didn’t change that much.  They also weren’t as common before the bubble either.  So this property should only have be reappraised in 2006 and 2007 for property tax purposes when the 1st loan was refinanced.

On the business side… whole nother problemo… because corps keep business properties for multiple decades, unlike most personal property.  Corporate property should be reassesed every 5 to 10 years period.

Of course, this mean re-opening prop 13.

Astute Observation by winstongator
2011-02-02 01:50 PM

I said cash-out because you should not treat someone who is refi’ing to get a lower rate in the same way you treat someone who is refi’ing to cash-out.

To get a HELOC you need some appraisal.  If the appraisal and to-be borrowed total debt exceeds the tax value of the home, tax value goes up.  If appraisal > tax value, BUT total borrowed debt < tax value, no reassessment.

You’re wrong about housing values not changing much.  If housing values didn’t go up at rates greater than inflation, what do you have prop 13 for?  Prop 13, in principle is a sensible rule, but needs slight modifications.  I understand the likelihood of change is inversely proportional the insanity index of CA’s gov’t - iow, not very likely.

Astute Observation by matt138
2011-02-02 08:08 PM

all we need are decades of rising interest rates and real estate will not outpace wage inflation.

Astute Observation by DarthFerret
2011-02-02 12:58 PM

I happen to have some additional info on this property. First, it is scheduled to go to a foreclosure sale this week, according to my discussion with the realtor this past weekend during an open house. There is also an $11,000 2nd mortgage that the lender is refusing to release that the buyer would have to pay off in order to get it before the foreclosure sale. And last but not least, there is over $3,000 in termite damage to the house that the new buyer would have to pay to repair.

Touring through the house, the flooring appeared in decent shape, but there have been zero upgrades to anything else in the house. This may be inside the Woodbridge loop, but I’d still categorize it as a fixer-upper. Over the past couple years, it seemed like problem properties used to be confined to the less-desirable fringes of El Camino Real (e.g. along the RR tracks) and Orangetree, but now we’re seeing them migrate further and further into the mainstream of Irvine. I guess the flood of foreclosures and shadow inventory is just too much for the flippers to absorb. Hence the price declines.

Irvine is NOT immune!

-Darth

Astute Observation by es
2011-02-02 01:58 PM

I’ve said this a million times, and I’ve never, EVER gotten a response… I’ll say it again.

Going back to 2001/2002- what would have happened if Greenspan/ Bernanke/ Anyone suggested tighter mortgage regulations?  required 20% down for a new mortgage?  require equity for refinancing?  Required notarized documentation for loan origination?  yeah, that’s right, all you people, yeah you, would have been yelling “COMMUNISTS!  FASCISTS!  LET THE FREE MARKET WORK!  THEY’RE TAKING OUR GUNS!”

So, in the end everyone deserves what happened.

Astute Observation by AZDavidPhx
2011-02-02 03:38 PM

LOL.  What a moronic observation.  I can just picture the author frothing about the mouth as he typed that.

Astute Observation by es
2011-02-02 04:00 PM

no, I’m not the one frothing.  I’m *imagining* the frothing that would have occurred had *anyone* attempted to cool down the absurdly hot RE market.  Think back to then dude- EVERYONE was making insane amounts of money.  Everyone who touched RE made 6 figures per transaction it seemed.  Just imagine the recoil if Greenspan, or anyone for that matter said anything to try to temper the frenzy. 

Go back to 1999, and imagine trying to tell people pets.com is a bad idea.  They’ll just scoff at you.  As IR as pointed out over and over again, a bubble is inflated by irrational exuberance.  You can’t take that away from people.

Astute Observation by AZDavidPhx
2011-02-02 05:06 PM

Of course whoever is benefiting from the current system is not going to want to change it.  That’s why the Fed is supposed to be independent - so they can make those politically tough decisions.

Astute Observation by awgee
2011-02-02 05:15 PM

I am benefitting from it and I would end the Fed, fiat currency, and fractional reserve banking tomorrow if I was given the chance.  I invest based on what is, not on what I would like.

Astute Observation by SanJoseRenter
2011-02-03 02:03 AM

> you, would have been yelling “COMMUNISTS!  FASCISTS!  LET THE FREE MARKET WORK!”

es:

actually, the groups yelling that were the politicians, regulators and minority boosters bribed by the fees whore class (banks and realtors.)

Anybody who warned about the bubble was shouted down by politicians, which is documented reasonably well online.

Astute Observation by newbie2008
2011-02-02 03:09 PM

“Greenspan and Bernanke were incompetent. “

I take except to that comment.  Both men are extreme bright, versed in acedemic and in practice experence.  IR and critics are forgetting who these two men work for. Hint: It’s not the US government.

As for market forces not at working, the market for these bankers include knowing that the corporation/shareholders would pay for their mistakes and if faced with BK’ed, then US taxpayers would be forced to bail them out.  They maximized their profit (personal) and left the taxpayers holding the bag.  That was the model and it did work.  You just feel bad about it because you’re left holding the bag.  Suck it up and hand over the money.  I’m sure Ron Paul is not the only one in Congress who’s figured it out.  The rest just want their share.

Astute Observation by es
2011-02-02 03:16 PM

<stands up, applauds>

Astute Observation by Planet Reality
2011-02-02 03:35 PM

Right on, the sooner people accept reality the sooner they will be at peace with what continues to occur and they will make better decisions.

Astute Observation by Chris
2011-02-03 12:31 AM

So does your anus hurt?

I mean, that is reality, isn’t it (or you can say you’re not a taxpayer and so it doesn’t hurt)?

grin

Astute Observation by AZDavidPhx
2011-02-02 03:46 PM

Agree 100%.

Astute Observation by newbie2008
2011-02-02 03:17 PM

BHO and the Feds are doing a wonderful job in exporting inflation and unrest to foreign lands.  The unrest destabilized foreign currency and markets, thus causing flight to US currency and market for lower US interest rates and high stock prices.  Only thing, the special interest groups will demand sending humanitary aid and peace keeping troops, so the taxpayers will need to buy good to send over and pay for the goods and troops.  Hopefully the troops will be using US made ammo and not Eastern European ammo.

Astute Observation by Planet Reality
2011-02-02 03:38 PM

You are correct once again.  They have been extremely sucessful at utilizing the US strength to minimize the damage at home while inflicting pain else where.

The banking cartel and it’s political chronies are not giving up any time soon.

Astute Observation by tenmagnet
2011-02-02 03:31 PM

What’s so hard to understand?
Government Sachs tells the FED what to do.
Print money and buy equities.

Astute Observation by lowrydr310
2011-02-02 04:41 PM

Is it just me, or does Ben Bernanke look like Karl Marx?

Astute Observation by WTF Finance
2011-02-04 01:31 PM

It’s interesting that these reports now state that there is fault with the Central banks yet each one of them blames them for not REGULATING the underwriting and loans that were made. Government officials, in general, don’t see that policies that distort supply and demand are the root problem. As much as the agencies blame the Central Bank they still receive more power to guide the economy to “prosperity”...LOL

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