One Land Baron’s Heartbreaking Implosion

Astute Observations

Astute Observation by winstongator
2010-04-01 04:04 AM

Yesterday you wrote about how you might not have let go of the housing bubble, but the couple in the article are the type of people that more need to let go of the bubble mentality.  It also needs to be mentioned the degree to which speculators bid up the prices of real estate - in 2005, 33% of all US purchases were non owner occupant, and lots of those used owner-occupant financing terms.  In the bubble regions this was worse.  I feel sorry for the health & income aspect of their situation, but not the housing part.  They were part of the problem, and the problem is in the process of being fixed. 

It seems like they might have been better off letting the house go and using savings to build up a little reserve for the move to a rental.  Lots of people still see the problems in housing being falling prices, but they never acknowledge the problems that were caused by the rising prices.  Identifying the real problem is important.  Perhaps this couple’s problem is not that they are losing a home they should stay in, but that they are holding on to a home that they should let go.

Astute Observation by AZDavidPhx
2010-04-01 08:35 AM

This is a good point.  Perhaps the daily chanting before the carved teak shrine ought to include some slogans like “must let go” “must stop be delusional” “must throw out this damned shrine and grow up”

Astute Observation by Perspective
2010-04-01 09:27 AM

This couple was well-chosen to generate sympathetic readers.  His back injury sounds about as serious as they get.  However, they perceive themselves as victims, when in reality they are the victimizers.  They are the classic SoCal couple we all knew, who were flipping multiple houses and generating huge profits relative to their labor income. 

Most IHB readers are the real victims.  I want to read a story about the hard-working professional couple who refused to purchase in the early 2000s because they didn’t have 20% saved yet, only to watch prices get further and further out-of-reach.  I want the media to report about how this couple continues to be victimized by people like the homedebtors in the article above and their own government.

Astute Observation by es
2010-04-01 09:56 AM

Very well said Perspective.  I will essentially never be able to buy a house, and I’m a goddamned lawyer making 6 figures.  Here in the bay area, I can look forward to a middle unit townhouse in South San Jose for $600K because that’s the only thing I could save 20% of within a reasonable amount of time.  $120K is a year’s salary for me, so saving that kind of money after rent + student loan payments + necessities/ obligations($4k/ month) I can save $120K in about 5 years.  And that’s so I can get a middle unit townhouse in South San Jose and have a 75 minute commute to go 20 miles to work.  Oh, and $300/ month in HOA.

Astute Observation by Perspective
2010-04-01 12:59 PM

es, one of the purposes of law school is to find a spouse so that you compound the salaries! That’s what I did. wink

Astute Observation by newbie2008
2010-04-01 09:42 PM

es,
Don’t lose heart.  I personally know many who did it on half my salary.  They all had one thing in common.  They live under their means, but didn’t show it.  Outlet clothing, discount food, used car, very limited eating out, no expensive vacations or other lavish expenses.  Sharing an apartment and cooking until married.

Your salary is likely to increase but live as if the salary will be flat.  Save any increases in pay.  Invest wisely.

I was not able to do it immediately when I graduated and 3 year postdoc at $15,000-$25,000 per year and about 65 work hours week, but I like to eat out and didn’t have much time to cook and was too tired. After I got a regular assist. prof. at $47,000, I was able to save.  Many other postdoc thought of taking waiter’s job for extra income and free food.

To put the salaries in perspective the current postdoc pay is $50,000 and assist prof $75,000. I know it’s tough to save in the Bay Area, but it’s being done.

Astute Observation by Misstrial
2010-04-02 08:31 PM

Strongly agree.

es and others - read this NYT article on saving by white collar workers in order to buy in NYC:

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/07/29/realestate/29cov.html

Awesome levels of frugal living from a white-collar perspective. I’ve printed this article out and use it to encourage myself to continue to live frugally in order to save $$$.

If the link does not work, google these search terms and the article will come up:

Every Penny Counts article New York Times 2007

~Misstrial

Astute Observation by Misstrial
2010-04-02 08:22 PM

es:

Most likely I will be moving out of my Cupertino TH in late May/early June.

$1700/mo for a 2/2 w/a 2-car garage w/opener.
Large patio backyard. Upstairs loft. 1041 sq ft. Newer appliances. W/D included (indoors). Satellite dish. Off the Foothill Expwy near Rancho San Antonio Open Space Preserve.

Ask IR for my email addy if you are interested.

~Misstrial

Astute Observation by Hootie
2010-04-01 11:01 AM

We are long time readers, first time repliers.  My Wife and I bought a small condo back in January 1998 here in Los Angeles County (previously lived in Riverside County).  The move was important as it allowed me to live considerably closer to my newly acquired job.  We bought the condo knowing that the price was well below our income (even though our realtor encouraged us to buy something bigger).  Well, I became engrossed in my new career (engineering manager) as did my Wife (now a principal at a middle school).  The years rolled past and we began to question ‘How is everyone able to buy all the nice toys?’  We are the couple that Perspective is inquiring about.  We are quiet, ultra-conservative and boring.  We have lived so far below our means that the only remaining debt is our small mortgage balance, which we will be retiring in December 2010 (I am 47 and my Wife is 45).  BTW:  We do NOT have any Pergraniteel in our small humble abode.  Once the mortgage is retired, we will then save to remodel our little place, humble as it is.

Astute Observation by nice story
2010-04-01 11:25 AM

“...Once the mortgage is retired, we will then save to remodel our little place, humble as it is.”

I would have imagined you have saved a lot already! But then again, if you’re paying off the mortgage early (in about 12 years), you might not that much left.

Astute Observation by Hootie
2010-04-01 12:37 PM

We have (luckily) managed to save a lot (401k, 403b, IRAs, taxable accounts) only because we have lived so far below our means.  Of course, ‘a lot’ is relative.  We do need to point out that not having any debt whatsoever combined with adequate savings and investments will eventually enable us to make choices in what WE want to do.  Fortunately, it looks as though our plan is going to become a reality sooner than we estimated.  We were planning on seeing our long term plans happen in our early to mid-50’s.  January 1, 2011 will look a whole lot different.

Astute Observation by MalibuRenter
2010-04-01 08:17 PM

Send them to my email address. 

In 2004-2007 my wife and I were in the top few percent of income in LA, and we couldn’t find a decent house we could afford.  “there couldn’t possibly be this many rich people” we said.

We have stayed renters about 6 years longer than we wanted to.  The prices in the areas we are looking at are only back to the mildly insane 2003 levels.  If we stretch and put down a lot of money, we can afford to buy a house I easily lived in as a renter in the 1990s.  Of course, we are likely to lose more than 30% if we buy now.

This may be one of the cruel problems of the near future.  Both dropping home prices and large downpayments, wiping out savings of responsible people.  I figure that if we buy now we will lose $250-400k within three years.

Astute Observation by newbie2008
2010-04-01 09:49 PM

MalibuRenter,
That’s why the govt is allowing FHA walkway loans with 3.5% down and 1.5% loan fee.  If it doesn’t work out, just stop paying and squat for 2 to 3 years.  Normal expenses for mortgage, taxes and upkeep are about 7% yearly.  So free rent for 2.5 years will give a ROI of 250% instead of the traditional responsible method that will lose the 20% down payment and out of the house in 5 months.

Astute Observation by winstongator
Astute Observation by AZDavidPhx
2010-04-01 05:56 AM

The listing agent forgot to upload this one

Astute Observation by MalibuRenter
2010-04-01 08:20 PM

Had you considered being an illustrator/artist for online news magazines?  I might read more LA Times online stories if they had these kinds of pictures.

Astute Observation by Gemina13
2010-04-02 01:17 PM

I think this might be one of your best ones yet.

Astute Observation by dirk
2010-04-01 07:29 AM

You should really go back and read what you wrote today. You sound like a total Nazi… just saying.

Astute Observation by IrvineRenter
2010-04-01 08:45 AM

Since you addressed your comment to me, I feel I need to respond, despite the lack of substance to respond to.

What about what I wrote struck you as Nazi-like?

Reports like this one engage people’s emotions then direct them toward some desired end as the compassionate thing to do. I don’t believe endless loan modifications and subsidies are compassionate. People may disagree on this point. Is that your issue? If so, tell me what you think is the just and compassionate resolution to their problem.

BTW, Godwin’s Law usually kicks in later in the discussion.

Astute Observation by winstongator
2010-04-01 09:29 AM

You’re also 12 feet tall and from Mars.  To covet is to want something that belongs to someone else.  Does the home in the article really belong to the people that live there, or does it belong to the bank?  Wanting material things you cannot afford is not a new phenomena and I can’t imagine pointing that out can be considered immoral.

Astute Observation by HydroCabron
2010-04-01 10:14 AM

You were pretty harsh with these borrowers, but I see it as a manifestation of frustration with human beings and their bubble ways. Until you stage some kickass Nuremberg rallies, invade Poland, or just build a mechanized Wehrmacht of extraordinary magnitude, I just can’t think of you in that Hitler sort of way.

I am usually not wise in the ways of such things, but I know better than to try to warn friends and relatives during a bubble: they’re going to do what they’re going to do. And if you’re proven right, and they lose everything, you will be hated.

That said, I did have a couple of weak moments. At one restaurant meal four years ago, a friend bubbled on about the five rental properties she was purchasing with pico-downpayments. I asked her (a) if she had heard that the worst time to get into something is when it’s the topic of discussion at most social gatherings, and (b) if she could recall many recent gatherings at which nobody mentioned real estate. She wasn’t interested in my killjoy attitude.

Anyway, now she’s bankrupt. Why? Because she’s a stupid bitch. Sorry: a sheep is a sheep. Why lie, when the consequences of this foolishness fall on all of us?

That reminds me: I need to look at sending some Panzer divisions into North Africa.

I have no problem paying taxes to take care of other people - many of whom are hopelessly stupid, and not just down on their luck - but it should be a basic safety net only.

Most humans will always be poorly informed and irresponsible. This will never cease to be aggravating to those of us who stop and look at human behavior.

I am not immune. I have speculated heavily in the past using leverage. In hindsight, I would not do that again, and I now prefer dying poor to earning wealth through leverage, but it took me until middle age to learn this.

Astute Observation by minou270
2010-04-01 01:30 PM

It is true that most people are ill informed and irresponsible.  However, there are also those who will push the envelope as far as they are able to push it.  People will always be looking for something for nothing.  Ever notice how freebies can be the crappiest of crap, and people will claw and fight to get a piece of that crap?  The same is true with the HELOC abusers and 100% financing on $700k houses while earning $10 per hour.  Vicious cycle.  Since we know that people are stupid and will do these stupid things, shouldn’t corporations (mortgage lenders) etc., take responsibility for the mess they have helped make.  Also, if you were smart enough not to buy a house you could not afford or use your house as an ATM, then the goverment should give you a tax credit for not being a stupid a-hole.

Astute Observation by Soylent Green Is People
2010-04-01 02:14 PM

Lenders will never be held accountable, unfortunately.

The only thing that can keep this from happening again is first to extraordinarily screen financial professionals. The job should only be held by people willing to go through a distasteful multi year education, ending with a deep, probative licensing process. Second - dual agency should be banned. Too many opportunities to steer the weak minded into harmful purchases. Broker A should sell, Broker B should list, period, the end. Third, there should be a 3 day right to cancel on purchase loans just as there is for a refinance transaction.  Fourth and finally, if you’re working with a fully screened lender, and found a home with an Agent from one brokerage that was listed by an Agent from another brokerage, then took three days to review all of your documents AND STILL FAILED TO RECOGNIZE THIS WAS A BAD DECISION - you get nothing from the Government. Not even a Section 8 voucher for your new rental home.

My .02c

Soylent Green Is People

Astute Observation by MalibuRenter
2010-04-01 08:22 PM

“I am usually not wise in the ways of such things, but I know better than to try to warn friends and relatives during a bubble: they’re going to do what they’re going to do. And if you’re proven right, and they lose everything, you will be hated.”

I believe I dissuaded about three couples from buying during the bubble, a terrible hit ratio.

However, I am not hated by all of those people I warned.  I get a lot of “I should have listened to you” and “can you help me with…?”

Astute Observation by newbie2008
2010-04-01 09:13 PM

NAZI were Germany’s socialist party.  The US has been practicing socialism with a US twist.  Socialize the past industrialist losses and now socialize the current bankersters losses with taxpayers dollars, but privatize the gains.

The house squatters are only asking for another piece of the pie.  Too bad the renters and responsible were not invited to dinner, but not sent the bill for dinner and desert.

The modern ant and grasshopper fable told at public school is ending with the the queen liking the lazy starving grasshopper’s music, so she invites the poor grasshopper in with all his other musician grasshopper friends.

Astute Observation by Mike
2010-04-03 01:03 PM

I’m not sure what is more unnerving - the fact that this person thinks the Nazi’s were a socialist party or the fact that no one has contradicted the statement.
Maybe people are too smart to respond and I’m the sucker…

Astute Observation by newbie2008
2010-04-03 10:52 PM

Mike, thing are very easy to look up with the internet.  There lots to learn from history.  Who ran the SS ?

“Nazi n. , pl. , -zis . A member of the National Socialist German Workers’ Party, founded in Germany in 1919 and brought to power in 1933 under Adolf ....”
www.answers.com/topic/nazi

Astute Observation by dirk
2010-04-01 09:16 PM

I tend to think that the future looks pretty dim for these folks. So maybe I’m looking at things from that perspective and seeing the horror that will follow. And so beating them up here won’t serve much of a purpose. I just read what you wrote and it seems to inspire a mob mentality (think of the stoning scene in Life of Brian).

So what should be done about these people? Ideally, how should society treat these people going forward? How should things change to make you feel that things will be more fair for people like you and me going forward? How should things be so that you’d feel better?

Astute Observation by Art Student in Atlanta
2010-04-01 09:59 PM

Make it a law that they should wear a helmet/elbow pads/knee pads everywhere they go and have their food pre-mushed so they do not choke on it. I also recommend adult diapers.

I would also suggest that they definetly not drive and be transported on an easy to get on bus that has a ramp that raises and lowers, so they never fall.

Also make it so they never ever ever get a loan again or be allowed to make financial decisions with anything over $10,000 in Monopoly Money.
A court ordered “financial steward” should be provided to make sure they cover every expense.

Make sure their one level apartment(they should never be allowed to own a house again, and never be allowed to live in a building with stairs) has all sharp objects removed and all sharp edges/corners smoothed. No garbage disposal in the sink. All plugs and outlets must have “adult children” proof covers to prevent shocking. Each light fixture needs to be hooked up to a clapper. Also to prevent shower accidents and tub drowning, they need to take all baths outside with a garden hose and a plastic tarp.

I think these are effective solutions to prevent them from ever incurring(or causing) any harm ever again for the rest of their lives or wasting the wealth of other people for that matter (which is really what they did).

I am open to more suggestions.

Astute Observation by E
2010-04-02 12:48 AM

Sounds good!

Astute Observation by wheresthebeef
2010-04-01 08:49 AM

Did you read the article?  Two of their houses were purchased while their only source of income was social security and worker’s comp.  WTF!!!!

People like these fools and millions more with the same train of thought ruined it for us normal, hard working, money saving people who just want to purchase a house to call it home and live in it.  This carnage was completely self induced.  Not one ounce of sympathy from me.  They need to find a rental and move…the last I heard many landlords don’t care about credit scores because so many people have subpar credit today. 

I know of a community in Hemet that might suit their needs.  These places have 5 bedrooms, so they could lock each dog in a separate bedroom.

Astute Observation by Fishhead
2010-04-01 07:34 PM

Though I agree with you in general -  “People like these fools and millions more with the same train of thought ruined it for us normal, hard working, money saving people” is wrong.  Some of us saw this coming and made a mint. 

Yeah, I get mad at some of the stupidity and aftermath, but overall - thank you bubble.

FH

Astute Observation by MalibuRenter
2010-04-01 08:23 PM

I made about an extra $300k off the bubble, at a time when other people’s investments were tanking.  Still, I would rather have had a reasonably priced home earlier.

Astute Observation by zubs
2010-04-01 11:35 AM

I like the way he writes.  It is full of piss and vinegar.  We need more emotional writings, and less bland PC crap.  I also liked the attached photos.  They are disturbing which is a good thing.

If this blog turned bland, then it would be like reading the OC register…or like living in Irvine.

Astute Observation by MalibuRenter
2010-04-01 08:25 PM

“I like the way he writes.  It is full of piss and vinegar.  We need more emotional writings, and less bland PC crap”

Yes.

Sometimes fair reporting is not balanced.  Sometimes fair means calling people whatever they might be: clueless, entitled, dishonest, opportunist, etc., as the case may be.

Astute Observation by LB Renter
2010-04-01 07:55 AM

You guys have to read this. It thinks its a joke, but you never know with the government.

Staff will reportedly be trained to offer greetings, a certificate, and a sturdy handshake to select homeowners who continue to pay their mortgage on time. Those homeowners who have not missed a payment for the past five years will also allegedly be eligible for an “I pay my mortgage” T-shirt or a name-brand wristwatch etched with the slogan, “I pay on time.”

Astute Observation by Planet Reality
2010-04-01 07:57 AM

The 5% of people who have committed these crimes should be sent off to Housing Bubble Aushwitz.

This concetration camp would be a Irvine Compay run apartment complex.  The guilty would be forced to pay $2200 per month in rent and listen to bloggers beat a dead horse for a decade complaining about government controlled housing prices.

Astute Observation by AZDavidPhx
2010-04-01 08:41 AM

They don’t have to be sent anywhere other than out the front door.  We are a very forgiving people - we don’t even have debtor’s prisons.  Once these folks have removed themselves from the house that they should never have bought they ought to kiss the ground in worship of just how good they have it here.  I wonder how they would be treated in Pakistan - probably not as well as this Nazi regime we have here.

Astute Observation by Walter
2010-04-01 09:14 AM

While I think your concepts are lacking insight, this is a very funny post you cooked up.

Astute Observation by AZDavidPhx
2010-04-01 08:26 AM

The couple in this story that was referenced today was very interesting.

My favorite part was the daily chanting to maintain their karma.  I am guessing a fly on the carved teak shrine would hear something like this:

“Please make me rich”
“Please make me rich”
“Please make me rich”

She attributes their misfortune to bad karma in a previous life….

I am all for letting people have their magical thoughts but couldn’t it also be explained by other things like poor financial decisions in this life?  Suppose that she were mother Theresa in a previous life.  Does that entitle her to be rich in her next life?  I don’t think it does…

Take special notice of how these properties were being financed with incomes back by government cheese.  They try to pass the blame on to the lender because the lender “didn’t have a problem with it”.  This sounds like code language for “they gave us a liar’s loan”.

So now we get the sob story of how they lost two of “their” three houses to the foreclosure God….

These people have a higher standard of living than I do and I actually work for a living.  How is that fair?  I am renting to save money for a downpayment but I cannot compete because people like this will just borrow every penny via the stroke of a pen that I worked years to save.

None of these people plan on retiring their debt - they just want to make payments for awhile and then flip for profit.  I have no sympathy for people like this that get themselves into trouble.

Time to find these folks and their four dogs a nice pet friendly rental.

Astute Observation by lurker
2010-04-01 08:54 AM

“There must be more money, there must be more money.”
“Where is the money, where is the money?”
“Borrow the money, borrow the money!”

http://www.pimco.com/LeftNav/Featured+Market+Commentary/IO/2010/Rocking-Horse+Winner+April+2010+IO.htm

Astute Observation by MalibuRenter
2010-04-01 08:29 PM

“I am all for letting people have their magical thoughts but couldn’t it also be explained by other things like poor financial decisions in this life?”

I see so many decisions that seem risky and bizarre that some of the people making them must actually believe they are doing something appropriate.  Of course, there are plenty of opportunists too.

Has anyone here seen an article where the homeowner says something like “wow, those were irresponsible times, I can’t believe we got a loan”?

Astute Observation by cara
2010-04-02 05:52 AM

Yes,
Remember that NY Times reporter and his book “Busted”? Edmund L. Andrews.

While many people took exception to his sweeping under the rug the foolishness and financial transgressions of his wife, he’s totally self-aware of how obvious the bubble should have been to him based on the insanity of the loans he got.

Astute Observation by Ohhh ninja, puh-LEEEZE
2010-04-01 09:00 AM

Such a drama queen. Renting is not dieing. I’m happy to be paying $2275 rent for a VERY nice home in Thousand Oaks. I rented a couple of lesser places in Huntington Beach too.

Happy because I’m saving my earnings for a home which becomes within my reach more so every month. My debts are paid off.

Finally a college grad who worked his way through engineering school and works for the defense industry for the last 20 years can get back into affordable mortgage not based on speculation, but on his ability to pay.

I missed the gold rush when my first house went to the first wife after paying it off for 15 years.

Astute Observation by Planet Reality
2010-04-01 09:10 AM

Newsflash, a $530k house is rental parity for you.

Astute Observation by Walter
2010-04-01 09:18 AM

And when interest rates go up and he needs to move?

Rent for a while longer and buy when the gov has run through the whole 9 yards.

Astute Observation by Ohhh ninja, puh-LEEEZE
2010-04-01 09:21 AM

That’s no news to me. Flash on this:

I left HB because I lost my job. It was easy because I was renting; no worries about losing the umpteen thousand because I got into a loan into a declining market where renters are hard to find. I was very lucky to find a better job, but I had to move away—and FAST too.

So you buy this $530k then, since you think it’s such a great deal.—Like I said, I’m happy and comfortable saving, waiting, renting, paying for every single month I stay now every where I’ve been. I’m a free man. I owe nothing. I save much.

Tomorrow you might think that house will be worth $550k. And maybe all the unemployment, lack of federal supports on prices and vast inventories of foreclosures will not change that.

You have my story, what’s yours?

Astute Observation by Planet Reality
2010-04-01 09:29 AM

I don’t have any debt, I own everything in my life.  I have worked very hard to achieve this.

The entitlement problem is much larger than IR presents.

It includes everyone with any kind of debt.

People with large student loans feel entitled to a high paying job.

People with large car loans feel entitled to luxury cars.

People with ANY credit card debt feel entitled to life luxuries.

Etc etc etc, limiting this to housing is the mistake.

Astute Observation by Walter
2010-04-01 09:33 AM

When why are you encouraging him to take on debt buying a $530k rental parity house?

Astute Observation by Ohhh ninja, puh-LEEEZE
2010-04-01 09:40 AM

and so with all your hard work to back you up, and your financial accomplishments you advise me to buy now.

That really makes me think ... maybe you will start your own blog and advise other wretches like me to buy a house.

So seem to think after studying the market every day for many years that I am misinformed.

So how many “great deal” houses are you buying now with all your money?

Astute Observation by Planet Reality
2010-04-01 09:59 AM

I’m not encouraging him.  I’m making a point about the current market.  We are at rental parity, and the government needs prices to stay elevated for the banks and for tax revenue.  For reference please see the new 10000 California tax credit.  Government manipulation is not going away, why keep beating a dead horse.  That’s all for me, peace.

Astute Observation by AZDavidPhx
2010-04-01 10:03 AM

I don’t think P.R was really telling you to buy.  He just likes to say “rental parity” in each observation to get IrvineRenter’s goat.

Astute Observation by wheresthebeef
2010-04-01 10:55 AM

You may be right that the government needs or wants to keep prices elevated.  No one and I repeat no one knows if they will be successful at this.  That is the million dollar question that no one has an answer to.  If there was a 100% certainty that prices would stay elevated, everybody on the fence would buy.  I think you have too much faith in government meddling.

The 10k CA tax credit is just another misguided attempt to delay the inevitable.  California is beyond broke…why are they digging the hole even deeper for themselves? 

Also, can you answer the question about being a realtor or homeowner.  Just curious…

Astute Observation by JK
2010-04-01 07:43 PM

I suppose it’s rental parity if you think nothing of his 20% down payment. Sure at 5% he would achieve rental parity on a 530k home but he has to “waste” his $106,000 deposit. Not to mention taxes, possible HOA’s, insurance, etc. I still think he’s better off renting.

Astute Observation by MalibuRenter
2010-04-01 08:31 PM

“We are at rental parity, and the government needs prices to stay elevated for the banks and for tax revenue.”

Been to Malibu lately?  Not there yet.

Astute Observation by Eat that!
2010-04-01 09:34 AM

$530K in Thousand Oaks?  Yikes. Stupid is as stupid does I guess.

Astute Observation by Ohhh ninja, puh-LEEEZE
2010-04-01 09:45 AM

Dude, Thousand Oaks is an expensive place to live. Even higher rents than Huntington Beach IMHO.

I have a hard time understanding it, but it is what it is. And fortunately I’m not commuting.

I rent one of the nicer houses in an iffy neighborhood.

Astute Observation by Ventura County
2010-04-01 10:44 AM

Thousand Oaks is the Irvine of Ventura County. It’s a nice area; that’s for sure.

Astute Observation by JohnF
2010-04-01 10:53 AM

Eat that!

There are no decent $530,000 SFR’s in the entire 91360, 91361 and 91362 zip codes.  There are some beaters that require around $100,000 to make them livable, or some that back-up to the 23 Freeway or major 4-lane streets.

In fact, as of today, there are only 20 SFR’s with at least 1,500 square feet listed on the MLS at less than $500,000 in those zip codes.  Those zip’s cover approximately 45,000 homes.

Thousand Oaks is as bad as OC as far as overpriced housing.

Astute Observation by Geotpf
2010-04-01 01:24 PM

I think $300k or so is the rent/purchase cut off.  That is, if you can buy a house for $300k, buying is (probably) better than renting.  If you need to pay more, renting is (probably) better than owning.  In the Inland Empire (priced below that), only people without the ability to get a 3.5% FHA down payment, those planning to stick around for only a couple years, or those who have bad credit should rent at this point.  Everybody else should buy, IMHO, since monthly rents are significantly more than total monthly costs for owning (including things like taxes and insurance).

The opposite is true for more expensive areas like Thousand Oaks or Irvine.  Owning is probably a bad idea finanically unless you plan on sticking around forever (10 years plus)-even then, it’s probably questionable.  Of course, there are non-financial reasons to own.

Astute Observation by Eat that!
2010-04-01 12:25 PM

Have any of you ever tried to commute from Thousand Oaks to LA (you’d have to unless you work at Amgen)?  It’s idiotic.  The way I see it, we are going to shocked at how much people paid, when wages are stagnate and interest rates back up at 6-8%.  Shocked I tell you.

Astute Observation by HydroCabron
2010-04-01 10:45 AM

Coming up on the 10 o’clock newscast: A $530,000 home - is it soon to be a $470,000 home, or a $400,000 home?

Astute Observation by Chris
2010-04-01 09:17 AM

Well, look at it this way:


Feb 18, 2010     Price Changed     $720,000     —    SoCalMLS #S596056    
Feb 12, 2010   Relisted   —  —  SoCalMLS #S596056  
Nov 17, 2009   Price Changed   $710,000   —  SoCalMLS #S596056  
Nov 13, 2009   Listed   $649,900   —  SoCalMLS #S596056


Now they’re chasing the market *up* grin

Astute Observation by Soylent Green Is People
2010-04-01 09:44 AM

Boy, with April 1st upon us, it’s very hard to tell if this is a joke or not. I will say that I’ve run into many, many, MANY people who fit this profile. They are the permanent victim class who should not be sympathized with. They have gamed the system to their benefit on the way up, and cry foul all the way down. I’m surprised given their hard luck tale they haven’t been hit by lightning twice, indoors, on February 29th. Anyone willing to take the time and effort to research their misfortunes will likely find the majority of it has been self inflicted. Certainly their accumulated Real Estate empire is an indication of how self induced their immolation is. In closing, a friendly protip: If your out of money, eat your dogs.

My .02c

Soylent Green Is People

Astute Observation by zubs
2010-04-01 11:49 AM

I had dog in china once…it was not fatty at all.  Didn’t really taste any different then other meats like beef.

Astute Observation by Dejnov
2010-04-01 09:56 AM

Hi IrvineRenter,

I’ve been reading regularly, but have not had the time to actually post anything due to work. Despite this, I thought I should post today anyways. I know that a lot of renters (myself included) have sat out for the last two years looking at the housing market and the bailouts and wondering if it wasn’t better to go all in and enjoy the beautiful house instead of still waiting on the sidelines for the really affordable and attractive price?

I know that my sanity is mostly due to having a wonderful wife who supports the situation and looks at it from a realistic perspective. The time we have spent not living above our means has allowed us to still raise a kid (in an apartment no less) that is doing well and is happy all the time. We have much higher money outlays now that he is with us, but our joy is always apparent and, believe it or not, our net worth has grown in the last two years.

I can’t speak for you, but from my perspective my family, my health, and my net worth are much more important to me than the house I live in, how much I could have gamed the system, or what others think of me. Hopefully you’ll find a deeper and more meaningful intrinsic morality system for yourself that will help ease the pangs of regret. If you don’t, I think a healthy dose of schadenfreude does wonders to purge the primal urges to jump on the debt-bingers bandwagons. I don’t want to have to read about you in one of these latimes articles now do I?


Dejnov.

Astute Observation by IrvineRenter
2010-04-01 10:14 AM

I have no regrets. I live my life by my own standards (mostly), and although I find HELOC abuse and entitlement thinking annoying, I have no desire to travel that path. The pain and suffering at the destination are clearly not worth it.

Astute Observation by Hootie
2010-04-01 01:04 PM

Hi IrvineRenter,

I am a long time reader and as of today, a first time replier.  I simply HAD to respond to your question: “Is frugality and self-restraint dead?”  I am happy to report with an emphatic “NO, it is not dead.  It is alive and well!”  Granted, my Wife and I are probably not the norm, but we (in our humble opinion) are frugal and do in fact practice self-restraint.  We bought in January 1998 and we live in a small condo - the price at the time of purchase relative to our income was ‘very affordable.’  We have been very fortunate that our income since 1998 has steadily increased and we have been busy paying down the debt.  And NO, we did not take out any HELOCs nor have we re-financed the original loan, using our condo as a money-making machine.  Finally, our humble abode does NOT have any pergraniteel (‘quaint’ is the proper term).  Recall the bumper sticker “It’s ugly but its paid for”?  This describes our home.  In fact it does need to be seriously renovated.  We refuse to do this until we retire the only remaining debt in our lives (by Dec. 2010).  Then, and only then will we save real money via earned income and then spend some (not all) of those dollars to renovate the place.  Because we have lived so far below our means we have been steadily saving and investing in tax-deferred, tax-free and taxable accounts, car fund, emergency fund, etc.  Just wanted to provide feedback that frugality and self-restraint is alive and well.  We are probably a humble and modest lot, which is maybe why you don’t hear much from us. 

Hootie

Astute Observation by IrvineRenter
2010-04-01 01:48 PM

Hootie,

I really appreciate your story. IMO, you are living the American Dream. Thanks for sharing.

IrvineRenter

Astute Observation by Eat that!
2010-04-01 03:09 PM

Don’t worry, we’ll tax the cr*p out of you someway or another to pay for all the criminals..er..victims of the housing clamity that no one (cough) saw coming.

Astute Observation by zubs
2010-04-01 11:53 AM

Everyone should game the system so it collapses faster…it’s been taking way too long.

Astute Observation by CA
2010-04-01 11:04 AM

This is unrelated to RE, but touches on your “gaming the system” thing and the gov’t making debt a positive.

I’m at a private pharmacy school right now (USC if you’re curious) and I’m taking loans out to pay for EVERYTHING (tuition, rent, etc…)

The gov’t, in 2007, set up a program where I would pay ~10% of my income each year (max) for 10 years and the rest is forgiven as long as I work for a non-profit (lots of hospitals are, and in pharmacy, income between private vs. public is the same).

So I have a choice—work hard, borrow little, live off ramen, and live the life of frugality or poverty? OR do i max out my loans, live it up, and enjoy?

I did the calculations (omitted for brevity)...someone borrowing $100k for school vs. $200k pays EXACTLY THE SAME TOTAL AMOUNT 10 years after graduation (given both work at the same place). In short, the $200k “live it up” borrower gets to dump his/her loan balance on to the federal gov’t after 10yrs, while the $100k frugal guy pays the whole balance.

I’m not a fool, I’m the $200k borrower, I picked what’s best for me. Crazy world, eh? (i can give more detail later if anyone wants to hear it).

Astute Observation by zubs
2010-04-01 11:55 AM

You are a hero, thank you for gaming the system.  We need everyone to do this.

Astute Observation by CA
2010-04-01 04:24 PM

granted i’m not exactly buying pergraniteel or jetting off to europe, it means i’ll substitute ramen and frozen pizzas for actual food and i’ll properly maintain my late model honda instead of praying each time i turn the keys.

and it’ll mean i can work less and focus on school.

so i’m guilted but not at the same time…makes sense?

Astute Observation by Chris
2010-04-01 09:11 PM

Taxpayers (and especially voters) allowed you to do this. Good for you.

Same goes for all the gamers back in the bubble days (as well as the current govt induced bubble).

Astute Observation by newbie2008
2010-04-01 10:10 PM

CA,
Read the fine print.  Student loan forgiveness applies to non-profit and income below a certain dollar amount.  That amount is near poverty level. 

POP !

Astute Observation by CA
2010-04-02 03:30 AM

Incorrect, I’ve read the fine print…it’s not a set dollar amount, it’s how much debt you have relative to income. The law was written with doctors, lawyers, and other high earners in mind where there exists a huge disparity between public and private.

It’s technically the combination between IBR and PSLF that results in payments capped at ~10% of income and forgiveness after 10 years of the remainder.

Trust me, I’ve read this thing inside and out, there is no cut-off like a tax credit/deduction.

Astute Observation by newbie2008
2010-04-02 05:15 PM

CA,
Do you have a website or address of such programs.  I looking for education loan for my kids.  All the kids will likely be going later to graduate or professional schools, so I better start planning now.

The loan forgiveness that I found has formula that had salary and the amount or % of that year’s student loan that could be forgiven.  One had that if you left before the full 10 years that none would be forgiven (a some or nothing program).
Thanks,

Astute Observation by CA
2010-04-02 10:28 PM

i’ve looked at many, but this is the most succinct one:

http://www.ibrinfo.org/

yes, the 10 year thing is all or nothing. if you work 9 years 11 months in a non-profit or government, you don’t get anything forgiven.

the law was designed for professions like…law, where you can make six figures in corporate but $40k as an assistant DA with the same amount of debt.

Astute Observation by newbie2008
2010-04-03 10:56 PM

Thanks CA,
Very interesting in light that many middle to senior Govt and non-profits pay scales are better than private sector jobs.  The starting salaries are usually lower but their excellent training ground.  The VA is a great place to start.

Astute Observation by crazy but I believe it
2010-04-01 11:34 AM

Crazy but I believe it. Though, I do not blame you but this is one of the moral hazard stories that IR writes about. Basically, this legislation encourages inefficiency. 
—————————————

California’s new home buyer’s incentives, why can’t buying a home stand on its own merit anymore? This is another legislation that encourages inefficiency.

Astute Observation by Eat that!
2010-04-01 03:11 PM

Yeah, why can’t we have a “buy a friend a drink incentive” or “visit a location adult entertainment establishment incentive” etc. etc. think of the stimulus!

Astute Observation by zubs
2010-04-01 07:04 PM

nudy bar stimulus is something i can completely get behind.

Astute Observation by Kelja
2010-04-01 03:15 PM

The crisis will never end as long as the lame-stream media continues in it’s non-reportage. The article is a travesty. I wouldn’t wipe my dog’s butt with the L.A. Times. If I had a dog.

When the dike breaks it will be breathtaking.

Astute Observation by JK
2010-04-01 07:24 PM

IR and others,
Has anyone out there had experience with STRS loans? These are loans for teachers. Currently they have a program called 80/17 where all you put down is 3% then pay on 80% of the loan and defer 17% for 5 years.
I have enough to put 20% or more on a home but sometimes I think I missed the boat by putting 0% down and when the payments go up be a squatter and live rent free for a year or more.
I have no intention of defaulting on a loan but seems to me an 80/17 would be like an insurance policy. If home prices tanked then after 5 years when I had to start paying on the second I could walk. In the meantime I still would have enough cash to go and get another place. Maybe some of these people that went with 0% down in the long run are better off than us responsible people who have had our tax dollars go to this mess.

Astute Observation by MalibuRenter
2010-04-01 08:07 PM

“Perhaps it is better to game the system like everyone else? I would have enjoyed living in a nicer place rent-free for the last couple of years.”

Maybe you can figure out a way to sell the rights to live somewhere rent free while in default.

Astute Observation by newbie2008
2010-04-01 10:17 PM

MalibuRenter,
Look at last Saturday’s NPB squatter.  Takes out millions in equity, stops paying for at least a year and is now trying to lease and/or give the appearance of trying to sell the place. 

Nice place in NPB, but I would not trust the landlord.  House gaming brought to a new level.  But you can’t pick on a single mother.

:{ Stuck with another bankster bill.

The die is set for putting down the least amount of money possible.  Too bad I didn’t get a 1 million dollar house with no money down loan.  Free rent.

Astute Observation by Fractional Real Estate
2010-04-04 06:49 PM

This mess will go on for a long time.  So many people have stopped paying their mortgages and will just live rent free.  Makes me almost think that I should just jump on the bandwagon to.

Astute Observation by Bracelet
2010-04-10 08:19 PM

I want to read a story about the hard-working professional couple who refused to purchase in the early 2000s because they didn’t have 20% saved yet, only to watch prices get further and further out-of-reach.

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