I Don’t Wanna Be a Loser

Dec 16th, 2008  
by IrvineRenter  in Price Rollback

Astute Observations

Astute Observation by AZDavidPhx
2008-12-16 06:41 AM

Here we go again with real-estate agents giving people financial advice:

where, over-time, real estate values are
maintained

Perhaps Donald ********* should put his money where his mouth is and put this all in the contract:

If purchased property loses value within first year of ownership, Donald ********* shall personally reimburse the buyer for the full amount of the loss.

Part of the way out of this problem is that real-estate agents are held liable.  If they want to dole out the advice to manipulate potential buyers then I think at the very least we need to add a check to balance the system.

Astute Observation by AZDavidPhx
2008-12-16 06:50 AM

http://www.firstteam.com/AgentProfile.aspx?agt=580

Don ******
Email Address: don***** @ firstteam.com

View Featured Listings
Highlights

  Providing SLEEP LIKE A BABY real estate service

  Member of the Orange County Association of Realtors (OCAR)

  Member of the California Association of Realtors (CAR)

  Member of the National Association of Realtors (NAR)

  Bachelor of Architecture Degree, University of Southern California (USC)

  Architect, Licensed in California

  Board Member, Harbor View Knoll C.A.

Background

A native of the ‘Dutch’ farm region of South Eastern Pennsylvania, Don entered the US Marine Corps directly out of high school, mustered out and attended Pennsylvania State University prior to moving permanently to Southern California in 1960, graduating in 1965 with a Bachelor of Architecture degree. Don worked in various architectural and residential development capacities before his transition into residential real estate in 1994.

Don has incorporated his in-depth/ground-up understanding of the real estate industry to become one of the most experienced and knowledgeable REALTORS in the area.

He strives to provide all of his clients with complete professional real estate services.

His personal motto is: “Do it once but do it right!”

Don explains that the key to his real estate success is communication. “I always tell my customers that if they have questions, they should keep asking them until everything is answered”. Don says: “I’m an extremely analytical person who is very detail oriented, so I have no problem with people who want to know absolutely everything.”

For those who do not like surprises, this is a wonderful bonus. Don is always on top of everything, operating several steps in front of events as they flow through the process.

All of these characteristics blend into Don’s SLEEP LIKE A BABY real estate service philosophy. So, try Don’s impeccable honesty and integrity, mixed with his friendly smile and humorous wit.

Astute Observation by AZDavidPhx
2008-12-16 06:58 AM

Astute Observation by Larrygg
2008-12-16 07:59 AM

How important is this guy? He has seven phone numbers and an email address!

Astute Observation by DeathToSinan
2008-12-17 07:08 PM

Realtards must maintain an aura of self-importance and complete arrogance.

Astute Observation by IrvineRenter
2008-12-16 07:50 AM

AZDavidPhx,

Once I stopped laughing, I thought it necessary to remind you that we don’t use names here. We need to allow this realtor to sleep like a baby at night. Please keep the names out of the discussion. Thanks.

Astute Observation by AZDavidPhx
2008-12-16 08:05 AM

You are right.  Please edit my post and **** out his name (even though it is proudly displayed on RedFin).

Astute Observation by IrvineRenter
2008-12-16 08:37 AM

No problem. The observations are just as astute without the name being mentioned, and like you said, if someone wants to know who it is, they can just look at the listing info.

Astute Observation by granite
2008-12-16 06:51 AM

“...where, over-time, real estate values are
maintained.”

Gotta love that “over time” pause. A not so subtle reminder that you will only have to wait until 2020 to get your money back, maybe.

Astute Observation by MalibuRenter
2008-12-16 10:40 AM

Even if you get the purchase price back in 2020, there are other problems.

1. Money will probably be worth less.  $100 in 2008 might be worth $80 12 years later.

2. The owner would have paid a lot of interest to the bank for the honor of “breaking even”.  Breaking even on the price of a home means losing money, unless the cost of ownership was less renting while you lived there.

3. The downpayment, and the difference between ownership costs and rent, could have been invested.  When I’ve run these numbers for overpriced SoCal real estate, the numbers have been shockingly large. 

4. The owner would have sat on an illiquid asset for 12-13 years.  Hopefully he avoided job transfers, divorce, job loss, etc.

Astute Observation by AZDavidPhx
2008-12-16 06:47 PM

The seller is hoping that you are sleeping like a baby when you make the offer.

Astute Observation by NewportCoastRenter
2008-12-16 09:28 PM

Or sleep like Van Winkle for 20+ years before even hoping to get your money back… NCR

Astute Observation by irvinesinglemom
2008-12-16 09:35 PM

Yeah, sleeping like my little boy when he was a baby.  As in, fitfully, crying frequently all night long!

Astute Observation by NoWowway
2008-12-16 07:17 AM

I don’t know about updates/upgrades.  It doesn’t look all that spruced up to me.  And as far as staging goes, the furniture does not help showcase a place that is listed for $200k short of a million.

The lack of pictures of substance like the bedrooms and bathrooms, garage….Why are they not included?

NO AC.  The Fireplace is not pictured.  In fact, the garage information is confusing.  And without a picture of it, who knows what is going on with that.

# of Garages: 2
# of Spaces in Garage: 1
Covered Parking
Garage (Front Entry)
Garage (Single Door)


It is also nearly $300/square foot.  What exactly makes this place “all that” for the asking price?  I don’t think I’d even bother to look at this one for the price and the sales history.  It looks like someone just wants to unload the thing.

Astute Observation by IrvineRenter
2008-12-16 07:47 AM

I guess even people living in $800,000 homes shop at Ikea (note the chair in the living room).

As for the $300/SF, they must be ignoring the $162/SF their neighbors were asking…

Astute Observation by tryingtobuy
2008-12-16 05:01 PM

IR bought your book, great info, so thanks.

Have you ever featured 525 Luminous. It’s back on the market for the third time in 2 years. Looks like they have raised the asking! $708 sq ft must qualify for the WTF Hall of Fame, surely ?

Astute Observation by h
2008-12-16 01:29 PM

good observations—it looks like they put in a granite countertop but left the old cabinets (where the real cost is)...

Astute Observation by tustin92780
2008-12-16 08:10 AM

$800K for an attached property? purely delusional. So I’m supposed to spend a doctor’s salary on the down payment and I get to hear my neighbors snoring.

Astute Observation by SoOCOwner
2008-12-16 08:55 AM

I agree.  Again, a condo for an astronomical price.  And not even an attractive one. The owners are dreaming.

Astute Observation by mmg
2008-12-16 03:50 PM

doctor’s salary provided you have a huge downpayment, good luck on that for this POS LOL

Astute Observation by Chris
2008-12-16 07:11 PM

Why is it listed as SFH?

This is crazy…I wouldn’t even pay $400k to live there.

Uni high….BFD.

Astute Observation by George8
2008-12-16 08:52 AM

Agreed, $480K in Spring 2011.

Astute Observation by lowrydr310
2008-12-16 09:58 AM

$480K in Spring 2011…

...$280K in 2014!!!


It may be 2600 square feet, but it’s still just a condo.

I know, I’m an ultra-bear, but somebody has to factor a bit of reality into the equation! $480K might hold up if the economy bounces back and if the high-paying jobs remain. The entire landscape is rapidly changing.

Astute Observation by dibatam
2008-12-16 10:33 AM

there’s no one wanna be a loser right smile

Astute Observation by Alan
2008-12-16 10:50 AM

It is a row house to me (I don’t see any condo association fees), and ugly from the street side. However I do like the interior atrium. Perhaps it is much more interesting to live in than the standard no-architecture boxes we usually see.

If the price comes down substantially it can be interesting. The staging furniture, not at all.

While no fan of banks, it’s nice to see the flipper really getting nailed with the loss for once.

Wait, sait, wait patiently. grin

Astute Observation by Eat it in the OC
2008-12-16 10:52 AM

The way I look at it is, what is the competition for the buyers $800K?  There’s no way in H*ll, this going to even come close to $800K.  If this guy, really has experience in RE, wouldn’t he know this?

Astute Observation by tlc8386
2008-12-16 10:53 AM

Homeowners Association Information

  * Dues #1: $103.00
  * Dues #1 Frequency: Monthly
  * Dues #2: $153.00
  * Dues #2 Frequency: Quarterly
  * Association Pool
  * Association Sauna
  * Association Tennis Court

very high HOA dues

Astute Observation by Laura Louzader
2008-12-16 11:03 AM

This is an attractive Vintage Modern place with interesting midcentury mod architecture, but how does it get away with calling itself a SF dwelling?

It could have used more sprucing up and staging, too. This place deserves better decor more in keeping with the architecture. That chandelier has to go. That’s just one item that would have been really cheap to replace, where having done so would make the place look much better.

But it’s still an attached home, and it’s still 40+ years old, with the maintenance and mechanical issues a dwelling that age will have.

$200/sq ft is the most this should fetch, given the trajectory of prices in Irvine and elsewhere, and the of the economy nationwide. The worst is yet to come.

Astute Observation by Lee in Irvine
2008-12-16 11:32 AM

DataQuick just released the month ending figures for November, and they’re really, really bad (was that an echo?).  I see what’s happening ... if you’re seller, and trying to get a price exceeding the conforming loan limit, it’s almost impossible due to the lack of available financing.  That isn’t to say you can’t sell your home to a buyer without the use of a conforming loan, BUT IT IS TO SAY you can’t sell that home without making huge concessions in the price.

BTW, The NEW median for Orange County is now $400,000.  A freshly minted 66 month low!

http://lansner.freedomblogging.com/2008/12/16/oc-home-price-back-at-400000-in-nov/9264/

Astute Observation by Jim Jones
2008-12-16 11:32 AM

I would be curious to know what the OP’s assumptions were on this property. Did he think he was getting it for substantially under market and would be able to flip quickly or did he assume the market would turn around quickly and then he could flip it?

Agree this property has very little appeal.
I suspect the OP has significant regrets over this purchase.

Astute Observation by MalibuRenter
2008-12-16 12:54 PM

The latest DQ News numbers are out.  Not pretty, unless you are a first time homebuyer.

“The median price paid for all homes combined last month was $285,000, down 5 percent from October and down a record 34.5 percent from November 2007. Last month’s median was the lowest since it was $298,000 in April 2003, which was the last time the median was below $300,000. November’s median stood 43.6 percent below the peak $505,000 median reached in spring and summer of last year.

The median price has eroded consistently over the past 16 months as price depreciation swept the region, discounted foreclosures ballooned in inland markets and sales stagnated in higher-end neighborhoods. The latter have suffered from, among other things, a difficult financing environment for large mortgages.

Foreclosures have accounted for about half of all Southland resales during the past three months. In November, 54.6 percent of all the homes that resold had been foreclosed on at some point in the prior 12 months. That’s up from 50.9 percent in October and 18.8 percent a year ago.

At the county level, these “foreclosure resales” ranged from 44.1 percent of November existing home sales in Los Angeles County to 70.4 percent in Riverside County. In Orange County foreclosure resales were 44.2 percent of sales; in San Diego 52.1 percent; San Bernardino 67.8 percent and in Ventura County 47.8 percent…
The typical monthly mortgage payment that Southern California buyers committed themselves to paying was $1,323 last month, down from $1,413 the previous month, and down from $2,049 a year ago. Adjusted for inflation, current payments are 37.4 percent below typical payments in the spring of 1989, the peak of the prior real estate cycle. They are 48.7 percent below the current cycle’s peak in June 2006.”  http://www.dqnews.com/News/California/Southern-CA/RRSCA081216.aspx

And yes, a 5% drop in the median in one month is an annualized 45% drop.

Astute Observation by no_worries
2008-12-16 02:00 PM

This has probably been brought up in the past, but I haven’t been here that long.

Isn’t the “median price paid” skewed low by quite a bit, since all that’s actually selling is the low end?

Astute Observation by Perspective
2008-12-16 02:34 PM

“Skewed” is a loaded term.  It suggests that “but for all the lower-end foreclosures the median would be higher.”  The same can be said of the peak median in 2005 - “The median is skewed upward due to crazy credit.”

I just accept it for what it is - the median price paid in a given period.

Astute Observation by QualityPicks
2008-12-16 03:26 PM

Yes, you are right. That is all people can really afford, so the median will stay around there, pulling the bigger more expensive houses toward it.

Astute Observation by SCCalendarGirl
2008-12-16 02:30 PM

This place has zero curb appeal and the interior shows a complete lack of personality.  $800K for this?  Way, way overpriced.  I wouldn’t call this an SFR either.  I consider that to be false advertising.

Astute Observation by QualityPicks
2008-12-16 03:33 PM

Talking to my friends here in Irvine, I still get the feeling they are worried about me that I’m still renting. They keep asking why haven’t I bought something. To me, that tells me something about the psychology of the market, and that is, people are still relatively optimistic, and prices reflect that.

It still seems there is a quite a bit of “renters=losers” mentality out there, although that is slowly changing. I can now actually convince them, that renting can be better than owning. That would have been impossible a couple of years ago. My average friend still has equity in their home, which is why I think they are still a bit intoxicated with the SoCal kool-aid.

Astute Observation by Perspective
2008-12-16 03:40 PM

It will be interesting to see how that perception evolves over the next few years. It’s definitely alive and well.

A friend is renting an Irvine townhouse for $3k, and she still gets lectures from friends & family about how she’s throwing money away. Over the holidays she was asked by two family members if “everything was okay” because they were still renting when home prices had come down so much.

Astute Observation by .
2008-12-16 03:58 PM

I agree with her friends and family that spending $36,000 a year on housing that you do not personally own is throwing money down the drain.  (the owners of that property will probably disagree with me)

I am not suggesting that purchasing would be better, but there most be some sort of cheaper accommodation in neighboring cities, maybe even in Irvine.

Astute Observation by Jim Jones
2008-12-16 05:08 PM

Which is better spending 36k\yr on rent or 36k\yr on a home that is depreciating in value? Correct me if I’m wrong here but on a purely economic basis unless you are gaining equity then you are better off renting the equivalent home, no?

Astute Observation by .
2008-12-16 06:13 PM

In my opinion, you are better off moving to a different city/state if you cannot find anything decent to rent under $36k a year.

Honestly, if given the choice between owning at that price or renting, I would choose owning even if I knew the value of my home would fall 20%.  Spending 3k/mo on rent is incomprehensible to me unless I were an investment banker living in Manhattan.

Astute Observation by Perspective
2008-12-16 06:13 PM

It’s relative, isn’t it? My wife & I could move in with my mom and pay nothing. She has plenty of room and would love us there (wife, not so much). In that sense, any amount we spend on housing (rent or own) is “throwing money away.”

For my friend, $36k annually represents less than 20% of her household income. Is that too much for rent? For some, it probably is.

Once you’re within certain “rules of thumb” (e.g. buy a house less than 2.5x your income, spend less than 28% of your gross income on housing, etc.), it all becomes subjective judgment.

Astute Observation by Chris
2008-12-16 07:14 PM

The family members are concerned about her losing her security deposits to foreclosure grin

Astute Observation by Matt
2008-12-16 04:44 PM

My momma taught me not to say anything if I couldn’t say something nice, so here goes:

I like the little atrium and the location.

(Feel free to interpret whatever else I don’t like)

Astute Observation by DAve
2008-12-17 12:38 AM

No no NO!!!!

If youse goys would just stay better informed you would have seen the news idiot on channel 9 today reporting that with the new interest rate changes and low low prices that:

...wait for it…

...wait for it…


“IT’S A GREAT TIME TO BUY!!!!”


Really you must try better to keep in touch-

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