Choate Knife-Catcher ** Update #1 **

Jul 14th, 2007   by IrvineRenter  in Flips

Huge price reduction from $935,000 to $799,950! Short sale? Bank repo? Who cares? That is a huge price drop. At the current price, the house is selling for $254.77 per square foot. That is a new low in Irvine as far as I know.
Choate FrontChoate Kitchen

Old Asking Price: $935,000

New Asking Price: $799,950IrvineRenter

Purchase Price: $925,000

Purchase Date: 11/03/2006

Address: 32 Choate, Irvine, CA 92620

Beds: 5
Baths: 3
Sq. Ft.: 3,140
Lot Sq. Ft.: 5,188Knife Catcher Award
Year Built: 1978
Stories: 2
Type: Single Family Residence
County: Orange
Neighborhood: Northwood
$/Sq. Ft.: $298
MLS#: F1710198
Status: Active on market
On Redfin: 27 days

Sale Price $925,000
1st Loan $740,000
2nd Mtg. $185,000
100% Financing
Lender Fremont Invs / Ln

From Redfin, "5+3+ Bonus Room, Master w/ retreat; fireplace; walk-in closet; huge bath Tiled roof Fireplace in family room Wood flooring in family room Tile floor in living room, formal dining & kitchen Landscaped backyard w/ jacuzzi."

.

.

This must have seemed like a no-brainer: A Northwood house for less than $300/SF. As a flipper, how could you go wrong?

First, you could do nothing to improve the property and rely on your low purchase price to make your money. Second, you could take the marketing pictures with your cell phone camera so your property can look like as undesirable as possible. And third, you could completely ignore the market collapsing around you, drink some kool-aid, and believe the next selling season will bring you riches.

But why not? It is 100% financing, and you can always make the bank eat your losses, right?

Astute Observations

Astute Observation by Trooper
2007-07-15 01:57 PM

GOSH !  I hope those Asian “all cash buyers” don’t read that.

Astute Observation by tonye
2007-07-15 12:49 PM

Hey… guess what…

I’ve decided that 120 bucks in about right in Manhattan too… I better go tell them to lower their prices so that we can exercise our God Given right to buy a 3000 sq foot, 5 bedroom, 4 bathroom penthouse on the Upper West Side.

Come on, get serious.  Although $1mil for a home in Northwood seems crazy, 175 bucks per square foot for a home in Irvine is dreaming.  You might find someone in a couple of years that is so desperate that they rip out everything, including the toilets, and sell it “as is”....  but really… who cares what “you have decided”.

That’s about as useful as a screen door in a submarine.

Astute Observation by Sue
2007-07-15 08:50 AM

Thanks!

Astute Observation by ozajh
2007-07-15 02:10 AM

Out of a desire to compare apples with apples, is garaging under the main roof line (as in this listing smile) included in the advertised square footage?

Astute Observation by test
2007-07-14 09:26 PM

Asian view of the mortgage mess
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Global_Economy/IG14Dj01.html

Astute Observation by Saw it coming
2007-07-14 09:17 PM

What does your name mean?

Astute Observation by Jason Ganz
2007-07-14 05:49 PM

Great post! I am gonna share it with my own blog readers at jason.landbrokr.com ! Thanks.

Astute Observation by MMG
2007-07-14 01:05 PM

I have said this before in the earlier comments, but prices will make some sense when they fall into the 175- 200 per sf range, I give it another year maybe. things are definitely changing fast.

thanks for the update IR.

Astute Observation by Athol Kay
2007-07-14 10:54 AM

What happened with those photos? Are they on the MLS like that? Witness Protection pixilated?

Astute Observation by Darin
2007-07-14 10:05 AM

While Yen carry trade (YCT) does have an influence, the state regulated banks still have the ability to qualify people on the large loan amounts based on initial monthyly payments.  The Fed has done a sufficient job in closing this loophole, but the states have not.

100% financing is not the end of the world.  If you’ve just left your residency and are now making 125K-250K as a doctor or other such professional, then you may want 100% financing.  I agree that having “nothing to lose” results in apathy and that the number of people that fit into the above category is probably pretty small.

Astute Observation by awgee
2007-07-14 09:55 AM

When the Japanese central bank raises interest rates.

Astute Observation by Jason
2007-07-14 07:58 AM

Sorry for the double post - the original wasn’t showing up.

Astute Observation by Major Schadenfreude
2007-07-14 07:50 AM

When is the 100% financing nonsense going to stop?

Astute Observation by Rex
2007-07-14 07:50 AM

I agree with the comment above (Keith) - it is only the beginning. The housing market is way over priced. We will be seeing drops like this where it will become the norm vs a “shocker”.

Rex

Astute Observation by Keith
2007-07-14 07:40 AM

Its only the beginning.

Astute Observation by Jason
2007-07-14 07:35 AM

It will be very interesting to see where this new low takes us. I did a quick search on ZipRealty for houses within a half mile of the property you profiled, and at quick glance it looked like all of the other nearby properties for sale were asking mid $300s per sq ft.

And how do you think these sellers over at 17 Choate feel? They’re asking about $27k more than 32 Choate, but for one less bedroom and 666 less sq ft (is that 666 an omen?) Also, no photos of 17 Choate are showing up in Redfin, but they are there in ZipRealty in case you want to see.

Great work as always!

Jason
http://caliguy2699.blogspot.com

Astute Observation by Purple Haze
2007-05-23 05:04 PM

Thank you sir for your prompt response.

Astute Observation by IrvineRenter
2007-05-23 03:24 PM

None of my sources has the size or number of bedrooms. The last sale was for $225,000 in late 1999.

Astute Observation by Purple Haze
2007-05-23 01:51 PM

Irvine Renter,

68 Ardmore, Irvine, CA 92602 sold for $510k. I would greatly appreciate it if you could give me the sq feet on this property and what was the drop from the last sale.

Thank you in advance for your help.

Purple Haze

Astute Observation by bkshopr
2007-05-22 06:06 PM

Not all homes are the same. value patio should be based on the quality, curb appeal, upgrades and lot size. It is a shame to base comp merely on the size of a home. This house is a big box with zero curb appeal. The 3 car garage dominates the entire front and barely have enough room to squeeze the front door to the right. This house is over 3,000 sf ! Even an IAC apartment has a better gracious entry than this.

The 3 car wide oil stained concrete driveway is exactly what I dreamed of having for my castle.

Most cars have 4 wheels, 4 seats and a steering wheel. May be I can sell my Dodge McVANsion from the 1970’s more than the brand new BMW 7 series. My Dodge has way more cubic feet of living space than any luxury car.

Astute Observation by MMG
2007-05-22 11:52 AM

totally agree, about a couple of years ago, I decided 175-200 sq/ft sounds about right for the OC including Irvine.

Astute Observation by MMG
2007-05-22 11:51 AM

I think late 07, alot of older places are low as 250 sq/ft. how one year makes a difference from 450ish to 250ish.

TIMBER

Astute Observation by IrvineRenter
2007-05-22 11:05 AM

That one was last Tuesday:

http://www.irvinehousingblog.com/2007/05/15/priced-in-on-sheridan/

You’re right, that is one desperate seller smile

Interesting property. They were a cash buyer.

Astute Observation by squareround
2007-05-22 10:29 AM

Hi, Irvinerenter,

This flipper is even more desperate.

18 SHERIDAN Irvine, 92620  

2005 sold price: 940K
Now asking 899K

Astute Observation by Sue
2007-05-22 10:11 AM

Wow.  That’s a number in todays OC Register story.

“The volume of U.S. home loans is expected to drop to $2.5 trillion in 2007, down from $4 trillion, Cutts said.“

Mortgage fraud complexity “extraordinary’
http://blogs.ocregister.com/lansner/archives/2007/05/mortgage_fraud_co.html

Astute Observation by IrvineRenter
2007-05-22 08:35 AM

I get mine here:

https://fwprodweb1.firstam.com/fastweb/home.asp

I have free access (as a perk, so I don’t abuse it), so I don’t know how much it costs the general public.

Astute Observation by squareround
2007-05-22 07:33 AM

How much to pay to get the access?

Astute Observation by IrvineRenter
2007-05-22 07:22 AM

I have access to a title company database. It is public record, but it is not widely available.

Astute Observation by oc-conservative
2007-05-22 07:11 AM

1st Loan $740,000
2nd Mtg. $185,000
100% Financing
Lender Fremont Invs / Ln

Sorry, my comment got truncated for some reason.

I was wondering how one goes about finding this lending/loan information on a property.  Is it publicly available?

It would be very useful information to know in making an offer for a short sale, for example.

Astute Observation by oc-conservative
2007-05-22 07:09 AM

>>>1st Loan $740,000
2nd Mtg. $185,000
100% Financing
Lender Fremont Invs / Ln

Astute Observation by mino2126
2007-05-22 07:00 AM

IR….great catch.  Where do you see the price / sqft settling out before the day is over.

Astute Observation by ochomehunter
2007-05-22 06:09 AM

Need to get all such flippers burned and out of market soon. These are the vultures who have impacted the pricing in OC.  They better pay from their butt now. I have no mercy for these folks and all who are crying wolf over subprime and mortgage company traps etc.

Like the pictures of this flippers home, his dreams of making have faded away.  $298/SF is still too expensive given the fact that the party has just begun.  It would go all the way down to $200 or even lower.

Astute Observation by crucialtaunt
2007-05-22 05:00 AM

IR, You have uncovered yet another gem!  So with prices testing the $300/sq ft. mark in some older parts of Irvine, when do estimate those comps will start affecting the other (newer) areas?
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