Login
Subscribe
Recent Comments
- Sylvia Walker on Irvine Housing by the Numbers - May 2012 Update
- Casual Observer on Irvine Housing by the Numbers - May 2012 Update
- Astute As It Comes on Open House Review: 35 Bella Rosa
- Sylvia Walker on Open House Review: 35 Bella Rosa
- Darin on Open House Review: 35 Bella Rosa
- Sylvia Walker on Investors Are Busy in Irvine's Low-End Housing Market
- Casual Observer on Investors Are Busy in Irvine's Low-End Housing Market
- irvine_home_owner on Tustin, but Irvine Schools
- cynthia curran on Mendocino and Saragota in Stonegate and the Irvine Development Map (Winter 2012)
- irvine_home_owner on Woodbury Open House Review: 75 Fanlight
Recent Posts
- Closed Sales from 5/10/2012-5/16/2012
- Open House Review: 52 Secret Garden
- Irvine Housing by the Numbers - May 2012 Update
- Paired Living with Privacy in Woodbridge
- Beige Ruth Sisters
- Closed Sales from 5/3/2012 to 5/9/2012
- Open House Review: 35 Bella Rosa
- Investors Are Busy in Irvine’s Low-End Housing Market
- Artist in Residence: Turtle Rock Glen Townhome
- Tustin, but Irvine Schools
Categories
- Community Profile
- HELOC Abuse
- House Flips
- IHB Property Listing
- Investment Property
- Library
- Mortgage Fraud
- New Homes
- News
- Price Rollback
- Property Rental
- Real Estate Analysis
- Real Estate Owned
- Schools
- Short Sale
- Special Essays
- Special Irvine Homes
- Uncategorized
- WTF
Archives
- May 2012
- April 2012
- March 2012
- February 2012
- January 2012
- December 2011
- November 2011
- October 2011
- September 2011
- August 2011
- July 2011
- June 2011
- Rest of archives
Browse Homes
Irvine Homes
- Airport Area Homes
- El Camino Real Homes
- Northpark Homes
- Northwood Homes
- Oak Creek Homes
- Orangetree Homes
- Portola Springs Homes
- Quaill Hill Homes
- Rancho San Joaquin Homes
- Turtle Ridge Homes
- Turtle Rock Homes
- University Park
- University Town Center Homes
- West Irvine Homes
- Westpark Homes
- Woodbridge Homes
- Woodbury Homes
Newport Beach Homes
- Newport Coast Homes
- Crystal Cove Homes
- Corona Del Mar / Spyglass
- East Bluff / Harbor View Homes
- Lower Newport Bay / Balboa Island
- Balboa Peninsula Homes
- West Bay / Santa Ana Heights
- West Newport / Lido Homes
Other Cities
- Aliso Viejo Homes
- Anaheim Hills Homes
- Brea Homes
- Costa Mesa Homes
- Coto de Caza Homes
- Dana Point Homes
- Huntington Beach Homes
- Ladera Ranch Homes
- Laguna Beach Homes
- Laguna Hills Homes
- Laguna Niguel Homes
- Lake Forest Homes
- Mission Viejo Homes
- Orange Homes
- Rancho Santa Margarita Homes
- San Clemente Homes
- San Juan Capistrano Homes
- Santa Ana Homes
- Tustin Homes
- Villa Park Homes
- Yorba Linda Homes
Contact
.(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address)
Foreclosures
Housing
- Talk Irvine
- IHB Forum Archive
- OC Housing News
- Coto Housing Blog
- Housing Kaboom
- Patrick.net
- Housing Chronicles
- Housing Doom
- Dr. Housing Bubble
- Manhattan Beach Confidential
- Burbed
- SoCal RE Bubble Crash
- Professor Piggington
- Real C'ville
- Westside Bubble
- Bubble Meter
- Portland Housing Blog
- Sacramento Land(ing)
- OC Register Blog
Econ/Finance/Other
- Calculated Risk
- The Big Picture
- Economist's View
- Mish's Blog
- Matrix
- Bakers' Stock
- ML-Implode
- Eschaton
- Best Mortgage Rates
- Crackerjack Finance
Latest REOs
- $349,900 :: 10 Greenleaf 16, Irvine CA, 92604
- $439,900 :: 61 Olivehurst, Irvine CA, 92602
- $889,900 :: 14 Upland, Irvine CA, 92602
- $429,900 :: 56 Great Lawn, Irvine CA, 92620
- $465,000 :: 212 Garden Gate Ln, Irvine CA, 92620
- $329,000 :: 1006 Terra Bella, Irvine CA, 92602
- $199,000 :: 3125 Watermarke Pl, Irvine CA, 92612
- $579,900 :: 8 Star Thistle, Irvine CA, 92604
- $458,500 :: 3 Ultimo Dr, Irvine CA, 92620
- $398,900 :: 191 Lockford, Irvine CA, 92602
I would say the lesson is tougher for the buyer than the lender, as the buyer may actually learn a lesson. All the lender learns is that they will get bailed out if they are “too big to fail”. If they aren’t that big, they just get bought out by JP or BOA.
The buyer is going to actually learn that P/E matters, even for houses.
For that kind of money, I would want a home that my mother would be proud of. I think if she saw this place, she would think I wasted 700K. Of course she would be right.
Why of the 5 photos were three of the front of the house? Wouldn’t one do? I know it seems petty but it makes me wonder if they are committed to selling.
Why, the slumlord doesn’t want the renters to know it’s for sale. He can’t exactly come in and say, “I really need some pictures for my, ummm, scrapbook.” Also, based on the condition of the back yard, I’d say the slumlord would prefer NOT to advertise the condition of the interior.
This place is worth exactly zero. The cost to tear it down and haul it off is the same as the land value, which isn’t much considering it backs to Michelson (unless you like living in the infield of the Indy 500). Perhaps the first truly worthless home in Irvine
What a POS. A fool and his money are soon parted.
BD
Tune in next week for:
“Cocaine is a hell of a drug”
(buyers are high as hell)
or
“Did they misread one of Pat Velings reports?”
(buyers are not smart enough to walk out of a wet paper bag)
I bet when the sellers of that place sold it in April ‘07 they must have felt like they hit the lottery.
My Offer
After giving this property a thorough look, my offer today is $251,100.00. I believe this is what this property is worth.
This property owner has stopped making payments and is looking for a short sale. I heard it through the grapevine.
[url=http://www.redfin.com/CA/GARDEN-GROVE/10372-HAMMONTREE-DR-92843/home/3461100]10372 HAMMONTREE DR
GARDEN GROVE, CA 92843[/url]
IR—- Could you check your Refin search agent? I think “Built Prior to 1980” may have been left activated. I may be wrong, but it seems like a while since we have seen anything from the post-Carter era.
Yesterday’s property was in Quail Hill built in 2003.
I just go where the action is. Right now the real carnage is in the smaller, older properties.
I know, I was just being snarky. I never get the pleasure to have these dumps delivered to my email by Redfin, because my filter says “built after 1990”.
At least you get to see all the WTF prices
You better believe I do. Nothing gives me more pleasure than dropping that rent check off at the leasing office every month….
anybody with stories of a dumb realtor—i have the impression every realtor is learning disabled—please post them. stupid things they said or wrote. meager educational backgrounds. etc.
I started a post here for the stories; http://www.irvinehousingblog.com/forums/viewthread/2371/
Not to pile on here but dang! 850K?????
Only an 18% haircut—I think they are getting out easy.
Just for a frame of reference, new giant homes all over California are sitting unsold for $399,000. If Irvine is worth 2X the rest of the state—the historic multiple—maybe the top of the line house is worth $800,000. But I think that $399,000 will not last—I see them coming down to $270,000 or less.
I assume the synthetic surf sounds would be a selling point.
There are still people out there paying big bucks for homes despite nearby carnage.
One example is 25 Prosa, 92620 which just sold for $730k ($350/sq ft) closing on 5/22. One the face it may seem like a reasonable price given previous sales, but here’s the kicker: 15 Prosa a few doors down seems to have just sold for $285/sq ft. I say “seems” because the Realtor flyers show it selling for more money ($680k or $326/sq ft) on 11/15/7 (5 months earlier) and they omit the latest sale. Redfin and Zillow indicate this property sold for $595k on 4/8/8. I’m assuming this went back to the bank for $680k and actually did sell for $595k to an individual/investor and the Realtors are conveniently omitting this fact.
If this is true, wouldn’t the comp for 25 Prosa have been wiped out? Maybe the buyer of 25 Prosa just didn’t care and had the cash.
I have been inside 15 Prosa and while it wasn’t the greatest house, at least on the surface, it wasn’t a dump either. Location and lot size are virtually identical too. (One thing though, somebody pulled a fast one by listing 15 Prosa as 1990 sq ft. when it really is 2086. Probably gaming the system for just this reason or maybe to get a lower price from the sucker lender).
Any thoughts on this one? Is the $595k sale real? Why would someone pay $730k just down the street for basically the same thing?
2 more of this same model house just went up for $760k and $800k. The sellers are clearly emboldened by the $730k sale.
IR
you still have people on this board who believe Irvine is special and that every one wants to live here….etc,
I think there will be more knife catchers in 2008 who fail to see that incomes dont support these prices. until people think twice about what they are buying, we still have a long way to go.
Missed you at the Galaxy game a couple of weeks ago, MMG. The good news is, have a suite for the Angels on Saturday the 14th. Come on by, I’ll bring all the latest glossy Irvine Company propoganda—- and we can have that discussion over how special Irvine is over a couple of beers!
BTW—- it does not matter that “everyone” does not want to live here. Thank god they don’t. But you cannot deny that Irvine is *different* than most places in So Cal. I’ve looked long and hard to find the same mix of clean and safe neighborhoods, schools, and central location thoughout So Cal. I’m not stuck on Irvine, and would be totally open to a comparable alternative. I just can’t find it. There are areas just as nice, but they are a crap commute. There are areas just as expensive, but their schools suck and you’d have the incremental cost of private school. Please, please give me the comp. And don’t sing that tired song “Laguna or Eastside Costa Mesa or Newport are so much nicer”. They are great. But they are not comps to Irvine—- people who want those places don’t want to live here, and vice versa.
So while you may not like or appreciate the things I do, there are at least 200,000 people who do—- and thus Irvine will continue to carry a premium. Not the current premium, but *a* premium. That’s why the jokers out here saying “this place ain’t worth nuttin more than $150 sq ft” sound just as silly as the realtards asking $550 sq ft.
CK
totally agree with you, Irvine deserves a premium, always has, always will, at about 200 per sf
Thanks for the invitation dont drink beer but importantly have traffic school to go to that day, cops need money and are stopping people left and right then giving out tickets for over 300 bucks….. :(
I never denied Irvine being a nice city, but my point is the economy is heading south, gas/food and every other thing is going up in price, alot of high paying financial jobs have left (guess where:IRVINE). and for your comp go check out a neighborhood similar to Irvine (longer commute by 20 minutes)in Ladera Ranch and see how they are doing
Irvine will carry a premium over neighboring cities for the reasons you cited but Irvine is NOT THAT SPECIAL. it will come down like other towns. like you said not everyone wants Irvine and vice versa, with credit becoming very tight, sellers in Irvine(and other cities as well) will be competing for a smaller number of buyers in the next couple of years. just read on calculated risk that problems are spreading to Prime—- guess my friend what that means
You are still essentially saying “Irvine is special”. Most people who live in Irvine work very close to it, and that’s going to be an increasing factor in decision making with higher gas prices as well. If I didn’t work in Irvine or very closeby I doubt I’d live here just because of the commute.
Now is a great time to buy or sell a home
Easy fix for all RE bubbles: Debtors Prison.
Our oh so wise federal government decided in 1933 to get rid of this very important tool to discourage theft through acquisition of unpayable debt. Since then some Americans have basically turned it into a business model. How many of the folks profiled on this blog heloc’d the $h!t out of their houses during the run up and stashed/spent all the money prior to forclosure ?
The only way we’re going to maintain our financial status in the world is to encourage wealth building through savings and investment. Debtor’s prison is an important tool in this effort.
Would need a lot more prision space.
CA already has 180,000 in prision, mostly drug users due to three strikes law. Adding debtors would increase the prision population to well over 250,000 inmates, not to mention who would take care of all their kids.
No, there has to be another way to punish these people.
Make them join the army and send them to IraKK!.
You could put them in house arrest.. that would force the State to buy a lot of homes and solve the RE problem.
Voila… problem solved.
Plus this house is right on Michelson Drive which is a pretty busy road in Irvine. Oh well!!!
That part of Michelson narrows and quiets down since most people turn to Culver or go to the shops on that corner, so it’s not that bad. But yeah it is next to a road.
IR
“‘We don’t want to go back to the days when you had to put 20 percent down,’ Hobbs said.”
Dustin Hobbs is the (big surprise) communications director for the CMBA (California Mortgage Bankers Association)
http://www.capitolweekly.net/article.php?_adctlid=v|jq2q43wvsl855o|x60x5v7hs1wf5u&issueId=x60vgstux00b9h&xid=x60wxnnhra8env
Has anyone ever done a basic analysis of the incomes of the folks really buying these properties besides the banks? Do we all really believe every family in Irvine makes $200K? How else could you fund all of your retirement investments, pay for electricity, cable, food and gas? I’m just astonished by the prices and the fraction of income that goes to debt service.
BD
BD - indeed, that is a well-worn subject here on the blog.
One of the major pillars of our discussions here has centered around affordability and the seemingly large disconnect between “median household income” and “median home price” here in Irvine.
There are many sources for the stats but suffice it to say the median in Irvine is NOT $200K. In fact it’s currently reported at less than $90K. With median home price hovering around $600K, that would put the home price metric at 7X median household income. Obviously not a sustainable level and a key reason why the downturn will continue unabated.
To your point, it’s likely many of these folks are over-extended and therefore not funding retirement and barely making it from paycheck to paycheck while the noose tightens.
I foolish!