Replying to:

Posted by Henry on 09/06/08 at 09:16 AM

Yes.  We all know it is comming.  But if they only inject money as capital, then we are on the hook for a few years.  After that, the question comes whether the capital will ever leave. 
Think the whole thing again!  We use all tax payers’ money to subsize 70% home owners.  Is it fair?

Posted by roqnrob on 09/06/08 at 08:47 AM

We all knew this was coming…so let’s just get it over with.

Posted by Henry on 09/06/08 at 09:28 AM

Another question is whether it is efficient.  Govt operated org with such a size and all the political agenda.  Whose idea to create such a org in the first place?  Canada, europe and other countries do not have it, their houses market are still all right. 

Strange enough:  To make the financial market safe, it is critical to avoid any company or org too big to fail.

Posted by Chris In Seattle on 09/06/08 at 09:44 AM

Let’s not overreact. We’re just going to borrow the money anyway, so it’s not like it’s really coming out of our taxes.

Posted by IrvineRenter on 09/06/08 at 10:00 AM

Yes, and since government financing is a Ponzi Scheme similar to the bubble, it will just go on and on forever…

Posted by Kirk on 09/06/08 at 10:27 AM

Exactly. Tax and spend liberals would be taxing our balls off right now. Thank the Lord that we have Republicans in control who are sophisticated enough to borrow the money. I’ve heard that Paulson plans to introduce pay option treasuries. That should fix this whole situation.

Posted by Major Schadenfreude on 09/06/08 at 10:50 AM

“You’re doing a heck of a job, Brownie”, pretty much sums up my thoughts about the US government.

Posted by r€nato on 09/06/08 at 10:54 AM

I know you are being facetious, but at least ‘tax-and-spend’ liberalism has the virtue of honesty. ‘Borrow-and-spend’ conservatism is much, much more expensive, but if you are the typical “Fuck you, I got mine” Republican, you don’t care because you are not going to be around to pick up the tab.

Works the same way with global climate change denial… put off the issue long enough that you’ll be dead and someone else will have to pay the cost.

Posted by Kirk on 09/06/08 at 12:33 PM

What exactly is honest about liberals stealing my hard earned money? That they admit it? Wow, so I get robbed at gunpoint at the ATM and the gunman says, “I’m taking all your money.” At least he’s honest, right?

We are not going to have to pay dime one in taxes for this free market operation. We’ll simply walk away since all our treasuries are non-recourse loans. Only the Republican Party is capable of making a sound business decision of this nature. Democrats are too busy “hoping” they can pay back the money. Screw them and screw our lenders. It’s their fault we got ourselves into this situation.

Posted by eLCee (East Coast version) on 09/06/08 at 02:39 PM

The wackiest comment I have heard in days: “Only the Republican Party is capable of making a sound business decision of this nature”—tell that to John McCain’s son or to Bush’s idiot brother or the fellas at Enron.

Posted by Kirk on 09/06/08 at 03:09 PM

SMEAR!!! SMEAR MERCHANT!!!

The fact is that Andrew McCain resigned as director of Silver State Bank on July 26th, 2008.

Silver State Bank was still in business on July 27th, 2008. It failed on September 5th, 2008. Quite the opposite of what you are implying, the bank failed AFTER the person holding it together, Andrew McCain, left. If Andy had stayed on that bank would be raking in billions of profits instead of floundering like a flounder in Newfloundland.

Rest assured that John McCain has the same level of economic competence that his son does no matter what the drive-by commenters say.

Posted by lawyerliz on 09/06/08 at 03:26 PM

YeeeeeAAhhhhh, Kirk, the merry prankster.

Posted by alan on 09/06/08 at 04:02 PM

IR

“Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae and insured billions of dollars” should be ‘insured hundreds of billions”.

Total losses to the US Treasury will easily pass 1/2 a trillion before this is over.

Posted by LC on 09/06/08 at 04:04 PM

Taxes are not going away—you may have heard something about death and taxes. You might want to get something in return for your tax money—this is called the “evil socialism” that you read about. Otherwise, we can blow up the money in a desert—that is called “the Iraq War.”

Posted by Kirk on 09/06/08 at 04:15 PM

You should read your Bible. Taxes will be abolished on day one of the Second Coming. That is change we can believe in.

Posted by scott on 09/06/08 at 04:38 PM

But do those that get Raptured still have to pay their tax - no death & no taxes, what a deal…why didn’t I see that slogan at the RNC?

Posted by no_vaseline on 09/06/08 at 05:16 PM

Once again, Kirk shows why he is my fav poster on the IHB blogs.

lulz.

Posted by Vito on 09/06/08 at 08:23 PM

I think the “FUCK-YOU-IT’S-NOT-MY-MONEY-LIBERAL” is far more destructive.  Case in point: Soviet Union, North Korea, Cuba

Posted by Kirk on 09/06/08 at 10:17 PM

Well put. There’s no country in the world more liberal than North Korea.

But, we also have problems at home with liberal welfare mothers expecting the government to inject capital into their households every time they make bad financial decisions. This just reinforces bad behavior and has to stop.

Posted by no_vaseline on 09/06/08 at 10:55 PM

Dammit.  Now you owe me a bottle of scotch and a keyboard.

Posted by ochomehunter on 09/07/08 at 12:15 AM

US Treassury will go BK, mark my words. With current FRE/FNM actions, US $ will plummet, US Treassury has no means to pay back the debt and
mortgages will continue to go sour quarter after quarter as Alt-A resets, US taxpayers will be on the hook for all of this mess.  The artificial lifeline to the market has gone, life support is no longer effective. God help LEH and others now. Shame on those who elected Bush Administration. Shame on FED and US Treassury. Go Republicans Go! Go vote again and relect Bush or McCain, same thing!

The crooks at the Govt. level are again protecting the rich, the banks/brokers who have preffered shares of GSE’s, the same folks who caused this mess in the first place, and tab is being shoved up taxpayers poor guys, and wiping out common share investors, again guys who were trying to play along. I say do a complete wipeout, banks/brokers deserve the bigger kick.

Posted by ochomehunter on 09/07/08 at 12:32 AM

No, not hunders of billions, its trillions, $5 trillion to be precise and counting.

Posted by George8 on 09/07/08 at 05:53 AM

The US tax payers, especially ones who have been financially responsible, are screwed big time one way or another.

Before the government takes over, all equity and assets should be marked to market. That means FRE and FNM stocks should go to zero, and all of their debts and mortgage portfolio be marked down to about 30-50 cents on a dollar.

Posted by idrnkurmlkshk on 09/07/08 at 07:52 AM

I have a question on the Housing Bill that passed a while back:

Does anyone know of a link that explains, or breaks down the bill?

Specifically, isn’t there a section that addresses how lenders who take back foreclosures must continue to pay HOA dues, and maintain the properties that they take over?

I swear I read someone here post about this when people started discussing the implications with HOA’s now. 

Any links or insight would be appreciated!!

Posted by IrvineRenter on 09/07/08 at 07:59 AM

Here is the PDF:

http://banking.senate.gov/public/_files/HousingandEconomicRecoveryActSummary.pdf

Here is the Wikipedia entry:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Housing_and_Economic_Recovery_Act_of_2008

I did not see the specific provisions about paying HOA dues, but I also heard it is buried somewhere in the legislation.

Posted by granite on 09/07/08 at 09:12 AM

I’ve been waiting for this analysis. With the easy money now gone will local housing come down to “true value”. In other words will Irvine prices come done below 50% of peak. In my opinion it has to and will likely overshoot to the downside, as IR predicted.

Posted by jemy on 09/07/08 at 09:45 AM

Is it just me, or doesn’t this whole fiasco have the flavor of Dick Cheney thinking it was a great idea to consult with Enron over why California was having an energy crisis?  Do you remember that after he talked to them, he confidently stated that it was absolutely California’s fault b/c they didn’t “fully deregulate” the energy industry, and actually California was still “the most regulated” energy industry in the US (b/c that’s what Enron told him was the root of the problem).

Oh, but wait, it actually was the foxes in the henhouse wasn’t it?  Enron gaming the system?  And FERC was supposed to be the last regulatory hail mary, and does anyone remember who (falsely) said FERC should do nothing?

Sorry guys, looking at McCain’s advisors (and seriously, I can’t figure out WHAT he believes in as far as economic policy is concerned), I don’t have a lot of confidence he’s going to figure this mess out.  If I had my druthers, I’d hire Frank Wolak and just do what he says.  But since that’s not likely, I’m voting for Obama. 
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/blackout/interviews/wolak.html

On another note, anyone have any advice where I should park my down payment money so that it doesn’t get wiped out while I wait to buy a house?

Posted by LC on 09/07/08 at 10:14 AM

We all know what socialism can do. Just look at Finland, Sweden, England and Ireland.

Posted by LC on 09/07/08 at 10:29 AM

Ah, a trip down memory lane. The looting has come full circle, and now even Arnold may be recalled. I wonder if the Bushes will steal the furniture on the way out? I remember that Ari Fleischer accused the Clintons of doing that. It seems like the Clintons were small-time crooks, and the Bushes know how to think big. We are going to be paying for this bailout for a long time.

I recommend that you work on your Canadian accent, eh?

Posted by MalibuRenter on 09/07/08 at 12:15 PM

If I was one of the people stuck with implementing the conservatorship, I certainly wouldn’t let the spread between treasuries and mortgage rates get much smaller.  I would add on considerable guarantee fees.  This would result in a similar spread between treasuries and MBS to what we have now.  The important thing is collecting a lot of fees to help cover the losses on securities guaranteed by Fannie and Freddie.

Posted by Minerva on 09/07/08 at 12:17 PM

So Fannie and Freddie are the new welfare queens?

Posted by Chris on 09/07/08 at 12:22 PM

Sure…and my AUD continues to go down against USD.

Sure…and SP and Moody still rates USA as AAA or Aaa.

Don’t bet against USA, buddy. Germany and Japan did and so did the Soviet.

Posted by Chris on 09/07/08 at 12:30 PM

The current spread is already high enough to prevent the housing price from stabilizing. It will probably shrink a bit but not by much.

One thing is possible: Fed will probably drop the rate down another 1/2 pts to 1.5% since the commodity inflation threat has abated. The drop in interest rate will help lower the current 6+% mortgage rate as well as to help the economy (sort of). I think Benny Boy and his cohorts will probably heed this.

Oh well, more loss for our savings/CDs/MMs.

Posted by idrnkurmlkshk on 09/07/08 at 01:10 PM

That’s my problem. I need to see the pdf of the actual bill.  Our HOA is trying to raise our dues because of a few foreclosures. I think this is completely b.s.

I don’t believe the bill would allow the banks to avoid these fees. HOAs going up would only encourage the destruction of the housing market further.

Posted by eLCee (East Coast version) on 09/07/08 at 02:32 PM

Kirk is a mindless drone, spouting precisely and exactly what all the other rightwingers are spouting. The Republicans have got exactly what they wanted from spineless dems (Pelosi and Reid) and then eviscerated them after using them. When things go wrong, the repubs blame the dems. Same story every four years for about the last twenty or so years. Funny part is that neither party seems to be able to exploit the housing mess this year. It’s toxic like social security in that anyone who acknowledges it gets blamed for it. I can’t figure if talking about the problem will solve it or make the housing mess even worse.

Posted by alan on 09/07/08 at 07:10 PM

In my HOA, the board has the authority to raise dues as much as 20% each year without a vote of the members, anything over 20% requires a vote.

Check your CC&R’s.

Posted by Lose_the_music_videos on 09/07/08 at 07:17 PM

I used to enjoy this blog, but I’m sickened by the daily music videos that must be posted.  Total shite.

Posted by east coaster on 09/07/08 at 07:48 PM

Kirk, what the hell are you smoking?

Posted by Mark Kinne on 09/07/08 at 10:52 PM

There’s always the mattress.

Posted by Alan on 09/08/08 at 01:16 AM

Take out a loan for it and put it on the government’s tab.

Posted by Alan on 09/08/08 at 01:36 AM

$5 trillion (and counting) ...

It’s ok, just look at Zimbabwe. Push up inflation a bit, and once we’ve got $10,000,000 bills in circulation in place of today’s $20’s, paying it off will be trivial. Republicans got a great plan, just please keep it secret so the foreigners go on buying our bonds.

Posted by idrnkurmlkshk on 09/08/08 at 08:01 AM

Don’t watch the videos then.  You don’t have to click that play button.

Posted by Kirk on 09/08/08 at 08:37 AM

Country first!

Posted by A Minor Point on 09/08/08 at 10:56 AM

tell that to John McCain’s son or to Bush’s idiot brother or the fellas at Enron.

Or to Fanie Mae or Freddie Macc…er, oh that’s right, they’ve been run by DEMOCRAT insiders for the past fifteen years.

Libe-fail.

Posted by Some Non-Partisan Guy on 09/08/08 at 11:00 AM

You do realize that Fannie and Freddie have been run by DEMOCRAT insider appointees for the past fifteen years.  And that the conservatives made multiple runs at those sleazy scumbags over the past five to ten years, only to be thwarted by DEMOCRATS. 

Just sayin’, you might want to check your facts before blaming BUUUUUUUUSSSSSSSHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!

Posted by Kirk on 09/08/08 at 04:46 PM

Last I checked, these “DEMOCRAT” insiders lobbied a REPUBLICAN congress for about 12 years. 14 if you count the fact that the senate couldn’t do crap for the last 2 years, because the Democrats don’t even have a majority.

¡Vivo la revolución Republicana!

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