Monthly Archives: April 2008

Craving

Silently Craving — Michael Kiske

The Second Noble Truth of the Buddha is that all suffering is caused by craving. People who took out HELOCs to fuel consumer spending gave in to craving, and they are about to endure a period of extreme suffering in their lives. People crave for just about everything they believe money can buy: cars, boats, vacations, status, lovers, self-esteem, and many other things or states of mind. HELOCs enabled people to obtain things that would have been denied to them under ordinary circumstances. When people obtain objects of their desire, it leads to a temporary state of satiation followed by an even more intense wanting. It is like drinking salt water: you think it helps, but drinking it makes you even more dehydrated and causes you to crave water even more. Those that drank the kool aid of the Great Housing Bubble took out HELOCS and tried to satisfy the craving beast inside. It didn’t work. What is worse for them is that they are now accustomed to feeding this craving beast a steady diet of whatever it wants. Once this beast learns to feed regularly, it causes even more suffering when it is not fed. The HELOCs which bought the food to feed the craving beast are drying up. The housing ATM is broken.

It is my hope that profiling these stories of HELOC abuse does more than satisfy the beast of schadenfreude within all of us (that leads to suffering through separateness.) I hope these stories serve as a lasting lesson to people. It is common for people to react with envy to the rampant consumer spending these stories contain, but take a moment to consider the pain the hangover must be causing. These HELOC abusers are losing their houses, their lifestyles, their illusions of wealth, and their real money. Each of us must struggle between the unskillful desire to revel in their pain and skillful practice of feeling empathy for their plight. I know I do. It is important to move beyond schadenfreude lest we become trapped in the same feedback loop always needing another fix of someone else’s pain to make us feel whole and happy.

In the meantime, enjoy today’s post about another HELOC abuser who took out $600,000 over a 4 year period. Where do you think they will be finding that $150,000 a year supplemental income in this recession? 😉

1 Spring Buck Front 1 Spring Buck Kitchen

Asking Price: $715,000IrvineRenter

Income Requirement: $178,750

Downpayment Needed: $143,000

Monthly Equity Burn: $5,958

Purchase Price: $312,000

Purchase Date: 4/9/2002

Address: 1 Spring Buck, Irvine, CA 92614Short Sale

Beds: 5
Baths: 5
Sq. Ft.: 2,200
$/Sq. Ft.: $325
Lot Size: 3,024

Sq. Ft.

Property Type: Single Family Residence
Style: Traditional
Year Built: 1980
Stories: 2 Levels
Area: Woodbridge
County: Orange
MLS#: S509664
Status: Active
On Redfin: 194 days

Unsold in 90+ days

Gourmet Kitchen AwardAPPROVED SHORT SALE!!!! This deal can close in just one WEEK!! HURRY…
This won’t last much longer! No more waiting for bank processing and
approval! Bank wants it sold as soon as possible. Lowest price 5
Bedrooms & 5 Baths in Woodbridge! Downstairs has 2 Beds, 2 Baths.
Vaulted Ceilings, Gourmet Kitchen w/Granite Counter Tops, Custom
Kitchen Cabinets, Stainless Appliances. Upgrades even in the bathrooms.
Upstairs has 3 Spacious Suites. Inside Laundry and Den. Enjoy all the
Woodbridge Amenities including Pools, Parks, Lakes, & Tennis Courts
with Low Association Fees & no Mello Roos Tax.

Gourmet Kitchen with pergraniteel.

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These homeowners did particularly well during the bubble rally. The bought the house in April 2002 for $312,000 putting a paltry $15,600 down. In March of 2005, they refinanced with a $446,200 first mortgage and a $100,000 second. This pulled out their initial $15,600 “investment” and put an additional $234,800 in their pocket. Then in October of 2005, they refinanced again and got a $711,200 loan pulling out an additional $165,000. Then, as if that wasn’t enough, they opened a HELOC for $150,000 in November of 2005. This was a hard working house, but it wasn’t done quite yet. In November of 2006, they took out a stand-alone second mortgage for $200,000 and probably paid off the HELOC. That is a total of $599,800 in mortgage equity withdrawal in 4 1/2 years. They put in $15,600 and took out $599,800. That is a good return on your investment, and it would have been if they had sold it at the peak. Of course, they probably thought the house would go on providing them with an additional $150,000 a year in income for perpetuity, and there was no sense in firing such a stellar performer. Since they didn’t sell and only “put” it to the lender, they will now have to deal with bad credit and the loss of that $150,000 a year income.

The Law of Karma states, “For every event that occurs, there will follow another event
whose existence was caused by the first, and this second event will be
pleasant or unpleasant according as its cause was skillful or
unskillful.” Taking out all that HELOC money might have been fun, but it wasn’t particularly skillful. If the Law of Karma holds true, these people will experience unpleasant times ahead. Personally, when the knowledge of their suffering only makes me feel sad, I will know I will have moved beyond my suffering caused by my own, unskillful reaction to the Great Housing Bubble. I am not there yet.

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KiskeThe biggest fires are burning
And I will try to get back, I’m returning
You keep your head down singing
And all you get is over-pressure-craving

Let me try a word once known
Let me try a different tone
Touch me; do not drift with the flow
Silently it’s creeping in
Silently with no warning
Suddenly we meet the other shore

As if we were not in there
We do forget all hell we had and sail on
But that might get us nowhere
Let’s breathe it in
And turn it into nothing wrong

Let me try a word once known
Let me try a different tone
Touch me; do not drift with the flow
Silently it’s creeping in
Silently with no warning
Suddenly we meet the other shore
And there’s no more

And occasionally she sings
She forgets all the things
She’s fighting to forget
Twisting in her head

But whatever we may do
We only will see through
Dissolving all those fears
Raising hells, build all those years

The biggest fires are burning
And I will try to get back, I’m returning
You keep your head down singing
And all you get is over-pressure-craving

Let me try a word once known
Let me try a different tone
Touch me; do not drift with the flow
Silently it’s creeping in
Silently with no warning
Suddenly we meet the other shore
And there’s no more – to try!

Silently Craving — Michael Kiske

Cheap?

Cheap is relative. Compared to pricing at the peak, the prices of houses in Irvine right now are cheap. Of course, they will get cheaper, but today’s property caught my attention because I did not get an overwhelming feeling of revulsion at the high price. That is real progress. I am not sure what attracted me to this property. Perhaps it is like ZZ Top’s Cheap Sunglasses.

We are the Irvine Housing Blog, and I rarely profile properties outside of Irvine, but today’s property is in the Irvine school district, and although it is in Tustin, it is certainly Irvine adjacent.

542 Flyers Lane Kitchen

Asking Price: $507,900IrvineRenter

Income Requirement: $126,975

Downpayment Needed: $101,580

Lender Purchase Price: $503,477

Lender Purchase Date: 1/28/2008

FB Purchase Price: $598,000

FB Purchase Date: 9/2/2005

Address: 362 Flyers Lane, Tustin, CA 92782REO

Beds: 3
Baths: 4
Sq. Ft.: 1,938
$/Sq. Ft.: $262
Lot Size:
Type: Condominium
Style: Contemporary
Year Built: 2005
Stories: Three or More Levels
View(s): City, Courtyard, Park or Green Belt, Tree Top, Trees/Woods
Area: Tustin Field
County: Orange
MLS#: P634383
Status: Active
On Redfin: 1 day

New Listing (24 hours)

Let’s Make A Deal!!! Are You Ready for What s Behind Door #1? LOOK NO
FURTHER. .. It’s the Golden Opportunity to Steal a Home! Beautiful
Tustin Field Home is Priced to STEAL & the Seller Means Business!!!
This Home Surpasses Everything in this Price Range Offering Bedrooms w/
Private Bathrooms & Walk-In Closets in Desirable Open Floor Plan!
HIGHLY UPGRADED Just Bring Your Paint Brush & Create Your Custom
Home. The Cozy Kitchen Offers Granite Counters w/ Stainless Steel
Appliances & Opens to Generous Family Room with Large Fireplace
& Rich Hardwood Floors, Perfect for Entertaining. LIGHT &
BRIGHT throughout with Indoor Laundry, Powder Room. Enjoy Summer BBQ’s
in the Expansive Parks or Relax by the Pool. Located near major
shopping centers, parks, restaurants, theatres, and so much more ONLY
ONE at this Price – HURRY!

lite-brite Do you get the Monty Hall reference? If any of you have ever watched the show, you might remember that contestants didn’t always like what they found behind the door.

This Home Surpasses Everything in this Price Range… Yes, it does. It is a real comp killer. Check out 247 Kitty Hawk and 237 Kitty Hawk. They must be hating life.

LIGHT &
BRIGHT

ONLY
ONE at this Price. No kidding. Was this written by a used car salesman?

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The property is a typical foreclosure. The buyers bought in 2005 for
$580,000 putting 20% down and taking out a conventional mortgage for
$478,057. They stopped making payments and the lender bought the
property at auction for $503,477. The lender is going to lose some money, but fortunately for them, the people who lost this house also lost $119,943. That can’t be fun. Quite a high price for buying in to the fallacies of the housing bubble.

I would estimate this property would rent for $2,500 to $2,700 leaving
a value of between $400,000 and $432,000. This one will only fall
another 15% – 20% in price, IMO. That is still complete evaporation of
someone’s downpayment, but at least they won’t go underwater.

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When you get up in the morning and the light is hurt your head
The first thing you do when you get up out of bed
Is hit that streets a-runnin and try to beat the masses
And go get yourself some cheap sunglasses
Oh yeah, oh yeah, oh yeah

Spied a little thing and I followed her all night
In a funky fine levis and her sweaters kind of tight
She had a west coast strut that was as sweet as molases
But what really knocked me out was her cheap sunglasses
Oh yeah, oh yeah, oh yeah

Cheap Sunglasses — ZZ Top

Give Up

Tear the Roof Off The Sucker (Give Up The Funk) — Parliament

Tear the roof off? Remember when Jim Cramer said we should plow under the Inland Empire? That might be a bit extreme, but these lazy houses need to be punished somehow, don’t they? Houses used to provide a steady supplemental income, and now they don’t. Think about all the people out there who became accustomed to the free money their houses were generating. If I were one of them, I would be pretty angry.

Today’s featured property is another in our endless series on HELOC abuse. For any of you that thought this was not common, I hope all these posts are opening your eyes to the reality of the situation. HELOC abuse is everywhere, and these people are watching their supplemental income disappear which in turn is taking down our local economy. Are these cases the exception rather than the rule? It really doesn’t matter, does it? There are enough of these properties to materially impact the market. These are properties that would not ordinarily be for sale. They are added market inventory, and when they become REOs, they will be sold at whatever price the market will bear. Market prices are set at the fringes. It doesn’t matter if 95% of homeowners where responsible (they weren’t) because all of those who were not responsible are going into foreclosure and causing the precipitous price declines we are currently witnessing. The vast majority of HELOC abusers are going to lose their homes, and the resulting REOs are going to continue to pummel the market for some time to come.

So what happened to today’s sellers? They took out $726,500 and exercised their “put” option leaving the lender holding the bag.

Asking Price: $950,000IrvineRenter

Income Requirement: $237,500

Downpayment Needed: $190,000

Monthly Equity Burn: $7,916

Purchase Price: $381,500

Purchase Date: 6/26/1996

Address: 7 Mountainbrook, Irvine, CA 92620Short Sale

Beds: 5
Baths: 3
Sq. Ft.: 2,805
$/Sq. Ft.: $339
Lot Size: 5,200

Sq. Ft.

Type: Single Family Residence
Style: Contemporary/Modern
Year Built: 1996
Stories: Two Levels
Area: Northwood
County: Orange
MLS#: P621665
Status: Active
On Redfin: 77 days

Great large family home with guard gated community with two pools,
parks and private access to hiking trail. Cul-de-sac location. Walking
distance to award winning elementary and high school. Property to be
sold AS-IS condition.

As-is condition and no interior photos? Hmmm…

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Why do I think these sellers gave up? They listed the property for $1,200,000 on February 9, 2008 which would have been enough money to pay off all their debts and commissions. When it didn’t sell (big surprise), they lowered their asking price to $950,000: they gave up. It is hard to feel too sorry for them. They had a good time while the rally lasted.

This house was purchased for $381,500 in June of 1996. They put 25% down and financed $285,900. That is a conservative, responsible purchase. On 12/15/2000, they had their first sip of kool aid when they refinanced for $420,000 taking out all their equity plus an additional 40 large. The kool aid must have tasted good because in April of 2002, they refinanced for $495,000 taking out another 75 large. In 2006, they got serious about getting that free money. In February of 2006, they opened a HELOC for $150,000. In June of 2006, they refinanced with an Option ARM for a whopping $868,000. That is an additional withdrawal from the housing ATM of $373,000 (including the HELOC.) Then in July, they opened another HELOC for $250,000. It looks as if they took out this money. The total debt of the last refinance and HELOC is $1,118,000. If they could have sold the house for $1,200,000, they would have would have broken even. If they hadn’t taken out the HELOC, why would this be sold in an As-Is condition for $950,000 with no other price reductions? If they didn’t tap the HELOC, a sale at $950,000 would still leave them with some equity. It doesn’t appear there is any more equity left for them. That is what happens when you spend that free money.

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ParliamentTear the roof off, we’re gonna tear the roof off the mother, sucker
Tear the roof off the sucker

You’ve got a real type of thing going down, gettin’ down
There’s a whole lot of rhythm going round

Ow, we want the funk
Give up the funk
Ow, we need the funk
We gotta have that funk

Tear the Roof Off The Sucker (Give Up The Funk) — Parliament

WOT 4-26-2008

Free Money — Patti Smith

Every night before I go to sleep
Find a ticket, win a lottery,
Scoop the pearls up from the sea
Cash them in and buy you all the things you need.

Every night before I rest my head
See those dollar bills go swirling ’round my bed.
I know they’re stolen, but I don’t feel bad.
I take that money, buy you things you never had.

Oh, baby, it would mean so much to me,
Oh, baby, to buy you all the things you need for free.
I’ll buy you a jet plane, baby,
Get you on a higher plane to a jet stream
And take you through the stratosphere
And check out the planets there and then take you down
Deep where it’s hot, hot in Arabia, babia, then cool, cold fields of snow
And we’ll roll, dream, roll, dream, roll, roll, dream, dream.
When we dream it, when we dream it, when we dream it,
We’ll dream it, dream it for free, free money,
Free money, free money, free money, free money, free money, free money.

Every night before I go to sleep
Find a ticket, win a lottery.
Every night before I rest my head
See those dollar bills go swirling ’round my bed.

Oh, baby, it would mean so much to me,
Baby, I know our troubles will be gone.
Oh, I know our troubles will be gone, goin’ gone
If we dream, dream, dream for free.
And when we dream it, when we dream it, when we dream it,
Let’s dream it, we’ll dream it for free, free money,
Free money, free money, free money,
Free money, free money, free money,
Free money, free money, free money,
Free money, free money, free money,
Free money, free money, free money,
Free money, free money, free money,
Free money, free money, free money,
Free money, free money, free money, free.


Free Money
— Patti Smith

Tip

Tiptoe Through The Tulips — Tim Tiny

Isn’t that the most annoying song you have ever heard? Can you fathom a reason why someone would write and record it? In the same way, can you imagine why someone would buy this condo backing on the 5 for $699,000? Some things you look back on and go, WTF?

Actually, this does illustrate the mindset of the bubble rather well. Any property is a good property when prices are going up. Quality doesn’t matter because the property’s desirability comes from increasing prices, not from the characteristics of the property itself. This guy bought the tip; he purchased on the high tick of the market action. There was nowhere to go but down.

8 Orangetip Kitchen

Asking Price: $550,000IrvineRenter

Income Requirement: $174,750

Downpayment Needed: $139,800

Monthly Equity Burn: $5,825

Purchase Price: $699,000

Purchase Date: 5/25/2006

Address: 8 Orangetip, Irvine, CA 92604

Beds: 3
Baths: 3
Sq. Ft.: 1,785
$/Sq. Ft.: $308
Lot Size: 2,517

Sq. Ft.

Type: Single Family Residence
Style: Traditional
Year Built: 2005
Stories: Two Levels
Area: El Camino Real
County: Orange
MLS#: P631932
Status: Active
On Redfin: 12 days

Well, this realtor solved the problem of a poorly written description. He didn’t write one at all…

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This seller put $126,413 down or about 20%. He is going to lose it all. If this property sells for its asking price, it is going to be a short sale. Assuming a 6% commission is paid, the total loss on the property will be $182,000. Of that, the seller is going to lose $126,413, and the lender is going to lose $55,587. Considering they had a 20% cushion, I suspect Indymac didn’t think they were going to lose money on this one. That is the problem when prices are set by comparable sales fueled by irrational exuberance. Prices are justified by the collective actions of foolish buyers without regard to fundamentals. This will fall to rental parity. Assuming you could rent this for $2,500, it is worth about $400,000. Perhaps Indymac will finance the next buyer, and when they sell at the bottom, Indymac can lose on the property again. An 80% loan would be $440,000. Wouldn’t it be ironic is they lost on the same property twice?

I hope you have enjoyed your week at the Irvine Housing Blog, come back next week as we continue chronicling ‘the seventh circle of real estate hell.’ Have a great weekend.

🙂

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Tiptoe through the window
By the window, that is where I’ll be
Come tiptoe through the tulips with me

Oh, tiptoe from the garden
By the garden of the willow tree
And tiptoe through the tulips with me

Knee deep in flowers we’ll stray
We’ll keep the showers away
And if I kiss you in the garden, in the moonlight
Will you pardon me?
And tiptoe through the tulips with me

Tiptoe Through The Tulips — Tim Tiny